Tammeka vs Trans: match statistics
Tammeka vs Trans: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tammeka played Trans in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match was played on 21 June 2026. Venue: Tamme staadion. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Tammeka: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Trans: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tammeka scores 1.13 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Trans scores 0.69 and concedes 2.44. League average: 3.07 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tammeka 47%, Trans 38%. Over 2.5: Tammeka 53%, Trans 75%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
Trans has higher xG: 1.64 vs 1.59. Tammeka: 13.9 shots per match, Trans: 13.9.
Match halves
Tammeka: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 0.73. Trans: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.31.
Goals by minute
Tammeka: 76-90+ (5 goals). Trans: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Meistriliiga: 3.07 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-4. Average goals 3.40, BTTS 40%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Tammeka holds a clear advantage in home metrics: they average 1.13 goals per home match with 4.13 shots on target, whereas Trans manage just 0.25 goals and 3.38 shots on target in away fixtures. Defensively the hosts concede 1.25 goals per game at home, while the visitors concede 3.25 goals on the road; Trans also have a negative away goal difference of -24 and a 88% loss rate in away matches. Efficiency is decisive: Tammeka’s conversion rate is around 11% and they fail to score in 38% of home games, whereas Trans convert at only 2% and are goalless in 75% of their away matches. Over the last 5 matches Tammeka average 2.0 points per game with a sequence 'wwldw', while Trans average 1.4 points per game with mixed results; average xG are 1.28 for Tammeka at home versus 1.41 for Trans away, indicating that the visitors’ poor finishing explains the gap in outcomes. Considering the superiority in chance conversion, better form and Trans’s catastrophic away statistics, I predict a home victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Season stats clearly favor the “no” scenario: Trans averages only 0.25 goals per game and has a season BTTS rate of 25%. As the home side, Tammeka produces 16.13 shots and 4.5 on target with xG 1.87, while Trans concedes on average 3.25 goals per game this season, so the hosts have a realistic chance to score. In the last 5 matches Trans has improved offensively — 2.4 goals per game, 12 goals in five matches and recent xG 2.08 — but this is a short-term signal. Nonetheless Trans’s season shot conversion is only 2% versus Tammeka’s 7%, and BTTS for the visitors in the last 5 is 20%, limiting the away side’s scoring probability. Given Trans’s low seasonal goals average (0.25), poor conversion rate of 2% and low BTTS figures (25% season, 20% in L5), I assess BTTS at 35% for “Yes” and 65% for “No”, backing the “No” pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model indicates total xG = 1.87 (Tammeka home) + 1.41 (Trans) = 3.28 expected goals, exceeding the league average of 3.08. Seasonally Tammeka had Over 2.5 in 88% of home matches, and Trans in 63% of their fixtures, which further supports a scenario of at least 3 goals. From a Poisson distribution with mean 3.28 there is roughly an 84% chance of over 1.5 goals and about a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals, therefore the strongest signal is the Over side. Additionally, Trans concedes an average of 3.25 goals per match this season and has a low shot conversion of 2%, while Tammeka generates on average 16.13 shots and xG 1.87 at home, increasing the likelihood of goals—hence the recommendation: Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a home win by full-time (X/1). Tammeka were level at the break in 100% of their last five home matches, while Trans have not won on the road (0% wins) and have lost 88% of away fixtures, conceding an average of 3.25 goals per away match. The home side average 1.13 goals at home, whereas Trans score only 0.25 away; the home xG is 1.87 versus 1.41 for the visitors, indicating more clear-cut chances for Tammeka. After the break Tammeka win 50% of second halves and average 1.63 points in second halves, while Trans concede on average 2.0 goals after half-time and as many as 9 goals in minutes 76–90, which increases the probability of a home turnaround to secure the win after 90 minutes.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tammeka | Trans | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.18 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tammeka is 150% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Tammeka · 0.8 pts / match - Trans
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tammeka is 64% better for: goals scored per match.
1.13 goals / match - Tammeka · 0.69 goals / match - Trans
Tammeka is 83% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - Tammeka · 2.44 goals / match - Trans
Tammeka scores in 60% of matches (9 of 15 matches), while Trans keeps a clean sheet in 19% (3 of 16 matches).
Trans scores in 50% of matches (8 of 16 matches), while Tammeka keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tammeka
Over / Under - Trans
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tammeka is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.8 pts / match - Tammeka · 0.69 pts / match - Trans
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tammeka - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Trans - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 19%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tammeka
Trans
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Tammeka | Liga | Trans | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.47 | 3.07 | • 3.13 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 56% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 53% | 64% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 27% | 24% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 73% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 90% | ▲ 94% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Tammeka 1 - 0 - 4 Trans. Average goals 3.40, both teams scored in 40% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tammeka vs Trans?
The Meistriliiga match finished Tammeka 1:0 Trans. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tammeka and Trans?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Tammeka won 1, Trans won 4 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.40 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tammeka vs Trans?
Tammeka score 1.13 goals per game on average and Trans 0.69. The Meistriliiga average is 3.07 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Tammeka's matches and 38% of Trans's.
What form are Tammeka and Trans in?
Over the last 5 games Tammeka have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Trans 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tammeka vs Trans?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.