Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Detroit City FC: match statistics
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Detroit City FC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tampa Bay Rowdies played Detroit City FC in USL Championship (United States). The match was played on 17 October 2026. Venue: Al Lang Stadium. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Tampa Bay Rowdies: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Detroit City FC: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tampa Bay Rowdies scores 1.75 and concedes 0.93 goals per match. Detroit City FC scores 1.21 and concedes 0.71. League average: 2.71 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tampa Bay Rowdies 43%, Detroit City FC 39%. Over 2.5: Tampa Bay Rowdies 46%, Detroit City FC 36%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Tampa Bay Rowdies has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.45. Tampa Bay Rowdies: 14.8 shots per match, Detroit City FC: 12.3.
Match halves
Tampa Bay Rowdies: half-time lead 46%, second-half goals 1.07. Detroit City FC: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.82.
Goals by minute
Tampa Bay Rowdies: 76-90+ (18 goals). Detroit City FC: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.71 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 6 previous H2H matches were available: 0-3-3. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Tampa Bay Rowdies win 62% of their home matches, while Detroit City FC win 31% of their away fixtures, giving the hosts a clear home advantage. Rowdies average 2.23 goals at home with an xG of 1.96 and register 6.08 shots on target per match; away from home, the visitors average 1.31 goals, an xG of 1.39 and 4 shots on target. Detroit are nevertheless in impressive current form: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches and conceded just 1 goal across those games, while the hosts have recorded 2 wins and conceded 6 goals. Despite this upturn, the visitors have failed to score in 38% of their away matches, and Rowdies have kept a clean sheet in 46% of their home fixtures, so the hosts are more likely to win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest case for BTTS - No, meaning at least one team to fail to score, is Tampa Bay Rowdies’ defensive record: the hosts keep a clean sheet in 67% of their matches and concede just 0.33 goals on average. Detroit City FC do score an average of 1.31 goals, but they fail to find the net in 38% of their games, so they may struggle to break down this defence. On the other hand, the visitors have conceded just 1 goal in their last 5 matches, while Tampa Bay averaged 1.8 goals over that period. This gives the hosts a chance to score, but does not guarantee it. The season-long BTTS - Yes rate is 27% for Tampa Bay, compared with 54% for Detroit, and Detroit’s rate has fallen to 20% across their last 5 matches. Despite both teams’ attacking potential, these figures point towards BTTS - No, with a moderate edge.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal points to Under 3.5 goals: Tampa Bay’s home matches have never featured 4 goals, while Detroit’s away matches reached that total in 23% of games. The hosts concede just 0.33 goals per game at home on average and keep a clean sheet in 67% of matches, limiting the visitors’ chances of adding to the score. However, neither team lacks attacking potential, with average xG of 1.50 and 1.39 respectively, so the more conservative 3.5 line offers a clearer edge than 2.5. Although Tampa Bay recorded at least 3 goals in 80% of its last 5 matches, Detroit conceded only 0.2 goals per game over the same period and went over this threshold in 20% of matches.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: Tampa Bay were level at the break in 60% of their matches, compared with 54% for Detroit, while averaging just 0.4 and 0.38 goals scored in the first half, respectively. Tampa Bay’s season record supports a home win at full-time: they won 67% of their matches and conceded an average of 0.33 goals, while Detroit won 31% and conceded 1.15 goals. Tampa Bay averaged 0.73 goals after the break, and Detroit conceded 0.62 in that half, supporting a scenario in which the match is decided after the interval. However, the X/1 pick is not a strong one, as Detroit have won 4 of their last 5 matches and conceded an average of just 0.2 goals in those games; a draw at full-time and an away win therefore also remain significant possibilities.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tampa Bay Rowdies | Detroit City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Detroit City FC is 86% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Tampa Bay Rowdies · 2.6 pts / match - Detroit City FC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tampa Bay Rowdies is 45% better for: goals scored per match.
1.75 goals / match - Tampa Bay Rowdies · 1.21 goals / match - Detroit City FC
Detroit City FC is 31% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.93 goals / match - Tampa Bay Rowdies · 0.71 goals / match - Detroit City FC
Tampa Bay Rowdies scores in 86% of matches (24 of 28 matches), while Detroit City FC keeps a clean sheet in 50% (14 of 28 matches).
Detroit City FC scores in 71% of matches (20 of 28 matches), while Tampa Bay Rowdies keeps a clean sheet in 50% (14 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tampa Bay Rowdies
Over / Under - Detroit City FC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tampa Bay Rowdies is 39% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.68 pts / match - Tampa Bay Rowdies · 1.21 pts / match - Detroit City FC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tampa Bay Rowdies - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 46% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Detroit City FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (18 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Detroit City FC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Tampa Bay Rowdies | Liga | Detroit City FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.68 | 2.71 | ▼ 1.93 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 55% | ▼ 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 46% | 50% | ▼ 36% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 27% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 66% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 78% | ▼ 61% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): Tampa Bay Rowdies 0 - 3 - 3 Detroit City FC. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Detroit City FC?
The USL Championship match finished Tampa Bay Rowdies 1:0 Detroit City FC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tampa Bay Rowdies and Detroit City FC?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Tampa Bay Rowdies won 0, Detroit City FC won 3 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Detroit City FC?
Tampa Bay Rowdies score 1.75 goals per game on average and Detroit City FC 1.21. The USL Championship average is 2.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Tampa Bay Rowdies's matches and 39% of Detroit City FC's.
What form are Tampa Bay Rowdies and Detroit City FC in?
Over the last 5 games Tampa Bay Rowdies have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Detroit City FC 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Detroit City FC?
The statistical background for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Detroit City FC — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.