Mexico - Ascenso MXEstadio AKRONData current as of 05 September 2026

Tapatío vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Tapatío vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Tapatío play Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match date is 6 September 2026. Venue: Estadio AKRON.

Current form

Tapatío: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Tapatío scores 1.83 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara scores 2.33 and concedes 1.17. League average: 3.17 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Tapatío 67%, Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 67%. Over 2.5: Tapatío 50%, Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 67%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 58%.

xG, shots and style

Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.28. Tapatío: 11.3 shots per match, Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: 11.7.

Match halves

Tapatío: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.17. Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 0.50.

Goals by minute

Tapatío: 76-90+ (3 goals). Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: 0-15 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ascenso MX: 3.17 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 58%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

TapatíoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
1.83Goals scored / match2.33
TapatíoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
1.33Goals conceded / match1.17
TapatíoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
TapatíoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
47%Average possession48%
TapatíoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
3.83Shots on target / match5.5
TapatíoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
TapatíoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
TapatíoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.33Shots per match11.67
TapatíoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
3.83Shots on target5.5
TapatíoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
16.2%Shot conversion20%
TapatíoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
47%Possession48%
TapatíoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
1.28xG for1.57
TapatíoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
1.59xG against1.57
TapatíoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara

Shooting quality

Tapatío: Counter-attackingLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: Efficient finishing
TapatíoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Accuracy (shots on target)34%47%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.480.42

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Tapatío
WLWWD
Season result split
50% W33% R17% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-2-1
1.83 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Last 5 at home
2-1-0
DWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.20Opponent xG: 1.59BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
WLWWD
Season result split
67% W17% R17% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-1-1
2.17 pts / match · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-0-0
Last 5 away
3-0-0
WWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.50Opponent xG: 1.60BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara is 27% better for: goals scored per match.

1.83 goals / match - Tapatío · 2.33 goals / match - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara

Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.33 goals / match - Tapatío · 1.17 goals / match - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara

Tapatío scoring profile: very strong

Tapatío scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).

Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara scoring profile: very strong

Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while Tapatío keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).

11Goals scored (season)14
TapatíoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
8Goals conceded (season)7
TapatíoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
3.17Average goals in match3.5
TapatíoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
11Goals scored (last 5)10
TapatíoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
8Goals conceded (last 5)5
TapatíoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal100%
TapatíoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
50%2 goals67%
TapatíoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
33%3 goals33%
TapatíoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
17%4 goals33%
TapatíoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal67%
TapatíoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
50%2 goals33%
TapatíoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
17%3 goals17%
TapatíoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
0%4 goals0%
TapatíoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

67%
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.4 of 6 matches
54%
League average

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time50%
TapatíoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
0%BTTS in both halves0%
TapatíoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
33%Scored in both halves33%
TapatíoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
TapatíoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
TapatíoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
80%BTTS - last 560%
TapatíoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

TapatíoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
TapatíoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
TapatíoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
TapatíoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
TapatíoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
TapatíoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time100%
TapatíoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time50%
TapatíoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time50%
TapatíoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
67%Min. 2 goals after half-time17%
TapatíoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
33%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
TapatíoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara is 63% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.33 pts / match - Tapatío · 2.17 pts / match - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara

Tapatío - half-time state
33% leading33% draw33% trailing
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara - half-time state
67% leading17% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.33Points per match (1st half)2.17
TapatíoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
0.67Goals scored (1st half)1.83
TapatíoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.67
TapatíoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
1.17Average goals (1st half)2.5
TapatíoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
67%Clean sheet before half-time50%
TapatíoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
50%No goal before half-time0%
TapatíoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara

After half-time (2nd half)

1.33Points per match (2nd half)1.17
TapatíoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
1.17Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
TapatíoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
0.83Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
TapatíoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
2Average goals (2nd half)1
TapatíoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
50%Clean sheet after half-time67%
TapatíoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
33%No goal after half-time67%
TapatíoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara

Tapatío - second-half results

17% W83% R0% P
8
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding152%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara - second-half results

17% W67% R17% P
13
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.17
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Tapatío - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.40
Goals scored / match0.81.4
Goals conceded / match0.61.0
Average goals in match1.42.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+1+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.20
Goals scored / match1.80.2
Goals conceded / match0.80.2
Average goals in match2.60.4
1 goal100%40%
2 goals100%0%
3 goals60%0%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal0%80%
Goal difference+50
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 9

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Tapatío
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
1
2
16-30
1
1
31-45
2
1
46-60
2
2
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
ScoredConceded
6
0
0-15
3
2
16-30
2
2
31-45
1
2
46-60
0
0
61-75
2
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.33
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
67%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-40%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
83%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Tapatío

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.31
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.81
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.55
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.26
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
105%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
94%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
0.00
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.16
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.76
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.40
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
164%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
67%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-1.3
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 43% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).

Teams vs league

TapatíoLigaLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Average goals in match 3.173.17 3.50
Both teams scored 67%54% 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%58% 67%
Clean sheets 33%26% 33%
Goal before half-time 67%73% 100%
Goal after half-time 67%73% 50%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.17
Average goals per match
54%
Both teams scored
58%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.75
Home goals / match
1.42
Away goals / match
+23%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defence advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
54%
2 goals
35%
3 goals
15%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Tapatío 1 - 1 - 0 Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

CD Tapatío
2 : 0
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
1 : 1
CD Tapatío

FAQ

When do Tapatío and Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara play?

Tapatío face Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara on 6 September 2026 in Ascenso MX at Estadio AKRON. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Tapatío and Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Tapatío won 1, Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Tapatío vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara?

Tapatío score 1.83 goals per game on average and Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 2.33. The Ascenso MX average is 3.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Tapatío's matches and 67% of Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara's.

What form are Tapatío and Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara in?

Over the last 5 games Tapatío have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tapatío vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.