Tepatitlán de Morelos vs CA La Paz: match statistics
Tepatitlán de Morelos vs CA La Paz: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tepatitlán de Morelos played CA La Paz in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match was played on 8 August 2026. Final score: 0:5.
Current form
Tepatitlán de Morelos: 0-0-2, 0.00 points/match. CA La Paz: 0-0-2, 0.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tepatitlán de Morelos scores 0.50 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. CA La Paz scores 1.00 and concedes 2.50. League average: 2.72 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tepatitlán de Morelos 50%, CA La Paz 50%. Over 2.5: Tepatitlán de Morelos 50%, CA La Paz 50%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Tepatitlán de Morelos has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.30. Tepatitlán de Morelos: 12.5 shots per match, CA La Paz: 12.5.
Match halves
Tepatitlán de Morelos: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.00. CA La Paz: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.00.
Goals by minute
Tepatitlán de Morelos: 31-45+ (1 goals). CA La Paz: 31-45+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 2.72 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Both teams opened the season with two defeats, but Tepatitlán have won 2 of their last five matches and scored 7 goals, while CA La Paz remain winless, have scored 4 goals and lost 4 matches. The hosts failed to score in their only home game despite recording 1.33 xG, while their opponents allow 1.89 xG away from home and concede as many as 4 goals per match on average. CA La Paz score an average of 2 goals away from home, but with just 37% possession and 1.00 xG, their attacking output appears less stable. Tepatitlán’s defence is not entirely convincing either, conceding an average of 1.67 xG and failing to keep a clean sheet, but the visitors’ weaker trend points to a narrow home advantage. Tepatitlán’s greater ability to create chances and CA La Paz’s noticeably poorer defensive organisation away from home should prove decisive.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The signal for both sides to score is driven primarily by defensive weakness: Tepatitlán have conceded an average of 1.8 goals in their last 5 matches, while CA La Paz have conceded as many as 2.0. Both teams have also recorded BTTS in 60% of their last five fixtures, while neither has kept a clean sheet in the current-season data. The hosts are producing a solid 1.50 xG per match in their recent run, and the visitors’ defence is allowing an average of 1.66 xG, which clearly supports their chances of scoring. CA La Paz have scored only 0.8 goals per match in their last 5 appearances, but their 1.37 xG, combined with the 1.36 xG conceded by Tepatitlán, indicates that an away goal is a realistic scenario. The league has a lower BTTS rate of 40%, but the current defensive profiles of both teams are clearly more favourable to BTTS - Yes than the competition average.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Tepatitlán have averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded over their last five matches, while CA La Paz have scored 0.8 goals and conceded as many as 2.0 per game. The hosts create an average of 1.59 xG per match, while La Paz’s defense allows opponents 1.89 xG, clearly strengthening the outlook for at least one home goal. Across their last five appearances, the two teams have kept a clean sheet just once in total, and both teams scored in 60% of their matches. The projected total of 2.87 goals is above the league average of 2.6, which is why Over 1.5 goals has the strongest statistical backing; just two goals are needed to cover it.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Tepatitlán win after 90 minutes, as CA La Paz were level at the break in 4 of their last 5 matches, compared with 2 of Tepatitlán’s 5. During this period, Tepatitlán averaged 0.6 goals scored before half-time and conceded just 0.4, while the visitors also scored 0.6 but allowed opponents only 0.2 goals, which points towards a cautious opening. After the interval, the form advantage shifts to the home side: they won 2 of their last 5 matches, while La Paz failed to win any and lost 4 of 5. CA La Paz conceded an average of 1.8 goals after half-time, compared with 1.4 for Tepatitlán, while the home side’s xG stands at 1.59 against 1.89 xG conceded by the visitors. The hosts also average 15 shots and 4 on target, compared with La Paz’s 10 and 3 respectively, giving them stronger foundations to turn a closely contested match in their favour in the second half.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tepatitlán de Morelos | CA La Paz | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.10 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
CA La Paz is 100% better for: goals scored per match.
0.5 goals / match - Tepatitlán de Morelos · 1 goals / match - CA La Paz
Tepatitlán de Morelos is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - Tepatitlán de Morelos · 2.5 goals / match - CA La Paz
Tepatitlán de Morelos scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while CA La Paz keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 matches).
CA La Paz scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while Tepatitlán de Morelos keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tepatitlán de Morelos
Over / Under - CA La Paz
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tepatitlán de Morelos - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 2.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
CA La Paz - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 2.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.5 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 0% |
| No goal | 50% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 2.5 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.5 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 0% |
| No goal | 50% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tepatitlán de Morelos
CA La Paz
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Tepatitlán de Morelos | Liga | CA La Paz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.50 | 2.72 | ▲ 3.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 44% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 44% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 33% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 61% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 67% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Tepatitlán de Morelos 0 - 1 - 1 CA La Paz. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tepatitlán de Morelos vs CA La Paz?
The Ascenso MX match finished Tepatitlán de Morelos 0:5 CA La Paz. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tepatitlán de Morelos and CA La Paz?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Tepatitlán de Morelos won 0, CA La Paz won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tepatitlán de Morelos vs CA La Paz?
Tepatitlán de Morelos score 0.50 goals per game on average and CA La Paz 1.00. The Ascenso MX average is 2.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Tepatitlán de Morelos's matches and 50% of CA La Paz's.
What form are Tepatitlán de Morelos and CA La Paz in?
Over the last 5 games Tepatitlán de Morelos have a 0-0-2 record (0.00 points per game) and CA La Paz 0-0-2 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs CA La Paz?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs CA La Paz: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.