Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Cancún: match statistics
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Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Cancún: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tepatitlán de Morelos play Cancún in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match date is 24 October 2026.
Current form
Tepatitlán de Morelos: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Cancún: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tepatitlán de Morelos scores 0.77 and concedes 2.85 goals per match. Cancún scores 1.69 and concedes 1.38. League average: 3.26 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tepatitlán de Morelos 46%, Cancún 54%. Over 2.5: Tepatitlán de Morelos 69%, Cancún 54%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Cancún has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.28. Tepatitlán de Morelos: 11.1 shots per match, Cancún: 14.1.
Match halves
Tepatitlán de Morelos: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.38. Cancún: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Tepatitlán de Morelos: 46-60 (4 goals). Cancún: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 3.26 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 100%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tepatitlán de Morelos | Cancún | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cancún is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Tepatitlán de Morelos · 1.6 pts / match - Cancún
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cancún is 119% better for: goals scored per match.
0.77 goals / match - Tepatitlán de Morelos · 1.69 goals / match - Cancún
Cancún is 107% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.85 goals / match - Tepatitlán de Morelos · 1.38 goals / match - Cancún
Tepatitlán de Morelos scores in 46% of matches (6 of 13 matches), while Cancún keeps a clean sheet in 38% (5 of 13 matches).
Cancún scores in 92% of matches (12 of 13 matches), while Tepatitlán de Morelos keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tepatitlán de Morelos
Over / Under - Cancún
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cancún is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Tepatitlán de Morelos · 1.31 pts / match - Cancún
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tepatitlán de Morelos - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 15%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Cancún - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -14 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tepatitlán de Morelos
Cancún
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Tepatitlán de Morelos | Liga | Cancún | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.62 | 3.26 | ▼ 3.08 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 46% | 61% | ▼ 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 69% | 63% | ▼ 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 22% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 69% | 76% | ▲ 85% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 82% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Tepatitlán de Morelos 0 - 1 - 1 Cancún. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
When do Tepatitlán de Morelos and Cancún play?
Tepatitlán de Morelos face Cancún on 24 October 2026 in Ascenso MX. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tepatitlán de Morelos and Cancún?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Tepatitlán de Morelos won 0, Cancún won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Cancún?
Tepatitlán de Morelos score 0.77 goals per game on average and Cancún 1.69. The Ascenso MX average is 3.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Tepatitlán de Morelos's matches and 54% of Cancún's.
What form are Tepatitlán de Morelos and Cancún in?
Over the last 5 games Tepatitlán de Morelos have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Cancún 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Cancún?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.