Mexico - Ascenso MXData current as of 01 September 2026

Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Dorados: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Dorados: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Tepatitlán de Morelos play Dorados in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match date is 4 September 2026.

Current form

Tepatitlán de Morelos: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Dorados: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Tepatitlán de Morelos scores 0.67 and concedes 3.00 goals per match. Dorados scores 1.60 and concedes 1.80. League average: 3.13 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Tepatitlán de Morelos 33%, Dorados 60%. Over 2.5: Tepatitlán de Morelos 67%, Dorados 60%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 57%.

xG, shots and style

Dorados has higher xG: 1.64 vs 1.17. Tepatitlán de Morelos: 9.5 shots per match, Dorados: 13.0.

Match halves

Tepatitlán de Morelos: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.33. Dorados: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.80.

Goals by minute

Tepatitlán de Morelos: 16-30 (1 goals). Dorados: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ascenso MX: 3.13 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 57%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.83)
(3.56)
(3.68)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Tepatitlán de MorelosDorados
0.67Goals scored / match1.6
Tepatitlán de MorelosDorados
3Goals conceded / match1.8
Tepatitlán de MorelosDorados
38%Average possession49%
Tepatitlán de MorelosDorados
3.17Shots on target / match5.6
Tepatitlán de MorelosDorados

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.5Shots per match13
Tepatitlán de MorelosDorados
3.17Shots on target5.6
Tepatitlán de MorelosDorados
7%Shot conversion12.3%
Tepatitlán de MorelosDorados
38%Possession49%
Tepatitlán de MorelosDorados
1.17xG for1.64
Tepatitlán de MorelosDorados
1.87xG against1.59
Tepatitlán de MorelosDorados

Shooting quality

Tepatitlán de Morelos: BalancedDorados: Balanced
Tepatitlán de MorelosDorados
Accuracy (shots on target)33%43%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.210.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Dorados is 67% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Tepatitlán de Morelos · 1 pts / match - Dorados

Tepatitlán de Morelos
LLLWL
Season result split
17% W0% R83% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-0-5
0.50 pts / match · goal difference -14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-2
Last 5 at home
1-0-2
LLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 3.4xG: 1.13Opponent xG: 1.91BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%
Dorados
WDDLL
Season result split
20% W40% R40% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Last 5 away
1-0-1
WL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.64Opponent xG: 1.59BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Dorados is 139% better for: goals scored per match.

0.67 goals / match - Tepatitlán de Morelos · 1.6 goals / match - Dorados

Dorados is 67% better for: goals conceded per match.

3 goals / match - Tepatitlán de Morelos · 1.8 goals / match - Dorados

Tepatitlán de Morelos scoring profile: mixed

Tepatitlán de Morelos scores in 33% of matches (2 of 6 matches), while Dorados keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).

Dorados scoring profile: very strong

Dorados scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Tepatitlán de Morelos keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 6 matches).

4Goals scored (season)8
Tepatitlán de MorelosDorados
18Goals conceded (season)9
Tepatitlán de MorelosDorados
3.67Average goals in match3.4
Tepatitlán de MorelosDorados
4Goals scored (last 5)8
Tepatitlán de MorelosDorados
17Goals conceded (last 5)9
Tepatitlán de MorelosDorados

How often they score at least...

33%1 goal80%
Tepatitlán de MorelosDorados
17%2 goals80%
Tepatitlán de MorelosDorados
17%3 goals0%
Tepatitlán de MorelosDorados
0%4 goals0%
Tepatitlán de MorelosDorados

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal80%
Tepatitlán de MorelosDorados
67%2 goals60%
Tepatitlán de MorelosDorados
50%3 goals20%
Tepatitlán de MorelosDorados
33%4 goals20%
Tepatitlán de MorelosDorados

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

33%
Tepatitlán de Morelos - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.2 of 6 matches
53%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time20%
Tepatitlán de MorelosDorados
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Tepatitlán de MorelosDorados
17%Scored in both halves0%
Tepatitlán de MorelosDorados

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS60%
Tepatitlán de MorelosDorados
33%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Tepatitlán de MorelosDorados
40%BTTS - last 560%
Tepatitlán de MorelosDorados

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
Tepatitlán de MorelosDorados
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time60%
Tepatitlán de MorelosDorados
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time20%
Tepatitlán de MorelosDorados

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time60%
Tepatitlán de MorelosDorados
67%Min. 2 goals after half-time60%
Tepatitlán de MorelosDorados
67%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
Tepatitlán de MorelosDorados

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Tepatitlán de Morelos is 66% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.33 pts / match - Tepatitlán de Morelos · 0.8 pts / match - Dorados

Tepatitlán de Morelos - half-time state
33% leading33% draw33% trailing
Dorados - half-time state
20% leading20% draw60% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.33Points per match (1st half)0.8
Tepatitlán de MorelosDorados
0.33Goals scored (1st half)0.8
Tepatitlán de MorelosDorados
0.67Goals conceded (1st half)1.2
Tepatitlán de MorelosDorados
1Average goals (1st half)2
Tepatitlán de MorelosDorados
67%Clean sheet before half-time20%
Tepatitlán de MorelosDorados
67%No goal before half-time60%
Tepatitlán de MorelosDorados

After half-time (2nd half)

0.17Points per match (2nd half)1.6
Tepatitlán de MorelosDorados
0.33Goals scored (2nd half)0.8
Tepatitlán de MorelosDorados
2.33Goals conceded (2nd half)0.6
Tepatitlán de MorelosDorados
2.67Average goals (2nd half)1.4
Tepatitlán de MorelosDorados
0%Clean sheet after half-time60%
Tepatitlán de MorelosDorados
83%No goal after half-time60%
Tepatitlán de MorelosDorados

Tepatitlán de Morelos - second-half results

0% W17% R83% P
8
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
1
Second-half points
-12
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding52%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 17%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+1.7

Concedes 1.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Dorados - second-half results

40% W40% R20% P
4
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.80
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.6

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Tepatitlán de Morelos - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.400.20
Goals scored / match0.40.4
Goals conceded / match0.82.6
Average goals in match1.23.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals0%80%
Clean sheet60%0%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-2-11
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Dorados - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.60
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match1.20.6
Average goals in match2.01.4
1 goal100%60%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-2+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Tepatitlán de Morelos
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
1
2
16-30
1
2
31-45
1
4
46-60
1
1
61-75
0
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.

Dorados
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
1
1
16-30
2
3
31-45
0
0
46-60
1
1
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.54
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 2.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
113%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
47%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-58%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
26%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
13%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
4+
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Tepatitlán de Morelos

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.70
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.63
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.50
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-1.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
38%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
221%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Dorados

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.05
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.25
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.21
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
118%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
102%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
38% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
38%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).

Teams vs league

Tepatitlán de MorelosLigaDorados
Average goals in match 3.673.13 3.40
Both teams scored 33%53% 60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 67%57% 60%
Clean sheets 0%27% 20%
Goal before half-time 67%72% 100%
Goal after half-time 100%72% 60%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.13
Average goals per match
53%
Both teams scored
57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.77
Home goals / match
1.36
Away goals / match
+30%
Home attack advantage
+23%
Home defence advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
55%
2 goals
36%
3 goals
15%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Tepatitlán de Morelos 1 - 1 - 0 Dorados. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.

CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa
0 : 0
Tepatitlán de Morelos
Tepatitlán de Morelos
3 : 0
CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa

FAQ

When do Tepatitlán de Morelos and Dorados play?

Tepatitlán de Morelos face Dorados on 4 September 2026 in Ascenso MX. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Tepatitlán de Morelos and Dorados?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Tepatitlán de Morelos won 1, Dorados won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Dorados?

Tepatitlán de Morelos score 0.67 goals per game on average and Dorados 1.60. The Ascenso MX average is 3.13 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Tepatitlán de Morelos's matches and 60% of Dorados's.

What form are Tepatitlán de Morelos and Dorados in?

Over the last 5 games Tepatitlán de Morelos have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Dorados 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Dorados?

The statistical background for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Dorados — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.