Mexico - Ascenso MXData current as of 18 September 2026

Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Mineros de Zacatecas: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Mineros de Zacatecas: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Tepatitlán de Morelos play Mineros de Zacatecas in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match date is 19 September 2026.

Current form

Tepatitlán de Morelos: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Mineros de Zacatecas: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Tepatitlán de Morelos scores 0.63 and concedes 3.38 goals per match. Mineros de Zacatecas scores 2.13 and concedes 1.88. League average: 3.28 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Tepatitlán de Morelos 38%, Mineros de Zacatecas 63%. Over 2.5: Tepatitlán de Morelos 75%, Mineros de Zacatecas 75%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 60%.

xG, shots and style

Mineros de Zacatecas has higher xG: 1.28 vs 1.20. Tepatitlán de Morelos: 9.9 shots per match, Mineros de Zacatecas: 11.5.

Match halves

Tepatitlán de Morelos: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.25. Mineros de Zacatecas: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.50.

Goals by minute

Tepatitlán de Morelos: 31-45+ (2 goals). Mineros de Zacatecas: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ascenso MX: 3.28 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 60%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 1-3-0. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 75%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.85)
(3.80)
(2.16)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
0.63Goals scored / match2.13
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
3.38Goals conceded / match1.88
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
38%Average possession53%
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
3Shots on target / match4.75
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.88Shots per match11.5
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
3Shots on target4.75
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
6.3%Shot conversion18.5%
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
38%Possession53%
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
1.2xG for1.28
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
1.95xG against1.63
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas

Shooting quality

Tepatitlán de Morelos: BalancedMineros de Zacatecas: Efficient finishing
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
Accuracy (shots on target)30%41%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.210.45

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Mineros de Zacatecas is 100% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Tepatitlán de Morelos · 1.2 pts / match - Mineros de Zacatecas

Tepatitlán de Morelos
LWLLL
Season result split
13% W0% D88% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-0-7
0.38 pts / match · goal difference -22
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-3
Last 5 at home
1-0-3
LLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 3.6xG: 1.08Opponent xG: 1.98BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%
Mineros de Zacatecas
WLWLL
Season result split
38% W25% D38% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-2-3
1.38 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-2
Last 5 away
0-1-2
DLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.32Opponent xG: 1.45BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Mineros de Zacatecas is 238% better for: goals scored per match.

0.63 goals / match - Tepatitlán de Morelos · 2.13 goals / match - Mineros de Zacatecas

Mineros de Zacatecas is 80% better for: goals conceded per match.

3.38 goals / match - Tepatitlán de Morelos · 1.88 goals / match - Mineros de Zacatecas

Tepatitlán de Morelos scoring profile: strong

Tepatitlán de Morelos scores in 38% of matches (3 of 8 matches), while Mineros de Zacatecas keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).

Mineros de Zacatecas scoring profile: very strong

Mineros de Zacatecas scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while Tepatitlán de Morelos keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 8 matches).

5Goals scored (season)17
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
27Goals conceded (season)15
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
4Average goals in match4
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
4Goals scored (last 5)9
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
18Goals conceded (last 5)9
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas

How often they score at least...

38%1 goal75%
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
13%2 goals75%
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
13%3 goals38%
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
0%4 goals13%
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal88%
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
75%2 goals50%
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
63%3 goals38%
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
50%4 goals13%
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

38%
Tepatitlán de Morelos - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.3 of 8 matches
63%
Mineros de Zacatecas - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.5 of 8 matches
57%
League average

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time25%
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
0%BTTS in both halves13%
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
13%Scored in both halves50%
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS63%
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
38%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
40%BTTS - last 540%
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time75%
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
38%Min. 2 goals before half-time38%
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
63%Min. 2 goals after half-time88%
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
63%Min. 3 goals after half-time63%
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Mineros de Zacatecas is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Tepatitlán de Morelos · 1.5 pts / match - Mineros de Zacatecas

Tepatitlán de Morelos - half-time state
25% leading25% draw50% trailing
Mineros de Zacatecas - half-time state
38% leading38% draw25% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)1.5
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
0.38Goals scored (1st half)0.63
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
1Goals conceded (1st half)0.63
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
1.38Average goals (1st half)1.25
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
50%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
63%No goal before half-time50%
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas

After half-time (2nd half)

0.13Points per match (2nd half)1.38
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
0.25Goals scored (2nd half)1.5
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
2.38Goals conceded (2nd half)1.25
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
2.63Average goals (2nd half)2.75
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
0%Clean sheet after half-time25%
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
88%No goal after half-time25%
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas

Tepatitlán de Morelos - second-half results

0% W13% D88% L
8
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
1
Second-half points
-17
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding52%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 13%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+1.4

Concedes 1.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Mineros de Zacatecas - second-half results

38% W25% D38% L
12
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.6

Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Tepatitlán de Morelos - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.800.20
Goals scored / match0.40.4
Goals conceded / match1.22.4
Average goals in match1.62.8
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet40%0%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-4-10
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Mineros de Zacatecas - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.40
Goals scored / match0.41.4
Goals conceded / match0.81.0
Average goals in match1.22.4
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-2+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Tepatitlán de Morelos
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
1
2
16-30
2
5
31-45
1
6
46-60
1
2
61-75
0
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -11 - late phases are a weakness.

Mineros de Zacatecas
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
3
3
16-30
2
0
31-45
1
1
46-60
4
3
61-75
7
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

4.01
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 2.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
122%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
51%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-12%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
29%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
16%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 6 matches
4+
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Tepatitlán de Morelos

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.75
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-2.00
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.57
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-1.43
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
32%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
256%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.22
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Mineros de Zacatecas

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.35
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.60
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.85
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.25
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
161%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
96%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.18
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.9
Late goals
41% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
41%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).

Teams vs league

Tepatitlán de MorelosLigaMineros de Zacatecas
Average goals in match 4.003.28 4.00
Both teams scored 38%57% 63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 75%60% 75%
Clean sheets 0%24% 13%
Goal before half-time 75%78% 75%
Goal after half-time 100%77% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.28
Average goals per match
57%
Both teams scored
60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.95
Home goals / match
1.32
Away goals / match
+48%
Home attack advantage
+32%
Home defence advantage
+19%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
57%
2 goals
37%
3 goals
17%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (4): Tepatitlán de Morelos 1 - 3 - 0 Mineros de Zacatecas. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 75% matches.

FAQ

When do Tepatitlán de Morelos and Mineros de Zacatecas play?

Tepatitlán de Morelos face Mineros de Zacatecas on 19 September 2026 in Ascenso MX. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Tepatitlán de Morelos and Mineros de Zacatecas?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Tepatitlán de Morelos won 1, Mineros de Zacatecas won 0 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

Tepatitlán de Morelos score 0.63 goals per game on average and Mineros de Zacatecas 2.13. The Ascenso MX average is 3.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Tepatitlán de Morelos's matches and 63% of Mineros de Zacatecas's.

What form are Tepatitlán de Morelos and Mineros de Zacatecas in?

Over the last 5 games Tepatitlán de Morelos have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Mineros de Zacatecas 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.