Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Tlaxcala: match statistics
Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Tlaxcala: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tepatitlán de Morelos played Tlaxcala in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match was played on 21 August 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Tepatitlán de Morelos: 0-0-4, 0.00 points/match. Tlaxcala: 0-1-3, 0.25 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tepatitlán de Morelos scores 0.25 and concedes 2.50 goals per match. Tlaxcala scores 1.25 and concedes 2.75. League average: 3.22 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tepatitlán de Morelos 25%, Tlaxcala 75%. Over 2.5: Tepatitlán de Morelos 50%, Tlaxcala 75%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
Tepatitlán de Morelos has higher xG: 1.18 vs 1.03. Tepatitlán de Morelos: 9.3 shots per match, Tlaxcala: 7.8.
Match halves
Tepatitlán de Morelos: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.00. Tlaxcala: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
Tepatitlán de Morelos: 31-45+ (1 goals). Tlaxcala: 46-60 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 3.22 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Tepatitlán de Morelos have lost all 4 of their league matches so far, scoring just 1 goal and conceding 10, while their last five games produced a perfect record of 5 defeats and a 3:14 goal difference. At home, the hosts are yet to score despite averaging 1.20 xG, while they concede as many as 3 goals per match and have failed to keep a clean sheet. Tlaxcala also have defensive issues, conceding an average of 2.5 goals away from home, but they score 1.5 goals per game on the road and have never failed to find the net. The visitors have also been slightly more consistent across their last five league games, drawing twice, whereas Tepatitlán have failed to collect a single point. The hosts’ poor finishing and Tlaxcala’s clear advantage in scoring ability point towards a narrow away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Tlaxcala have recorded BTTS - Yes in 100% of their matches this season and in 80% of their last five games, clearly exceeding the league average of 45%. Neither defence has kept a single clean sheet, while the hosts concede an average of 3.0 goals per match and the visitors 2.5. Tepatitlán are in weaker current scoring form, netting just 0.6 goals across their last five appearances, whereas Tlaxcala have allowed opponents 2.6 goals over the same period and generate an xG against them of 1.56. The visitors average 1.4 goals in their last five matches, and Tepatitlán’s very weak defence, conceding 2.8 goals per game, strongly supports their scoring. The overall signal therefore points towards BTTS - Yes, although the hosts’ poor scoring form leaves a significant risk of a No Goal scenario for them.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams have exceeded the 1.5-goal line in all of their matches so far this season, while Tlaxcala have recorded over 2.5 goals in 100% of their games. In their last five outings, Tepatitlán conceded an average of 2.8 goals, compared with 2.6 for Tlaxcala, strongly supporting the prospect of an open game. The hosts average 1.11 xG against the 1.68 xG allowed by Tlaxcala’s opponents, while the visitors generate 0.95 xG against the 1.49 xG allowed by Tepatitlán. In addition, neither team has kept a clean sheet, making Over 1.5 the safest choice with a projected total of 3.15 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Tlaxcala has a clearly stronger first-half profile: they average 1.0 goal before the break, while Tepatitlán have yet to score, and the hosts concede 1.0 goal per match during this period. In their last five matches, the visitors were leading at the break in 40% of games, compared with 20% for Tepatitlán, who have lost all five of their most recent matches. The hosts are particularly vulnerable defensively after the interval, conceding an average of 2.2 goals in the second halves of their last five matches, while Tlaxcala score 0.8 goals during that period. Although neither team has won any of their last five matches, Tepatitlán have scored just 0.6 goals per game over this stretch while conceding 2.8, making the HT/FT scenario of Tlaxcala leading at the break and maintaining their advantage through full-time the strongest outcome.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tepatitlán de Morelos | Tlaxcala | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.08 | 0.56 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tlaxcala is 400% better for: goals scored per match.
0.25 goals / match - Tepatitlán de Morelos · 1.25 goals / match - Tlaxcala
Tepatitlán de Morelos is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.5 goals / match - Tepatitlán de Morelos · 2.75 goals / match - Tlaxcala
Tepatitlán de Morelos scores in 25% of matches (1 of 4 matches), while Tlaxcala keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 matches).
Tlaxcala scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while Tepatitlán de Morelos keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tepatitlán de Morelos
Over / Under - Tlaxcala
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tepatitlán de Morelos is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / match - Tepatitlán de Morelos · 1 pts / match - Tlaxcala
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tepatitlán de Morelos - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 1.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Tlaxcala - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 1.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.25 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 0% |
| No goal | 75% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -8 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.25 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.3 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 0% |
| No goal | 75% | 50% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tepatitlán de Morelos
Tlaxcala
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Tepatitlán de Morelos | Liga | Tlaxcala | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.75 | 3.22 | ▲ 4.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 47% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 59% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 30% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 72% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 75% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Tepatitlán de MorelosSubstitutionOn: Edson Ricardo Martínez GarcíaOff: Fernando Benjamín Osorio Sanguinetti
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Tepatitlán de Morelos 0 - 0 - 2 Tlaxcala. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Tlaxcala?
The Ascenso MX match finished Tepatitlán de Morelos 3:2 Tlaxcala. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tepatitlán de Morelos and Tlaxcala?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Tepatitlán de Morelos won 0, Tlaxcala won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Tlaxcala?
Tepatitlán de Morelos score 0.25 goals per game on average and Tlaxcala 1.25. The Ascenso MX average is 3.22 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Tepatitlán de Morelos's matches and 75% of Tlaxcala's.
What form are Tepatitlán de Morelos and Tlaxcala in?
Over the last 5 games Tepatitlán de Morelos have a 0-0-4 record (0.00 points per game) and Tlaxcala 0-1-3 (0.25 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Tlaxcala?
The statistical background for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Tlaxcala — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.