Thór vs Valur: match statistics
Thór vs Valur: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Thór played Valur in Úrvalsdeild (Iceland). The match was played on 28 June 2026. Venue: Þórsvöllur. Final score: 2:4.
Current form
Thór: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Valur: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Thór scores 0.82 and concedes 2.55 goals per match. Valur scores 1.67 and concedes 2.00. League average: 4.06 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Thór 55%, Valur 75%. Over 2.5: Thór 64%, Valur 75%. League level: BTTS 72%, Over 2.5 72%.
xG, shots and style
Valur has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.19. Thór: 10.7 shots per match, Valur: 12.9.
Match halves
Thór: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 0.64. Valur: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Thór: 76-90+ (3 goals). Valur: 0-15 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Úrvalsdeild: 4.06 goals per match, BTTS 72%, Over 2.5 72%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Valur is the favorite: they sit 5th in the table versus Thór in 11th, and away they average 1.6 goals per game with a shot conversion of 14%, while Thór at home scores 0.8 with a 7% conversion. Despite similar offensive xG (Valur away xG 1.32 vs Thór home xG 1.29), Valur’s higher efficiency (14% vs 7%) indicates the visitors convert chances better. Defensively both concede frequently — Thór concedes 2.0 goals at home on average and has conceded 11 goals in the last 5 matches (2.2 per game), while Valur concedes 1.8 away and conceded 10 in the last 5 (2.0 per game) — which supports goals from both sides. Thór’s form is weaker (0.2 points per game in the last 5) versus Valur’s 0.8 and they register 80% losses at home, whereas Valur wins 40% of away matches; therefore I tip an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistics clearly favor BTTS - Yes: Thór posts a season BTTS rate of 86% versus Valur's 60% and a league average of 72%, indicating frequent goals from both sides. Both teams defend poorly — Thór concedes 2.14 goals per game, Valur 1.8, and in the last 5 matches they conceded 2.2 and 2.0 respectively, increasing the likelihood of goals at both ends. Attacks also present scoring chances: Thór scores 1.71 goals per game (xG 1.68), Valur 1.6 goals (xG 1.32), with both teams netting 4 goals each in their last 5 matches. Additionally, the league average goals is 4.06; Over 2.5 is 86% for Thór and 60% for Valur, and the Over 2.5 + BTTS combination occurs in 71% of home matches, a strong indicator for both teams scoring. Low clean sheet frequency (Thór 14%, Valur 20%) and a higher number of shots on target (5.14 vs 4.0) reinforce this picture, therefore I recommend 'BTTS - Yes' with an estimated probability of ~75% vs 25% for 'No'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model projects a total expected goals of 3.80: Thór xG ≈ (1.68 + 2.41)/2 = 2.05, Valur xG ≈ (1.32 + 2.19)/2 = 1.75. Thór averages 1.71 goals scored and concedes 2.14 per match, Valur scores 1.60 and concedes 1.80, which together indicate more scoring opportunities than average. Over 2.5 metrics are strong — Thór has 86% of matches >2.5, Valur 60%, and the league average for Over 2.5 is 72% — therefore I assess Over 2.5 at 75%. Over 1.5 is almost certain (Thór 100%, Valur 60%), so I rate it 90%, whereas Over 3.5 is riskier (Thór 43%, Valur 60%) and I assign it 48%, thus I recommend playing Over 2.5 as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Thór led at the break in 3 matches, corresponding to 43% of halftime performances, while Valur led only once (20%), so the hosts have a clear advantage in first-half statistics. In the first 45 minutes Thór averages 1.0 goal and 1.57 points at the break, whereas Valur averages 1.0 goal and 1.0 point at the break, and the visitors concede on average 1.4 goals before halftime. Over the whole match Thór posts higher xG (1.68 vs 1.32) and more shots on target (5.14 vs 4.0), while both teams allow a lot of chances (xG against 2.19 for Thór and 2.41 for Valur), which aligns with a high share of both-teams-to-score matches (BTTS 86% for the hosts, 60% for the visitors). Considering Thór’s advantage in halftime stats (43%), superior xG and greater shot volume, plus Valur’s similar but slightly weaker defensive record, the strongest signal is a host lead at the break and a host win at full-time (1/1). Therefore the model assigns a 32% probability to the 1/1 scenario, with smaller probabilities given to X/1 (12%) and X/X (10%) as alternatives.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Thór | Valur | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Valur is 300% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Thór · 0.8 pts / match - Valur
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Valur is 104% better for: goals scored per match.
0.82 goals / match - Thór · 1.67 goals / match - Valur
Valur is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.55 goals / match - Thór · 2 goals / match - Valur
Thór scores in 64% of matches (7 of 11 matches), while Valur keeps a clean sheet in 17% (2 of 12 matches).
Valur scores in 92% of matches (11 of 12 matches), while Thór keeps a clean sheet in 9% (1 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Thór
Over / Under - Valur
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Valur is 142% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.55 pts / match - Thór · 1.33 pts / match - Valur
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Thór - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Valur - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Thór
Valur
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Úrvalsdeild).
Teams vs league
| Thór | Liga | Valur | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.36 | 4.06 | ▼ 3.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 55% | 72% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 64% | 72% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 9% | 14% | ▲ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 82% | 84% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 91% | 88% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Thór 1 - 0 - 0 Valur. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Thór vs Valur?
The Úrvalsdeild match finished Thór 2:4 Valur. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Thór vs Valur?
Thór score 0.82 goals per game on average and Valur 1.67. The Úrvalsdeild average is 4.06 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 72% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Thór's matches and 75% of Valur's.
What form are Thór and Valur in?
Over the last 5 games Thór have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Valur 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Thór vs Valur?
The statistical background for Thór vs Valur — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.