Albania - SuperligaElbasan ArenaData current as of 18 September 2026

Tirana vs AF Elbasani: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Tirana vs AF Elbasani: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Tirana play AF Elbasani in Superliga (Albania). The match date is 20 September 2026. Venue: Elbasan Arena.

Current form

Tirana: 1-1-2, 1.00 points/match. AF Elbasani: 1-2-1, 1.25 points/match.

Goal statistics

Tirana scores 1.50 and concedes 1.75 goals per match. AF Elbasani scores 1.25 and concedes 1.25. League average: 2.90 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Tirana 50%, AF Elbasani 100%. Over 2.5: Tirana 75%, AF Elbasani 50%. League level: BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 60%.

xG, shots and style

Tirana has higher xG: 1.15 vs 1.12. Tirana: 9.8 shots per match, AF Elbasani: 7.8.

Match halves

Tirana: half-time lead 75%, second-half goals 0.50. AF Elbasani: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.50.

Goals by minute

Tirana: 0-15 (2 goals). AF Elbasani: 31-45+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Superliga: 2.90 goals per match, BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 60%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-2. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 75%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.5Goals scored / match1.25
TiranaAF Elbasani
1.75Goals conceded / match1.25
TiranaAF Elbasani
48%Average possession48%
TiranaAF Elbasani
3.75Shots on target / match3.25
TiranaAF Elbasani

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.75Shots per match7.75
TiranaAF Elbasani
3.75Shots on target3.25
TiranaAF Elbasani
15.4%Shot conversion16.1%
TiranaAF Elbasani
48%Possession48%
TiranaAF Elbasani
1.15xG for1.12
TiranaAF Elbasani
1.63xG against1.88
TiranaAF Elbasani

Shooting quality

Tirana: Efficient finishingAF Elbasani: Efficient finishing
TiranaAF Elbasani
Accuracy (shots on target)38%42%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.400.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

AF Elbasani is 25% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Tirana · 1.25 pts / match - AF Elbasani

Tirana
LLWD
Season result split
25% W25% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-2
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Last 5 at home
1-0-0
W
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.5Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.15Opponent xG: 1.63BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 75%
AF Elbasani
DDLW
Season result split
25% W50% D25% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-2-1
1.25 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-1
1.25 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-1
Last 5 away
0-1-1
DL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.3Goals conceded: 1.3xG: 1.12Opponent xG: 1.88BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 50%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Tirana is 20% better for: goals scored per match.

1.5 goals / match - Tirana · 1.25 goals / match - AF Elbasani

AF Elbasani is 40% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.75 goals / match - Tirana · 1.25 goals / match - AF Elbasani

Tirana scoring profile: very strong

Tirana scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while AF Elbasani keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 matches).

AF Elbasani scoring profile: very strong

AF Elbasani scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while Tirana keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).

6Goals scored (season)5
TiranaAF Elbasani
7Goals conceded (season)5
TiranaAF Elbasani
3.25Average goals in match2.5
TiranaAF Elbasani
6Goals scored (last 5)5
TiranaAF Elbasani
7Goals conceded (last 5)5
TiranaAF Elbasani

How often they score at least...

75%1 goal100%
TiranaAF Elbasani
25%2 goals25%
TiranaAF Elbasani
25%3 goals0%
TiranaAF Elbasani
25%4 goals0%
TiranaAF Elbasani

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal100%
TiranaAF Elbasani
50%2 goals25%
TiranaAF Elbasani
50%3 goals0%
TiranaAF Elbasani
0%4 goals0%
TiranaAF Elbasani

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time50%
TiranaAF Elbasani
0%BTTS in both halves0%
TiranaAF Elbasani
25%Scored in both halves0%
TiranaAF Elbasani

BTTS and goal count

25%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
TiranaAF Elbasani
50%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
TiranaAF Elbasani
50%BTTS - last 5100%
TiranaAF Elbasani

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time75%
TiranaAF Elbasani
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
TiranaAF Elbasani
25%Min. 3 goals before half-time25%
TiranaAF Elbasani

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
TiranaAF Elbasani
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time25%
TiranaAF Elbasani
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
TiranaAF Elbasani

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Tirana is 80% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.25 pts / match - Tirana · 1.25 pts / match - AF Elbasani

Tirana - half-time state
75% leading0% draw25% trailing
AF Elbasani - half-time state
25% leading50% draw25% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.25Points per match (1st half)1.25
TiranaAF Elbasani
1Goals scored (1st half)0.75
TiranaAF Elbasani
0.75Goals conceded (1st half)0.75
TiranaAF Elbasani
1.75Average goals (1st half)1.5
TiranaAF Elbasani
75%Clean sheet before half-time25%
TiranaAF Elbasani
25%No goal before half-time50%
TiranaAF Elbasani

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per match (2nd half)1.25
TiranaAF Elbasani
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
TiranaAF Elbasani
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
TiranaAF Elbasani
1.5Average goals (2nd half)1
TiranaAF Elbasani
50%Clean sheet after half-time50%
TiranaAF Elbasani
75%No goal after half-time50%
TiranaAF Elbasani

Tirana - second-half results

25% W25% D50% L
9
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.25
PPG before half-time
Lead holding33%

Leads at half-time in 75% of matches and wins 25%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

AF Elbasani - second-half results

25% W50% D25% L
5
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
5
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.25
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Tirana - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.251.00
Goals scored / match1.00.5
Goals conceded / match0.81.0
Average goals in match1.81.5
1 goal100%75%
2 goals50%50%
3 goals25%25%
Clean sheet75%50%
No goal25%75%
Goal difference+1-2
Half-time: 75% leading - 0% draw - 25% trailing
2nd half: 25% won - 25% draw - 50% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4
AF Elbasani - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.251.25
Goals scored / match0.80.5
Goals conceded / match0.80.5
Average goals in match1.51.0
1 goal75%75%
2 goals50%25%
3 goals25%0%
Clean sheet25%50%
No goal50%50%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 25% leading - 50% draw - 25% trailing
2nd half: 25% won - 50% draw - 25% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 50% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Tirana
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
1
1
16-30
1
1
31-45
1
0
46-60
0
2
61-75
1
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

AF Elbasani
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
1
1
16-30
2
2
31-45
1
0
46-60
1
1
61-75
0
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.88
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
99%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
75%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+4%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
75%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Tirana

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.48
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.23
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.35
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
94%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
135%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.5
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 33% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

AF Elbasani

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.76
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.76
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.63
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
96%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
78%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Superliga).

Teams vs league

TiranaLigaAF Elbasani
Average goals in match 3.252.90 2.50
Both teams scored 50%65% 100%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 75%60% 50%
Clean sheets 25%20% 0%
Goal before half-time 100%70% 75%
Goal after half-time 75%80% 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.90
Average goals per match
65%
Both teams scored
60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
20%
Clean sheets
1.60
Home goals / match
1.30
Away goals / match
+23%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defence advantage
+5%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (4): Tirana 1 - 1 - 2 AF Elbasani. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 75% matches.

FAQ

When do Tirana and AF Elbasani play?

Tirana face AF Elbasani on 20 September 2026 in Superliga at Elbasan Arena. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Tirana and AF Elbasani?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Tirana won 1, AF Elbasani won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Tirana vs AF Elbasani?

Tirana score 1.50 goals per game on average and AF Elbasani 1.25. The Superliga average is 2.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Tirana's matches and 100% of AF Elbasani's.

What form are Tirana and AF Elbasani in?

Over the last 5 games Tirana have a 1-1-2 record (1.00 points per game) and AF Elbasani 1-2-1 (1.25 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tirana vs AF Elbasani?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.