Mexico - Ascenso MXData current as of 25 September 2026

Tlaxcala vs Cancún: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Tlaxcala vs Cancún: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Tlaxcala play Cancún in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match date is 26 September 2026.

Current form

Tlaxcala: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Cancún: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Tlaxcala scores 1.56 and concedes 2.33 goals per match. Cancún scores 1.89 and concedes 1.22. League average: 3.22 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Tlaxcala 78%, Cancún 44%. Over 2.5: Tlaxcala 78%, Cancún 56%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 60%.

xG, shots and style

Cancún has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.33. Tlaxcala: 10.2 shots per match, Cancún: 13.8.

Match halves

Tlaxcala: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.00. Cancún: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.11.

Goals by minute

Tlaxcala: 76-90+ (5 goals). Cancún: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ascenso MX: 3.22 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 60%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.56Goals scored / match1.89
TlaxcalaCancún
2.33Goals conceded / match1.22
TlaxcalaCancún
45%Average possession42%
TlaxcalaCancún
3.78Shots on target / match5.56
TlaxcalaCancún

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.22Shots per match13.78
TlaxcalaCancún
3.78Shots on target5.56
TlaxcalaCancún
15.2%Shot conversion13.7%
TlaxcalaCancún
45%Possession42%
TlaxcalaCancún
1.33xG for1.65
TlaxcalaCancún
1.43xG against1.55
TlaxcalaCancún

Shooting quality

Tlaxcala: Counter-attackingCancún: Counter-attacking
TlaxcalaCancún
Accuracy (shots on target)37%40%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.410.34

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Cancún is 14% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Tlaxcala · 1.6 pts / match - Cancún

Tlaxcala
LWDWL
Season result split
22% W22% D56% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-2-5
0.89 pts / match · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-0-2
Last 5 at home
2-0-2
LLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.56Opponent xG: 1.31BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Cancún
LWDDW
Season result split
44% W22% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-2-3
1.56 pts / match · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-2-1
Last 5 away
1-2-1
LWDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.99Opponent xG: 1.35BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Cancún is 21% better for: goals scored per match.

1.56 goals / match - Tlaxcala · 1.89 goals / match - Cancún

Cancún is 91% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.33 goals / match - Tlaxcala · 1.22 goals / match - Cancún

Tlaxcala scoring profile: strong

Tlaxcala scores in 78% of matches (7 of 9 matches), while Cancún keeps a clean sheet in 44% (4 of 9 matches).

Cancún scoring profile: very strong

Cancún scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while Tlaxcala keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 9 matches).

14Goals scored (season)17
TlaxcalaCancún
21Goals conceded (season)11
TlaxcalaCancún
3.89Average goals in match3.11
TlaxcalaCancún
9Goals scored (last 5)13
TlaxcalaCancún
10Goals conceded (last 5)5
TlaxcalaCancún

How often they score at least...

78%1 goal89%
TlaxcalaCancún
56%2 goals44%
TlaxcalaCancún
22%3 goals22%
TlaxcalaCancún
0%4 goals11%
TlaxcalaCancún

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal56%
TlaxcalaCancún
67%2 goals44%
TlaxcalaCancún
44%3 goals11%
TlaxcalaCancún
22%4 goals11%
TlaxcalaCancún

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

11%BTTS at half-time22%
TlaxcalaCancún
0%BTTS in both halves11%
TlaxcalaCancún
22%Scored in both halves22%
TlaxcalaCancún

BTTS and goal count

67%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
TlaxcalaCancún
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS22%
TlaxcalaCancún
80%BTTS - last 560%
TlaxcalaCancún

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

89%Min. 1 goal before half-time89%
TlaxcalaCancún
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time67%
TlaxcalaCancún
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
TlaxcalaCancún

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time67%
TlaxcalaCancún
89%Min. 2 goals after half-time44%
TlaxcalaCancún
56%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
TlaxcalaCancún

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Cancún is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.22 pts / match - Tlaxcala · 1.33 pts / match - Cancún

Tlaxcala - half-time state
33% leading22% draw44% trailing
Cancún - half-time state
33% leading33% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.22Points per match (1st half)1.33
TlaxcalaCancún
0.56Goals scored (1st half)0.78
TlaxcalaCancún
0.67Goals conceded (1st half)0.78
TlaxcalaCancún
1.22Average goals (1st half)1.56
TlaxcalaCancún
44%Clean sheet before half-time44%
TlaxcalaCancún
56%No goal before half-time44%
TlaxcalaCancún

After half-time (2nd half)

0.89Points per match (2nd half)1.78
TlaxcalaCancún
1Goals scored (2nd half)1.11
TlaxcalaCancún
1.67Goals conceded (2nd half)0.44
TlaxcalaCancún
2.67Average goals (2nd half)1.56
TlaxcalaCancún
11%Clean sheet after half-time78%
TlaxcalaCancún
44%No goal after half-time44%
TlaxcalaCancún

Tlaxcala - second-half results

22% W22% D56% L
11
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.22
PPG before half-time
Lead holding67%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 22%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+1.0

Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Cancún - second-half results

44% W44% D11% L
12
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Tlaxcala - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.40
Goals scored / match0.61.2
Goals conceded / match0.61.4
Average goals in match1.22.6
1 goal100%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Cancún - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.002.60
Goals scored / match0.62.0
Goals conceded / match0.80.2
Average goals in match1.42.2
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal60%0%
Goal difference-1+9
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Tlaxcala
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
2
3
16-30
2
1
31-45
2
5
46-60
2
3
61-75
5
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Cancún
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
1
2
16-30
3
2
31-45
1
1
46-60
2
0
61-75
7
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.50
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 2.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
109%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
61%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-43%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
69%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Tlaxcala

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.67
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.23
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.90
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
79%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
186%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.51
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
36% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
36%

Cancún

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.57
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.24
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.33
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
151%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
62%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.04
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
41% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
41%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).

Teams vs league

TlaxcalaLigaCancún
Average goals in match▲ 3.893.22▼ 3.11
Both teams scored▲ 78%56%▼ 44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 78%60%▼ 56%
Clean sheets▼ 0%24%▲ 44%
Goal before half-time▲ 89%76%▲ 89%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%79%▼ 67%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.22
Average goals per match
56%
Both teams scored
60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.97
Home goals / match
1.25
Away goals / match
+58%
Home attack advantage
+37%
Home defence advantage
+22%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
58%
2 goals
36%
3 goals
15%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Tlaxcala 1 - 0 - 1 Cancún. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Tlaxcala FC
1 : 0
Cancún FC
Cancún FC
3 : 0
Tlaxcala FC

FAQ

When do Tlaxcala and Cancún play?

Tlaxcala face Cancún on 26 September 2026 in Ascenso MX. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Tlaxcala and Cancún?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Tlaxcala won 1, Cancún won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Tlaxcala vs Cancún?

Tlaxcala score 1.56 goals per game on average and Cancún 1.89. The Ascenso MX average is 3.22 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 78% of Tlaxcala's matches and 44% of Cancún's.

What form are Tlaxcala and Cancún in?

Over the last 5 games Tlaxcala have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Cancún 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tlaxcala vs Cancún?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Tlaxcala vs Cancún: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.