Mexico - Ascenso MXData current as of 21 October 2026

Tlaxcala vs Correcaminos UAT: match statistics

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Tlaxcala vs Correcaminos UAT: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Tlaxcala play Correcaminos UAT in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match date is 25 October 2026.

Current form

Tlaxcala: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Correcaminos UAT: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Tlaxcala scores 1.92 and concedes 2.08 goals per match. Correcaminos UAT scores 1.62 and concedes 1.69. League average: 3.26 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Tlaxcala 85%, Correcaminos UAT 77%. Over 2.5: Tlaxcala 77%, Correcaminos UAT 77%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 63%.

xG, shots and style

Correcaminos UAT has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.51. Tlaxcala: 11.9 shots per match, Correcaminos UAT: 14.0.

Match halves

Tlaxcala: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 1.23. Correcaminos UAT: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Tlaxcala: 76-90+ (10 goals). Correcaminos UAT: 16-30 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ascenso MX: 3.26 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 63%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.00)
(3.65)
(3.05)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

TlaxcalaCorrecaminos UAT
1.92Goals scored / match1.62
TlaxcalaCorrecaminos UAT
2.08Goals conceded / match1.69
TlaxcalaCorrecaminos UAT
44%Average possession51%
TlaxcalaCorrecaminos UAT
4.77Shots on target / match4.54
TlaxcalaCorrecaminos UAT

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.92Shots per match14
TlaxcalaCorrecaminos UAT
4.77Shots on target4.54
TlaxcalaCorrecaminos UAT
16.1%Shot conversion11.5%
TlaxcalaCorrecaminos UAT
44%Possession51%
TlaxcalaCorrecaminos UAT
1.51xG for1.57
TlaxcalaCorrecaminos UAT
1.59xG against1.56
TlaxcalaCorrecaminos UAT

Shooting quality

Tlaxcala: Counter-attackingCorrecaminos UAT: Attacking
TlaxcalaCorrecaminos UAT
Accuracy (shots on target)40%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.400.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Tlaxcala is 100% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Tlaxcala · 0.8 pts / match - Correcaminos UAT

Tlaxcala
LWDWD
Season result split
31% W31% D38% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-4-5
1.23 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-0-2
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
LWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.88Opponent xG: 1.83BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Correcaminos UAT
LWDLL
Season result split
31% W31% D38% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-4-5
1.23 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-3
Last 5 away
2-0-3
WWLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.78Opponent xG: 1.35BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Tlaxcala is 19% better for: goals scored per match.

1.92 goals / match - Tlaxcala · 1.62 goals / match - Correcaminos UAT

Correcaminos UAT is 23% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.08 goals / match - Tlaxcala · 1.69 goals / match - Correcaminos UAT

Tlaxcala scoring profile: very strong

Tlaxcala scores in 85% of matches (11 of 13 matches), while Correcaminos UAT keeps a clean sheet in 23% (3 of 13 matches).

Correcaminos UAT scoring profile: very strong

Correcaminos UAT scores in 85% of matches (11 of 13 matches), while Tlaxcala keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 13 matches).

25Goals scored (season)21
TlaxcalaCorrecaminos UAT
27Goals conceded (season)22
TlaxcalaCorrecaminos UAT
4Average goals in match3.31
TlaxcalaCorrecaminos UAT
11Goals scored (last 5)4
TlaxcalaCorrecaminos UAT
10Goals conceded (last 5)7
TlaxcalaCorrecaminos UAT

How often they score at least...

85%1 goal85%
TlaxcalaCorrecaminos UAT
62%2 goals46%
TlaxcalaCorrecaminos UAT
31%3 goals31%
TlaxcalaCorrecaminos UAT
15%4 goals0%
TlaxcalaCorrecaminos UAT

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal77%
TlaxcalaCorrecaminos UAT
62%2 goals54%
TlaxcalaCorrecaminos UAT
31%3 goals31%
TlaxcalaCorrecaminos UAT
15%4 goals8%
TlaxcalaCorrecaminos UAT

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

77%
Correcaminos UAT - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.10 of 13 matches
61%
League average

Goal patterns

31%BTTS at half-time38%
TlaxcalaCorrecaminos UAT
0%BTTS in both halves15%
TlaxcalaCorrecaminos UAT
31%Scored in both halves31%
TlaxcalaCorrecaminos UAT

BTTS and goal count

69%Min. 3 goals and BTTS77%
TlaxcalaCorrecaminos UAT
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
TlaxcalaCorrecaminos UAT
80%BTTS - last 560%
TlaxcalaCorrecaminos UAT

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

92%Min. 1 goal before half-time69%
TlaxcalaCorrecaminos UAT
46%Min. 2 goals before half-time38%
TlaxcalaCorrecaminos UAT
15%Min. 3 goals before half-time15%
TlaxcalaCorrecaminos UAT

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time85%
TlaxcalaCorrecaminos UAT
77%Min. 2 goals after half-time69%
TlaxcalaCorrecaminos UAT
54%Min. 3 goals after half-time38%
TlaxcalaCorrecaminos UAT

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Correcaminos UAT is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.15 pts / match - Tlaxcala · 1.23 pts / match - Correcaminos UAT

Tlaxcala - half-time state
31% leading23% draw46% trailing
Correcaminos UAT - half-time state
23% leading54% draw23% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.15Points per match (1st half)1.23
TlaxcalaCorrecaminos UAT
0.69Goals scored (1st half)0.62
TlaxcalaCorrecaminos UAT
0.85Goals conceded (1st half)0.62
TlaxcalaCorrecaminos UAT
1.54Average goals (1st half)1.23
TlaxcalaCorrecaminos UAT
31%Clean sheet before half-time38%
TlaxcalaCorrecaminos UAT
46%No goal before half-time54%
TlaxcalaCorrecaminos UAT

After half-time (2nd half)

1.31Points per match (2nd half)1.31
TlaxcalaCorrecaminos UAT
1.23Goals scored (2nd half)1
TlaxcalaCorrecaminos UAT
1.23Goals conceded (2nd half)1.08
TlaxcalaCorrecaminos UAT
2.46Average goals (2nd half)2.08
TlaxcalaCorrecaminos UAT
31%Clean sheet after half-time38%
TlaxcalaCorrecaminos UAT
38%No goal after half-time31%
TlaxcalaCorrecaminos UAT

Tlaxcala - second-half results

38% W15% D46% L
15
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.15
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Correcaminos UAT - second-half results

31% W38% D31% L
16
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.23
PPG before half-time
Lead holding135%

Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Tlaxcala - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.80
Goals scored / match0.81.4
Goals conceded / match1.20.8
Average goals in match2.02.2
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals40%60%
Clean sheet0%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference-2+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 4
Correcaminos UAT - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.00
Goals scored / match0.20.6
Goals conceded / match0.41.0
Average goals in match0.61.6
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-1-2
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Tlaxcala
ScoredConceded
1
3
0-15
3
5
16-30
5
3
31-45
3
6
46-60
3
3
61-75
10
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Correcaminos UAT
ScoredConceded
0
4
0-15
6
2
16-30
2
2
31-45
2
1
46-60
5
5
61-75
6
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.66
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.8 : 1.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
112%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
81%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-32%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
72%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
4+
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Tlaxcala

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.41
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.49
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
96%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
164%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.37
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
40% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 4% come in the first quarter-hour.
40%

Correcaminos UAT

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
128%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
85%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.43
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).

Teams vs league

TlaxcalaLigaCorrecaminos UAT
Average goals in match▲ 4.003.26• 3.31
Both teams scored▲ 85%61%▲ 77%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 77%63%▲ 77%
Clean sheets▼ 0%22%• 23%
Goal before half-time▲ 92%76%▼ 69%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%82%▲ 85%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.26
Average goals per match
61%
Both teams scored
63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.99
Home goals / match
1.27
Away goals / match
+57%
Home attack advantage
+36%
Home defence advantage
+21%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
82%
1 goal
58%
2 goals
34%
3 goals
13%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Tlaxcala 0 - 0 - 2 Correcaminos UAT. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Correcaminos UAT
2 : 1
Tlaxcala FC
Tlaxcala FC
0 : 2
Correcaminos UAT

FAQ

When do Tlaxcala and Correcaminos UAT play?

Tlaxcala face Correcaminos UAT on 25 October 2026 in Ascenso MX. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Tlaxcala and Correcaminos UAT?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Tlaxcala won 0, Correcaminos UAT won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Tlaxcala vs Correcaminos UAT?

Tlaxcala score 1.92 goals per game on average and Correcaminos UAT 1.62. The Ascenso MX average is 3.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 85% of Tlaxcala's matches and 77% of Correcaminos UAT's.

What form are Tlaxcala and Correcaminos UAT in?

Over the last 5 games Tlaxcala have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Correcaminos UAT 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tlaxcala vs Correcaminos UAT?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Tlaxcala vs Correcaminos UAT: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.