Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tokyo play Mito Hollyhock in J1 League (Japan). The match date is 25 October 2026. Venue: Ajinomoto Stadium.
Current form
Tokyo: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Mito Hollyhock: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tokyo scores 2.10 and concedes 0.80 goals per match. Mito Hollyhock scores 1.20 and concedes 1.40. League average: 2.92 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tokyo 30%, Mito Hollyhock 70%. Over 2.5: Tokyo 50%, Mito Hollyhock 40%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Tokyo has higher xG: 1.78 vs 1.09. Tokyo: 16.0 shots per match, Mito Hollyhock: 10.3.
Match halves
Tokyo: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 1.50. Mito Hollyhock: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.60.
Goals by minute
Tokyo: 61-75 (7 goals). Mito Hollyhock: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
J1 League: 2.92 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tokyo | Mito Hollyhock | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tokyo is 1400% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - Tokyo · 0.2 pts / match - Mito Hollyhock
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tokyo is 75% better for: goals scored per match.
2.1 goals / match - Tokyo · 1.2 goals / match - Mito Hollyhock
Tokyo is 75% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.8 goals / match - Tokyo · 1.4 goals / match - Mito Hollyhock
Tokyo scores in 100% of matches (10 of 10 matches), while Mito Hollyhock keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 10 matches).
Mito Hollyhock scores in 70% of matches (7 of 10 matches), while Tokyo keeps a clean sheet in 70% (7 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tokyo
Over / Under - Mito Hollyhock
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tokyo is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Tokyo · 1.4 pts / match - Mito Hollyhock
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tokyo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 70%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Mito Hollyhock - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 20%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +10 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 0% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tokyo
Mito Hollyhock
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (J1 League).
Teams vs league
| Tokyo | Liga | Mito Hollyhock | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.90 | 2.92 | ▼ 2.60 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 30% | 56% | ▲ 70% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 55% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 70% | 25% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 67% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 87% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Tokyo 0 - 0 - 1 Mito Hollyhock. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
When do Tokyo and Mito Hollyhock play?
Tokyo face Mito Hollyhock on 25 October 2026 in J1 League at Ajinomoto Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock?
Tokyo score 2.10 goals per game on average and Mito Hollyhock 1.20. The J1 League average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 30% of Tokyo's matches and 70% of Mito Hollyhock's.
What form are Tokyo and Mito Hollyhock in?
Over the last 5 games Tokyo have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Mito Hollyhock 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.