Toluca vs Atlético San Luis: match statistics
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Toluca vs Atlético San Luis: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Toluca play Atlético San Luis in Liga MX (Mexico). The match date is 18 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez.
Current form
Toluca: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Atlético San Luis: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Toluca scores 2.27 and concedes 1.36 goals per match. Atlético San Luis scores 1.36 and concedes 1.82. League average: 2.97 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Toluca 64%, Atlético San Luis 64%. Over 2.5: Toluca 73%, Atlético San Luis 73%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Toluca has higher xG: 1.89 vs 1.34. Toluca: 17.8 shots per match, Atlético San Luis: 12.8.
Match halves
Toluca: half-time lead 55%, second-half goals 1.18. Atlético San Luis: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.82.
Goals by minute
Toluca: 46-60 (6 goals). Atlético San Luis: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga MX: 2.97 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Toluca | Atlético San Luis | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Toluca is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Toluca · 1.2 pts / match - Atlético San Luis
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Toluca is 67% better for: goals scored per match.
2.27 goals / match - Toluca · 1.36 goals / match - Atlético San Luis
Toluca is 34% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.36 goals / match - Toluca · 1.82 goals / match - Atlético San Luis
Toluca scores in 91% of matches (10 of 11 matches), while Atlético San Luis keeps a clean sheet in 9% (1 of 11 matches).
Atlético San Luis scores in 64% of matches (7 of 11 matches), while Toluca keeps a clean sheet in 36% (4 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Toluca
Over / Under - Atlético San Luis
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Toluca is 62% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.91 pts / match - Toluca · 1.18 pts / match - Atlético San Luis
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Toluca - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 55% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Atlético San Luis - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Toluca
Atlético San Luis
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Toluca | Liga | Atlético San Luis | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.64 | 2.97 | ▲ 3.18 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 61% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 73% | 53% | ▲ 73% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 22% | ▼ 9% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 69% | ▼ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 91% | 85% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Toluca 1 - 1 - 0 Atlético San Luis. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
When do Toluca and Atlético San Luis play?
Toluca face Atlético San Luis on 18 October 2026 in Liga MX at Estadio Nemesio Díez. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Toluca and Atlético San Luis?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Toluca won 1, Atlético San Luis won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Toluca vs Atlético San Luis?
Toluca score 2.27 goals per game on average and Atlético San Luis 1.36. The Liga MX average is 2.97 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Toluca's matches and 64% of Atlético San Luis's.
What form are Toluca and Atlético San Luis in?
Over the last 5 games Toluca have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Atlético San Luis 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Toluca vs Atlético San Luis?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Toluca vs Atlético San Luis: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.