Toluca vs Pumas UNAM: match statistics
Toluca vs Pumas UNAM: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Toluca play Pumas UNAM in Liga MX (Mexico). The match date is 22 July 2026 at 05:05. Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Toluca: 1-0-1, 1.50 points/match. Pumas UNAM: 1-0-1, 1.50 points/match.
Goal statistics
Toluca scores 1.50 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Pumas UNAM scores 1.00 and concedes 2.00. League average: 3.18 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Toluca 50%, Pumas UNAM 50%. Over 2.5: Toluca 50%, Pumas UNAM 100%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 73%.
xG, shots and style
Toluca has higher xG: 1.79 vs 0.97. Toluca: 15.0 shots per match, Pumas UNAM: 8.5.
Match halves
Toluca: half-time lead 100%, second-half goals 0.50. Pumas UNAM: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Toluca: 0-15 (1 goals). Pumas UNAM: 46-60 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga MX: 3.18 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 73%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-1-0. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Toluca are the favorites: in the last 5 matches the home side scored 7 goals and have a record of 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses (lwldw), while Pumas scored only 2 goals in that period and have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses (lwdll). Toluca average 1.4 points per game over the last 5 matches versus 0.8 points for Pumas, reflecting a clearly superior points efficiency. Defensively Toluca conceded 4 goals in five matches (0.8 goals per game), while Pumas conceded 6 (1.2 goals per game); seasonally Toluca have 2 goals scored and 0 conceded versus Pumas 0 scored and 3 conceded. Lack of details on shots on target and xG (values '0' in the provided data) limits assessment of chance quality, but Toluca’s advantage in goals (7 vs 2) and points (1.4 vs 0.8) over the last five matches indicates their edge. On that basis I back the home win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Toluca | Pumas UNAM | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 24% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.50 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Toluca is 50% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Toluca · 1 goals / match - Pumas UNAM
Toluca is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Toluca · 2 goals / match - Pumas UNAM
Toluca scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while Pumas UNAM keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 matches).
Pumas UNAM scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while Toluca keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Toluca
Over / Under — Pumas UNAM
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Toluca - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 100% of matches and wins 50%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Pumas UNAM - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 50% |
| No goal | 0% | 50% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 50% |
| No goal | 100% | 50% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (1 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Toluca
Pumas UNAM
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Toluca | Liga | Pumas UNAM | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.50 | 3.18 | ▼ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 64% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 73% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 18% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 73% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 91% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Toluca 1 - 1 - 0 Pumas UNAM. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Toluca vs Pumas UNAM?
The Liga MX match finished Toluca 1:2 Pumas UNAM. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Toluca and Pumas UNAM?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Toluca won 1, Pumas UNAM won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Toluca vs Pumas UNAM?
Toluca score 1.50 goals per game on average and Pumas UNAM 1.00. The Liga MX average is 3.18 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 73% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Toluca's matches and 50% of Pumas UNAM's.
What form are Toluca and Pumas UNAM in?
Over the last 5 games Toluca have a 1-0-1 record (1.50 points per game) and Pumas UNAM 1-0-1 (1.50 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Toluca vs Pumas UNAM?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.