Toluca vs Santos Laguna: match statistics
Toluca demonstrates a decisive advantage as hosts, boasting an impressive 67% home win rate and a +17 goal difference. The home side averages 2.67 goals per match on their own turf, failing to score in just 8% of games, which underscores their offensive efficiency. In contrast, Santos Laguna remains winless away this season (0% victories), conceding an average of 2.25 goals per game with a -10 goal difference on the road. The visitors' recent form is disastrous, marked by a four-match losing streak away from home, whereas Toluca has won 3 of their last 5 fixtures. With xG statistics clearly favoring the hosts (2.06 vs 1.09), Toluca's offensive dominance makes a home win the most probable outcome.
Toluca vs Santos Laguna: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Toluca played Santos Laguna in Liga MX (Mexico). The match was played on 15 January 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Toluca: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Santos Laguna: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Toluca scores 2.13 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Santos Laguna scores 1.28 and concedes 1.72. League average: 2.98 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Toluca 54%, Santos Laguna 50%. Over 2.5: Toluca 58%, Santos Laguna 61%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Toluca has higher xG: 1.77 vs 1.21. Toluca: 17.3 shots per match, Santos Laguna: 10.5.
Match halves
Toluca: half-time lead 46%, second-half goals 1.08. Santos Laguna: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.61.
Goals by minute
Toluca: 46-60 (12 goals). Santos Laguna: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga MX: 2.98 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Toluca demonstrates a decisive advantage as hosts, boasting an impressive 67% home win rate and a +17 goal difference. The home side averages 2.67 goals per match on their own turf, failing to score in just 8% of games, which underscores their offensive efficiency. In contrast, Santos Laguna remains winless away this season (0% victories), conceding an average of 2.25 goals per game with a -10 goal difference on the road. The visitors' recent form is disastrous, marked by a four-match losing streak away from home, whereas Toluca has won 3 of their last 5 fixtures. With xG statistics clearly favoring the hosts (2.06 vs 1.09), Toluca's offensive dominance makes a home win the most probable outcome.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Toluca | Santos Laguna | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Toluca is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Toluca · 1.4 pts / match - Santos Laguna
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Toluca is 66% better for: goals scored per match.
2.13 goals / match - Toluca · 1.28 goals / match - Santos Laguna
Toluca is 72% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Toluca · 1.72 goals / match - Santos Laguna
Toluca scores in 75% of matches (18 of 24 matches), while Santos Laguna keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
Santos Laguna scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Toluca keeps a clean sheet in 33% (8 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Toluca
Over / Under - Santos Laguna
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Toluca is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.71 pts / match - Toluca · 1.22 pts / match - Santos Laguna
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Toluca - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 46% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Santos Laguna - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Toluca
Santos Laguna
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Toluca | Liga | Santos Laguna | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.13 | 2.98 | • 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 54% | 57% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 55% | ▲ 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 24% | ▲ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 72% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 78% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Toluca 1 - 0 - 0 Santos Laguna. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Toluca vs Santos Laguna?
The Liga MX match finished Toluca 3:1 Santos Laguna. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Toluca vs Santos Laguna?
Toluca score 2.13 goals per game on average and Santos Laguna 1.28. The Liga MX average is 2.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Toluca's matches and 50% of Santos Laguna's.
What form are Toluca and Santos Laguna in?
Over the last 5 games Toluca have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Santos Laguna 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Toluca vs Santos Laguna?
The statistical background for Toluca vs Santos Laguna — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.