Mexico - Liga MXEstadio Nemesio DíezData current as of 20 September 2026

Toluca vs Santos Laguna: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Toluca vs Santos Laguna: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Toluca play Santos Laguna in Liga MX (Mexico). The match date is 21 September 2026. Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez.

Current form

Toluca: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Santos Laguna: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Toluca scores 2.25 and concedes 0.75 goals per match. Santos Laguna scores 0.75 and concedes 1.63. League average: 2.80 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Toluca 50%, Santos Laguna 38%. Over 2.5: Toluca 63%, Santos Laguna 50%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 51%.

xG, shots and style

Toluca has higher xG: 1.81 vs 1.40. Toluca: 17.1 shots per match, Santos Laguna: 13.3.

Match halves

Toluca: half-time lead 63%, second-half goals 1.13. Santos Laguna: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.50.

Goals by minute

Toluca: 16-30 (4 goals). Santos Laguna: 76-90+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Liga MX: 2.80 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 51%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

TolucaSantos Laguna
2.25Goals scored / match0.75
TolucaSantos Laguna
0.75Goals conceded / match1.63
TolucaSantos Laguna
61%Average possession50%
TolucaSantos Laguna
5.63Shots on target / match3.63
TolucaSantos Laguna

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

17.13Shots per match13.25
TolucaSantos Laguna
5.63Shots on target3.63
TolucaSantos Laguna
13.1%Shot conversion5.7%
TolucaSantos Laguna
61%Possession50%
TolucaSantos Laguna
1.81xG for1.4
TolucaSantos Laguna
1.17xG against1.82
TolucaSantos Laguna

Shooting quality

Toluca: DominantSantos Laguna: Balanced
TolucaSantos Laguna
Accuracy (shots on target)33%27%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.400.21

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Toluca is 225% better for: last-5 form.

2.6 pts / match - Toluca · 0.8 pts / match - Santos Laguna

Toluca
DWWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
75% W13% D13% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-1-1
2.38 pts / match · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-0-1
Last 5 at home
3-0-1
LWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.61Opponent xG: 1.26BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Santos Laguna
LLDLW
Season result split
13% W13% D75% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-6
0.50 pts / match · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-4
Last 5 away
0-0-4
LLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.45Opponent xG: 1.77BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Toluca is 200% better for: goals scored per match.

2.25 goals / match - Toluca · 0.75 goals / match - Santos Laguna

Toluca is 117% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.75 goals / match - Toluca · 1.63 goals / match - Santos Laguna

Toluca scoring profile: very strong

Toluca scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Santos Laguna keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).

Santos Laguna scoring profile: more difficult

Santos Laguna scores in 38% of matches (3 of 8 matches), while Toluca keeps a clean sheet in 50% (4 of 8 matches).

18Goals scored (season)6
TolucaSantos Laguna
6Goals conceded (season)13
TolucaSantos Laguna
3Average goals in match2.38
TolucaSantos Laguna
12Goals scored (last 5)4
TolucaSantos Laguna
3Goals conceded (last 5)6
TolucaSantos Laguna

How often they score at least...

88%1 goal38%
TolucaSantos Laguna
63%2 goals38%
TolucaSantos Laguna
38%3 goals0%
TolucaSantos Laguna
25%4 goals0%
TolucaSantos Laguna

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal88%
TolucaSantos Laguna
25%2 goals38%
TolucaSantos Laguna
0%3 goals38%
TolucaSantos Laguna
0%4 goals0%
TolucaSantos Laguna

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

55%
League average

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time25%
TolucaSantos Laguna
0%BTTS in both halves13%
TolucaSantos Laguna
50%Scored in both halves25%
TolucaSantos Laguna

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
TolucaSantos Laguna
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
TolucaSantos Laguna
40%BTTS - last 540%
TolucaSantos Laguna

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

63%Min. 1 goal before half-time38%
TolucaSantos Laguna
38%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%
TolucaSantos Laguna
25%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
TolucaSantos Laguna

2nd half

88%Min. 1 goal after half-time88%
TolucaSantos Laguna
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time38%
TolucaSantos Laguna
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time25%
TolucaSantos Laguna

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Toluca is 200% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.25 pts / match - Toluca · 0.75 pts / match - Santos Laguna

Toluca - half-time state
63% leading38% draw0% trailing
Santos Laguna - half-time state
0% leading75% draw25% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.25Points per match (1st half)0.75
TolucaSantos Laguna
1.13Goals scored (1st half)0.25
TolucaSantos Laguna
0.13Goals conceded (1st half)0.63
TolucaSantos Laguna
1.25Average goals (1st half)0.88
TolucaSantos Laguna
88%Clean sheet before half-time63%
TolucaSantos Laguna
38%No goal before half-time75%
TolucaSantos Laguna

After half-time (2nd half)

2.13Points per match (2nd half)0.88
TolucaSantos Laguna
1.13Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
TolucaSantos Laguna
0.63Goals conceded (2nd half)1
TolucaSantos Laguna
1.75Average goals (2nd half)1.5
TolucaSantos Laguna
63%Clean sheet after half-time25%
TolucaSantos Laguna
25%No goal after half-time63%
TolucaSantos Laguna

Toluca - second-half results

63% W25% D13% L
18
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.25
PPG before half-time
Lead holding119%

Leads at half-time in 63% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Santos Laguna - second-half results

25% W13% D63% L
6
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.75
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Toluca - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.802.20
Goals scored / match1.01.4
Goals conceded / match0.00.6
Average goals in match1.02.0
1 goal40%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+5+4
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5
Santos Laguna - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.80
Goals scored / match0.20.6
Goals conceded / match0.21.0
Average goals in match0.41.6
1 goal20%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Toluca
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
4
0
16-30
3
1
31-45
3
2
46-60
4
1
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Santos Laguna
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
0
2
16-30
1
1
31-45
1
2
46-60
1
4
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.69
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.9 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
44%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+86%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
33%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Toluca

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.64
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.86
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.44
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.42
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
150%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
58%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.22
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
11% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
11%

Santos Laguna

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.42
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.46
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.65
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
58%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
109%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).

Teams vs league

TolucaLigaSantos Laguna
Average goals in match 3.002.80 2.38
Both teams scored 50%55% 38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 63%51% 50%
Clean sheets 50%26% 13%
Goal before half-time 63%65% 38%
Goal after half-time 88%84% 88%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.80
Average goals per match
55%
Both teams scored
51%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.50
Home goals / match
1.30
Away goals / match
+15%
Home attack advantage
+13%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
65%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
84%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Toluca 2 - 0 - 0 Santos Laguna. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 : 1
Club Santos Laguna
Club Santos Laguna
2 : 4
Deportivo Toluca FC

FAQ

When do Toluca and Santos Laguna play?

Toluca face Santos Laguna on 21 September 2026 in Liga MX at Estadio Nemesio Díez. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Toluca and Santos Laguna?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Toluca won 2, Santos Laguna won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Toluca vs Santos Laguna?

Toluca score 2.25 goals per game on average and Santos Laguna 0.75. The Liga MX average is 2.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Toluca's matches and 38% of Santos Laguna's.

What form are Toluca and Santos Laguna in?

Over the last 5 games Toluca have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Santos Laguna 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Toluca vs Santos Laguna?

The statistical background for Toluca vs Santos Laguna — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.