Italy - Serie AStadio Olimpico Grande TorinoData current as of 03 November 2026

Torino vs Lecce: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Torino vs Lecce: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Torino play Lecce in Serie A (Italy). The match date is 7 November 2026. Venue: Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino.

Current form

Torino: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Lecce: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Torino scores 1.40 and concedes 1.60 goals per match. Lecce scores 1.10 and concedes 2.10. League average: 3.18 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Torino 70%, Lecce 40%. Over 2.5: Torino 70%, Lecce 70%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 61%.

xG, shots and style

Lecce has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.20. Torino: 10.8 shots per match, Lecce: 12.7.

Match halves

Torino: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.80. Lecce: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.50.

Goals by minute

Torino: 61-75 (5 goals). Lecce: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie A: 3.18 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 61%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.01)
(3.81)
(3.92)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.4Goals scored / match1.1
TorinoLecce
1.6Goals conceded / match2.1
TorinoLecce
49%Average possession42%
TorinoLecce
3.7Shots on target / match5
TorinoLecce

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.8Shots per match12.7
TorinoLecce
3.7Shots on target5
TorinoLecce
13%Shot conversion8.7%
TorinoLecce
49%Possession42%
TorinoLecce
1.2xG for1.45
TorinoLecce
1.76xG against1.74
TorinoLecce

Shooting quality

Torino: Efficient finishingLecce: Balanced
TorinoLecce
Accuracy (shots on target)34%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.380.22

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Torino is 200% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Torino · 0.6 pts / match - Lecce

Torino
WWWLL
Season result split
40% W10% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-1-5
1.30 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-0-3
Last 5 at home
2-0-3
LLWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.33Opponent xG: 1.87BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Lecce
LWLLL
Season result split
30% W0% D70% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-0-7
0.90 pts / match · goal difference -10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-0-3
Last 5 away
2-0-3
WLLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.91Opponent xG: 1.50BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Torino is 27% better for: goals scored per match.

1.4 goals / match - Torino · 1.1 goals / match - Lecce

Torino is 31% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.6 goals / match - Torino · 2.1 goals / match - Lecce

Torino scoring profile: very strong

Torino scores in 80% of matches (8 of 10 matches), while Lecce keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).

Lecce scoring profile: very strong

Lecce scores in 60% of matches (6 of 10 matches), while Torino keeps a clean sheet in 10% (1 of 10 matches).

14Goals scored (season)11
TorinoLecce
16Goals conceded (season)21
TorinoLecce
3Average goals in match3.2
TorinoLecce
9Goals scored (last 5)6
TorinoLecce
8Goals conceded (last 5)11
TorinoLecce

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal60%
TorinoLecce
40%2 goals30%
TorinoLecce
20%3 goals20%
TorinoLecce
0%4 goals0%
TorinoLecce

How often they concede at least...

90%1 goal80%
TorinoLecce
60%2 goals70%
TorinoLecce
10%3 goals30%
TorinoLecce
0%4 goals20%
TorinoLecce

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time20%
TorinoLecce
0%BTTS in both halves0%
TorinoLecce
30%Scored in both halves10%
TorinoLecce

BTTS and goal count

60%Min. 3 goals and BTTS40%
TorinoLecce
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS30%
TorinoLecce
60%BTTS - last 560%
TorinoLecce

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

70%Min. 1 goal before half-time90%
TorinoLecce
30%Min. 2 goals before half-time60%
TorinoLecce
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time30%
TorinoLecce

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time70%
TorinoLecce
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time40%
TorinoLecce
40%Min. 3 goals after half-time10%
TorinoLecce

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Torino is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.4 pts / match - Torino · 0.7 pts / match - Lecce

Torino - half-time state
30% leading50% draw20% trailing
Lecce - half-time state
20% leading10% draw70% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.4Points per match (1st half)0.7
TorinoLecce
0.6Goals scored (1st half)0.6
TorinoLecce
0.4Goals conceded (1st half)1.3
TorinoLecce
1Average goals (1st half)1.9
TorinoLecce
60%Clean sheet before half-time20%
TorinoLecce
50%No goal before half-time70%
TorinoLecce

After half-time (2nd half)

1.3Points per match (2nd half)1
TorinoLecce
0.8Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
TorinoLecce
1.2Goals conceded (2nd half)0.8
TorinoLecce
2Average goals (2nd half)1.3
TorinoLecce
30%Clean sheet after half-time50%
TorinoLecce
40%No goal after half-time60%
TorinoLecce

Torino - second-half results

40% W10% D50% L
14
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.40
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.8

Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Lecce - second-half results

20% W40% D40% L
7
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.70
PPG before half-time
Lead holding150%

Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.5

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Torino - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.40
Goals scored / match1.00.8
Goals conceded / match0.21.4
Average goals in match1.22.2
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+4-3
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5
Lecce - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.20
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match1.40.8
Average goals in match2.01.4
1 goal100%60%
2 goals80%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-4-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 0% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Torino
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
2
0
16-30
3
3
31-45
0
3
46-60
5
2
61-75
3
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

Lecce
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
1
8
16-30
2
2
31-45
1
1
46-60
1
5
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.10
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.8 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
55%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-35%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
48%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Torino

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.56
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.36
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.16
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
86%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
103%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.50
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

Lecce

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.29
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.71
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.35
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.36
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
71%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
130%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 27% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

TorinoLigaLecce
Average goals in match▼ 3.003.18• 3.20
Both teams scored▲ 70%58%▼ 40%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 70%61%▲ 70%
Clean sheets▼ 10%22%▼ 20%
Goal before half-time• 70%70%▲ 90%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%84%▼ 70%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.18
Average goals per match
58%
Both teams scored
61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.62
Home goals / match
1.56
Away goals / match
+4%
Home attack advantage
+4%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
10%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
84%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
28%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Torino 1 - 0 - 1 Lecce. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

FAQ

When do Torino and Lecce play?

Torino face Lecce on 7 November 2026 in Serie A at Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Torino and Lecce?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Torino won 1, Lecce won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Torino vs Lecce?

Torino score 1.40 goals per game on average and Lecce 1.10. The Serie A average is 3.18 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Torino's matches and 40% of Lecce's.

What form are Torino and Lecce in?

Over the last 5 games Torino have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Lecce 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Torino vs Lecce?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.