United States - MLSData current as of 01 September 2026

Toronto vs Chicago Fire: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Toronto vs Chicago Fire: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Toronto play Chicago Fire in MLS (United States). The match date is 5 September 2026.

Current form

Toronto: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Chicago Fire: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Toronto scores 1.45 and concedes 1.73 goals per match. Chicago Fire scores 1.86 and concedes 1.33. League average: 3.20 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Toronto 82%, Chicago Fire 71%. Over 2.5: Toronto 64%, Chicago Fire 76%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 62%.

xG, shots and style

Chicago Fire has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.34. Toronto: 11.5 shots per match, Chicago Fire: 13.9.

Match halves

Toronto: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 1.05. Chicago Fire: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.95.

Goals by minute

Toronto: 76-90+ (12 goals). Chicago Fire: 61-75 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

MLS: 3.20 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 62%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.75)
(3.70)
(2.24)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

TorontoChicago Fire
1.45Goals scored / match1.86
TorontoChicago Fire
1.73Goals conceded / match1.33
TorontoChicago Fire
46%Average possession51%
TorontoChicago Fire
4.27Shots on target / match5.24
TorontoChicago Fire

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.5Shots per match13.86
TorontoChicago Fire
4.27Shots on target5.24
TorontoChicago Fire
12.6%Shot conversion13.4%
TorontoChicago Fire
46%Possession51%
TorontoChicago Fire
1.34xG for1.58
TorontoChicago Fire
1.45xG against1.39
TorontoChicago Fire

Shooting quality

Toronto: Counter-attackingChicago Fire: Efficient finishing
TorontoChicago Fire
Accuracy (shots on target)37%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Chicago Fire is 22% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Toronto · 2.2 pts / match - Chicago Fire

Toronto
DWDWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
23% W45% R32% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-10-7
1.14 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-7-2
Last 5 at home
1-3-1
DLWDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.27Opponent xG: 1.64BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 60%
Chicago Fire
WWWDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
52% W19% R29% P
Season (W-D-L)
11-4-6
1.76 pts / match · goal difference +11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-4-3
Last 5 away
1-2-2
LLWDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.42Opponent xG: 1.42BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Chicago Fire is 28% better for: goals scored per match.

1.45 goals / match - Toronto · 1.86 goals / match - Chicago Fire

Chicago Fire is 30% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.73 goals / match - Toronto · 1.33 goals / match - Chicago Fire

Toronto scoring profile: very strong

Toronto scores in 86% of matches (19 of 22 matches), while Chicago Fire keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 matches).

Chicago Fire scoring profile: very strong

Chicago Fire scores in 95% of matches (20 of 21 matches), while Toronto keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 22 matches).

32Goals scored (season)39
TorontoChicago Fire
38Goals conceded (season)28
TorontoChicago Fire
3.18Average goals in match3.19
TorontoChicago Fire
9Goals scored (last 5)9
TorontoChicago Fire
7Goals conceded (last 5)6
TorontoChicago Fire

How often they score at least...

86%1 goal95%
TorontoChicago Fire
41%2 goals62%
TorontoChicago Fire
18%3 goals19%
TorontoChicago Fire
0%4 goals5%
TorontoChicago Fire

How often they concede at least...

86%1 goal71%
TorontoChicago Fire
50%2 goals38%
TorontoChicago Fire
32%3 goals24%
TorontoChicago Fire
5%4 goals0%
TorontoChicago Fire

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

63%
League average

Goal patterns

27%BTTS at half-time38%
TorontoChicago Fire
9%BTTS in both halves14%
TorontoChicago Fire
9%Scored in both halves43%
TorontoChicago Fire

BTTS and goal count

59%Min. 3 goals and BTTS67%
TorontoChicago Fire
5%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
TorontoChicago Fire
100%BTTS - last 5100%
TorontoChicago Fire

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

68%Min. 1 goal before half-time86%
TorontoChicago Fire
36%Min. 2 goals before half-time43%
TorontoChicago Fire
18%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
TorontoChicago Fire

2nd half

77%Min. 1 goal after half-time81%
TorontoChicago Fire
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time48%
TorontoChicago Fire
32%Min. 3 goals after half-time29%
TorontoChicago Fire

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Chicago Fire is 134% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.73 pts / match - Toronto · 1.71 pts / match - Chicago Fire

Toronto - half-time state
9% leading45% draw45% trailing
Chicago Fire - half-time state
43% leading43% draw14% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.73Points per match (1st half)1.71
TorontoChicago Fire
0.41Goals scored (1st half)0.9
TorontoChicago Fire
0.82Goals conceded (1st half)0.62
TorontoChicago Fire
1.23Average goals (1st half)1.52
TorontoChicago Fire
41%Clean sheet before half-time52%
TorontoChicago Fire
64%No goal before half-time24%
TorontoChicago Fire

After half-time (2nd half)

1.45Points per match (2nd half)1.29
TorontoChicago Fire
1.05Goals scored (2nd half)0.95
TorontoChicago Fire
0.91Goals conceded (2nd half)0.71
TorontoChicago Fire
1.95Average goals (2nd half)1.67
TorontoChicago Fire
36%Clean sheet after half-time52%
TorontoChicago Fire
41%No goal after half-time38%
TorontoChicago Fire

Toronto - second-half results

36% W36% R27% P
16
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
-9
Goal difference (1st half)
32
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.73
PPG before half-time
Lead holding256%

Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Chicago Fire - second-half results

33% W29% R38% P
36
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
27
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.71
PPG before half-time
Lead holding121%

Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Toronto - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.002.00
Goals scored / match0.81.0
Goals conceded / match0.80.6
Average goals in match1.61.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference0+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
Chicago Fire - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.00
Goals scored / match1.20.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match1.61.4
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal0%40%
Goal difference+4-1
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Toronto
ScoredConceded
3
5
0-15
1
6
16-30
5
7
31-45
4
6
46-60
7
5
61-75
12
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Chicago Fire
ScoredConceded
6
2
0-15
8
4
16-30
5
7
31-45
3
4
46-60
9
1
61-75
8
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.19
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
100%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
77%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-6%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
82%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Toronto

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.11
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.11
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
79%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
126%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.66
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
38% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
38%

Chicago Fire

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.19
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.34
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.28
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
136%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
73%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.44
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).

Teams vs league

TorontoLigaChicago Fire
Average goals in match 3.183.20 3.19
Both teams scored 82%63% 71%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 64%62% 76%
Clean sheets 14%21% 29%
Goal before half-time 68%77% 86%
Goal after half-time 77%81% 81%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.20
Average goals per match
63%
Both teams scored
62%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.83
Home goals / match
1.37
Away goals / match
+34%
Home attack advantage
+25%
Home defence advantage
+18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
51%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Toronto 0 - 0 - 1 Chicago Fire. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do Toronto and Chicago Fire play?

Toronto face Chicago Fire on 5 September 2026 in MLS. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Toronto vs Chicago Fire?

Toronto score 1.45 goals per game on average and Chicago Fire 1.86. The MLS average is 3.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 82% of Toronto's matches and 71% of Chicago Fire's.

What form are Toronto and Chicago Fire in?

Over the last 5 games Toronto have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Chicago Fire 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Toronto vs Chicago Fire?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Toronto vs Chicago Fire: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.