United States - MLSBMO FieldData current as of 15 October 2026

Toronto vs Orlando City: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Toronto vs Orlando City: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Toronto play Orlando City in MLS (United States). The match date is 14 October 2026. Venue: BMO Field.

Current form

Toronto: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Orlando City: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Toronto scores 1.46 and concedes 1.86 goals per match. Orlando City scores 1.82 and concedes 2.36. League average: 3.26 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Toronto 79%, Orlando City 68%. Over 2.5: Toronto 68%, Orlando City 75%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.

xG, shots and style

Orlando City has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.38. Toronto: 12.1 shots per match, Orlando City: 12.5.

Match halves

Toronto: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 1.07. Orlando City: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 1.14.

Goals by minute

Toronto: 76-90+ (17 goals). Orlando City: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

MLS: 3.26 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.48)
(4.09)
(2.62)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

TorontoOrlando City
1.46Goals scored / match1.82
TorontoOrlando City
1.86Goals conceded / match2.36
TorontoOrlando City
45%Average possession49%
TorontoOrlando City
4.39Shots on target / match5.07
TorontoOrlando City

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.14Shots per match12.46
TorontoOrlando City
4.39Shots on target5.07
TorontoOrlando City
12.1%Shot conversion14.6%
TorontoOrlando City
45%Possession49%
TorontoOrlando City
1.38xG for1.45
TorontoOrlando City
1.54xG against1.9
TorontoOrlando City

Shooting quality

Toronto: Counter-attackingOrlando City: Efficient finishing
TorontoOrlando City
Accuracy (shots on target)36%41%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Orlando City is 50% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Toronto · 1.8 pts / match - Orlando City

Toronto
WLLLW
Season result split
25% W39% D36% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-11-10
1.14 pts / match · goal difference -11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-8-2
Last 5 at home
2-3-0
DDDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.43Opponent xG: 1.93BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Orlando City
WWLLW
Season result split
39% W14% D46% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-4-13
1.32 pts / match · goal difference -15
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-2-9
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LDWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.66Opponent xG: 2.16BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Orlando City is 25% better for: goals scored per match.

1.46 goals / match - Toronto · 1.82 goals / match - Orlando City

Toronto is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.86 goals / match - Toronto · 2.36 goals / match - Orlando City

Toronto scoring profile: very strong

Toronto scores in 82% of matches (23 of 28 matches), while Orlando City keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 28 matches).

Orlando City scoring profile: very strong

Orlando City scores in 82% of matches (23 of 28 matches), while Toronto keeps a clean sheet in 11% (3 of 28 matches).

41Goals scored (season)51
TorontoOrlando City
52Goals conceded (season)66
TorontoOrlando City
3.32Average goals in match4.18
TorontoOrlando City
5Goals scored (last 5)13
TorontoOrlando City
10Goals conceded (last 5)12
TorontoOrlando City

How often they score at least...

82%1 goal82%
TorontoOrlando City
43%2 goals57%
TorontoOrlando City
18%3 goals29%
TorontoOrlando City
4%4 goals14%
TorontoOrlando City

How often they concede at least...

89%1 goal86%
TorontoOrlando City
54%2 goals61%
TorontoOrlando City
36%3 goals43%
TorontoOrlando City
7%4 goals25%
TorontoOrlando City

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

64%
League average

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time21%
TorontoOrlando City
11%BTTS in both halves11%
TorontoOrlando City
11%Scored in both halves32%
TorontoOrlando City

BTTS and goal count

61%Min. 3 goals and BTTS57%
TorontoOrlando City
7%Min. 3 goals without BTTS18%
TorontoOrlando City
60%BTTS - last 580%
TorontoOrlando City

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time89%
TorontoOrlando City
36%Min. 2 goals before half-time54%
TorontoOrlando City
18%Min. 3 goals before half-time21%
TorontoOrlando City

2nd half

79%Min. 1 goal after half-time93%
TorontoOrlando City
57%Min. 2 goals after half-time68%
TorontoOrlando City
36%Min. 3 goals after half-time43%
TorontoOrlando City

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Orlando City is 76% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.71 pts / match - Toronto · 1.25 pts / match - Orlando City

Toronto - half-time state
11% leading39% draw50% trailing
Orlando City - half-time state
36% leading18% draw46% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.71Points per match (1st half)1.25
TorontoOrlando City
0.39Goals scored (1st half)0.68
TorontoOrlando City
0.86Goals conceded (1st half)1.07
TorontoOrlando City
1.25Average goals (1st half)1.75
TorontoOrlando City
36%Clean sheet before half-time39%
TorontoOrlando City
68%No goal before half-time50%
TorontoOrlando City

After half-time (2nd half)

1.39Points per match (2nd half)1.29
TorontoOrlando City
1.07Goals scored (2nd half)1.14
TorontoOrlando City
1Goals conceded (2nd half)1.29
TorontoOrlando City
2.07Average goals (2nd half)2.43
TorontoOrlando City
36%Clean sheet after half-time36%
TorontoOrlando City
39%No goal after half-time36%
TorontoOrlando City

Toronto - second-half results

36% W32% D32% L
20
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-13
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.71
PPG before half-time
Lead holding227%

Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Orlando City - second-half results

36% W21% D43% L
35
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
-11
Goal difference (1st half)
36
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.25
PPG before half-time
Lead holding108%

Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Toronto - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.201.40
Goals scored / match0.01.0
Goals conceded / match1.01.0
Average goals in match1.02.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal100%40%
Goal difference-50
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Orlando City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.60
Goals scored / match0.81.8
Goals conceded / match1.01.4
Average goals in match1.83.2
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%100%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal40%0%
Goal difference-1+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Toronto
ScoredConceded
3
7
0-15
2
7
16-30
6
10
31-45
5
10
46-60
8
7
61-75
17
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

Orlando City
ScoredConceded
3
9
0-15
13
11
16-30
3
10
31-45
9
13
46-60
9
8
61-75
14
15
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.75
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.9 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
115%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
74%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-20%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
67%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Toronto

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.16
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.24
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.32
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
79%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
133%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.06
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
41% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
41%

Orlando City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.45
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+5.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.37
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.46
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
130%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
128%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.48
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).

Teams vs league

TorontoLigaOrlando City
Average goals in match• 3.323.26▲ 4.18
Both teams scored▲ 79%64%▲ 68%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 68%64%▲ 75%
Clean sheets▼ 11%20%▼ 14%
Goal before half-time▼ 71%78%▲ 89%
Goal after half-time▼ 79%82%▲ 93%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.26
Average goals per match
64%
Both teams scored
64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
20%
Clean sheets
1.85
Home goals / match
1.40
Away goals / match
+32%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
82%
1 goal
54%
2 goals
24%
3 goals
11%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Toronto 0 - 0 - 1 Orlando City. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

When do Toronto and Orlando City play?

Toronto face Orlando City on 14 October 2026 in MLS at BMO Field. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Toronto vs Orlando City?

Toronto score 1.46 goals per game on average and Orlando City 1.82. The MLS average is 3.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 79% of Toronto's matches and 68% of Orlando City's.

What form are Toronto and Orlando City in?

Over the last 5 games Toronto have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Orlando City 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Toronto vs Orlando City?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.