TPS vs Ilves: match statistics
TPS vs Ilves: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
TPS play Ilves in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The match date is 20 July 2026 at 17:00. Venue: Veritas Stadion. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
TPS: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Ilves: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
TPS scores 1.25 and concedes 1.19 goals per match. Ilves scores 1.75 and concedes 1.88. League average: 2.67 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: TPS 56%, Ilves 69%. Over 2.5: TPS 50%, Ilves 75%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
TPS has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.44. TPS: 11.7 shots per match, Ilves: 11.8.
Match halves
TPS: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.69. Ilves: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.88.
Goals by minute
TPS: 76-90+ (6 goals). Ilves: 16-30 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Veikkausliiga: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I back the home win ('1') because TPS wins 75% of home matches and keeps a clean sheet in 50% of games, conceding just 0.75 goals per home game on average. Ilves have no away wins (0%), lose 63% of away matches and concede 2.63 goals per away game on average, which strongly favors TPS’s defense. In attack the hosts generate 1.44 xG at home versus Ilves’s 1.5 xG away, while average goals are 1.75 for TPS at home and 1.5 for Ilves away with shot conversion 16% vs 12%. In the last 5 matches TPS scored 8 goals and has 1.4 points per game, Ilves scored 7 goals and 1.0 point per game; both teams conceded 7 goals, but the points balance favors the hosts. Considering the superior defense (0.75 vs 2.63), higher finishing efficiency and strong home record (75% wins), I assign 72% probability to a TPS win, 15% to a draw and 13% to an Ilves win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| TPS | Ilves | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ilves is 40% better for: goals scored per match.
1.25 goals / match - TPS · 1.75 goals / match - Ilves
TPS is 58% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.19 goals / match - TPS · 1.88 goals / match - Ilves
TPS scores in 81% of matches (13 of 16 matches), while Ilves keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 matches).
Ilves scores in 94% of matches (15 of 16 matches), while TPS keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — TPS
Over / Under — Ilves
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ilves is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - TPS · 1.38 pts / match - Ilves
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
TPS - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ilves - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 31%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
TPS
Ilves
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).
Teams vs league
| TPS | Liga | Ilves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.44 | 2.67 | ▲ 3.63 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 51% | ▲ 69% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 47% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 28% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 75% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 78% | ▲ 94% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: TPS 0 - 0 - 1 Ilves. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of TPS vs Ilves?
The Veikkausliiga match finished TPS 1:3 Ilves. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before TPS vs Ilves?
TPS score 1.25 goals per game on average and Ilves 1.75. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 56% of TPS's matches and 69% of Ilves's.
What form are TPS and Ilves in?
Over the last 5 games TPS have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Ilves 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for TPS vs Ilves?
The statistical background for TPS vs Ilves — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.