TPS vs Oulu: match statistics
TPS vs Oulu: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
TPS play Oulu in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The match date is 11 July 2026 at 16:00. Venue: Veritas Stadion. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
TPS: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Oulu: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
TPS scores 1.25 and concedes 1.19 goals per match. Oulu scores 1.25 and concedes 1.25. League average: 2.67 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: TPS 56%, Oulu 44%. Over 2.5: TPS 50%, Oulu 44%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
TPS has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.28. TPS: 11.7 shots per match, Oulu: 11.1.
Match halves
TPS: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.69. Oulu: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.81.
Goals by minute
TPS: 76-90+ (6 goals). Oulu: 61-75 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Veikkausliiga: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I back the home win (1) because TPS has a clear home advantage: 71% home wins, on average 1.57 goals scored and only 0.86 conceded per match, and 43% of home games with a clean sheet. In attack TPS generates more chances at home — on average 5 shots on target and 10.86 shots with a conversion rate of 14%, versus Oulu away who record 3.5 shots on target, 10.5 shots and 13% conversion. Oulu, however, have superior season parameters and overall form: 3rd in the table vs 7th TPS, 20 goals scored vs 16, and in the last 5 matches 6 goals and 1.6 points per game compared to TPS’s 5 goals and 0.8 points per game. xG analysis confirms the hosts’ defensive efficiency — TPS have xG for 1.42 and xG against 1.77 at home, yet concede only 0.86 goals, while Oulu away have xG for 1.2 and xG against 1.5 and 25% of away matches without scoring, which limits their realistic chances of winning. Therefore, given Oulu’s moderate strength and TPS’s better home efficiency I assign 55% to the hosts, 25% to the draw and 20% to the visitors.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| TPS | Oulu | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
TPS is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - TPS · 0.8 pts / match - Oulu
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
TPS is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.19 goals / match - TPS · 1.25 goals / match - Oulu
TPS scores in 81% of matches (13 of 16 matches), while Oulu keeps a clean sheet in 38% (6 of 16 matches).
Oulu scores in 75% of matches (12 of 16 matches), while TPS keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — TPS
Over / Under — Oulu
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Oulu is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - TPS · 1.19 pts / match - Oulu
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
TPS - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Oulu - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
TPS
Oulu
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).
Teams vs league
| TPS | Liga | Oulu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.44 | 2.67 | ▼ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 51% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 47% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 28% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 75% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 78% | ▼ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: TPS 0 - 0 - 1 Oulu. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of TPS vs Oulu?
The Veikkausliiga match finished TPS 3:0 Oulu. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before TPS vs Oulu?
TPS score 1.25 goals per game on average and Oulu 1.25. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 56% of TPS's matches and 44% of Oulu's.
What form are TPS and Oulu in?
Over the last 5 games TPS have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Oulu 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for TPS vs Oulu?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for TPS vs Oulu: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.