Trans vs Paide: match statistics
Trans vs Paide: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Trans play Paide in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match date is 20 May 2026 at 18:00. Venue: Kreenholmi Staadion. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Trans: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Paide: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Trans scores 0.75 and concedes 2.35 goals per match. Paide scores 1.60 and concedes 1.40. League average: 3.11 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Trans 40%, Paide 70%. Over 2.5: Trans 75%, Paide 55%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Paide has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.54. Trans: 12.9 shots per match, Paide: 13.7.
Match halves
Trans: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.35. Paide: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
Trans: 76-90+ (5 goals). Paide: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Meistriliiga: 3.11 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
5 H2H matches: 2-0-3. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 20%.
Match description
Paide is the favorite: the team in 4th place scored 21 goals this season versus Trans’s 9, and away they have a goal difference of +4 while Trans have -4 at home. In the last 5 matches Paide scored 7 and conceded 8, whereas Trans has not scored in that period and conceded 16 (3.2 per match on average), which clearly highlights the hosts’ poor form. The visitors are also more efficient — 16% conversion with an average of 5.83 shots on target translates to 2.33 goals away, while Trans have 7% conversion, 4.5 shots on target and 1.17 goals at home. Paide maintains higher possession (55% vs 47%) and have 0% of away matches without a goal, while Trans have 33% of home matches without scoring and collected 0 points in the last 5 matches. Considering the visitors’ superior efficiency, higher expected goals output (2.33 vs 1.17) and Trans’s weak defense (34 goals conceded this season and 16 in the last 5), I predict a Paide victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Trans | Paide | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.20 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Paide is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Trans · 2 pts / match - Paide
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Paide is 113% better for: goals scored per match.
0.75 goals / match - Trans · 1.6 goals / match - Paide
Paide is 68% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.35 goals / match - Trans · 1.4 goals / match - Paide
Trans scores in 50% of matches (10 of 20 matches), while Paide keeps a clean sheet in 20% (4 of 20 matches).
Paide scores in 90% of matches (18 of 20 matches), while Trans keeps a clean sheet in 15% (3 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Trans
Over / Under — Paide
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Paide is 107% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.75 pts / match - Trans · 1.55 pts / match - Paide
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Trans - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Paide - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Trans
Paide
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Trans | Liga | Paide | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.10 | 3.11 | ▼ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 58% | ▲ 70% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 75% | 66% | ▼ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 23% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 74% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 95% | 88% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Trans 2 - 0 - 3 Paide. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 20% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Trans vs Paide?
The Meistriliiga match finished Trans 1:0 Paide. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Trans and Paide?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Trans won 2, Paide won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 20% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Trans vs Paide?
Trans score 0.75 goals per game on average and Paide 1.60. The Meistriliiga average is 3.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Trans's matches and 70% of Paide's.
What form are Trans and Paide in?
Over the last 5 games Trans have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Paide 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Trans vs Paide?
The statistical background for Trans vs Paide — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.