Kenya - Kenyan Premier LeagueRuaraka StadiumData current as of 21 October 2026

Tusker vs Shabana: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Tusker vs Shabana: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Tusker play Shabana in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The match date is 23 October 2026. Venue: Ruaraka Stadium.

Current form

Tusker: 1-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Shabana: 1-1-0, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Tusker scores 2.00 and concedes 0.00 goals per match. Shabana scores 0.50 and concedes 0.00. League average: 2.24 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Tusker 0%, Shabana 0%. Over 2.5: Tusker 0%, Shabana 0%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 35%.

xG, shots and style

Tusker has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.37. Tusker: 9.0 shots per match, Shabana: 7.5.

Match halves

Tusker: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 2.00. Shabana: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.50.

Goals by minute

Tusker: 61-75 (2 goals). Shabana: 61-75 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Kenyan Premier League: 2.24 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 35%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-2. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

2Goals scored / match0.5
TuskerShabana
0Goals conceded / match0
TuskerShabana
55%Average possession52%
TuskerShabana
4Shots on target / match2.5
TuskerShabana

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9Shots per match7.5
TuskerShabana
4Shots on target2.5
TuskerShabana
22.2%Shot conversion6.7%
TuskerShabana
55%Possession52%
TuskerShabana
1.47xG for1.37
TuskerShabana
1.12xG against1.49
TuskerShabana

Shooting quality

Tusker: Efficient finishingShabana: Balanced
TuskerShabana
Accuracy (shots on target)44%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.160.18
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.500.20

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Tusker is 50% better for: last-5 form.

3 pts / match - Tusker · 2 pts / match - Shabana

Tusker
W
5 wins in a row
Season result split
100% W0% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-0-0
3.00 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-0-0
Last 5 at home
0-0-0
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.0xG: 1.47Opponent xG: 1.12BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%
Shabana
WD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
50% W50% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-0
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-0
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Last 5 away
1-0-0
W
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.5Goals conceded: 0.0xG: 1.37Opponent xG: 1.49BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Tusker is 300% better for: goals scored per match.

2 goals / match - Tusker · 0.5 goals / match - Shabana

Tusker scoring profile: mixed

Tusker scores in 100% of matches (1 of 1 matches), while Shabana keeps a clean sheet in 100% (2 of 2 matches).

Shabana scoring profile: more difficult

Shabana scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while Tusker keeps a clean sheet in 100% (1 of 1 matches).

2Goals scored (season)1
TuskerShabana
0Goals conceded (season)0
TuskerShabana
2Average goals in match0.5
TuskerShabana
2Goals scored (last 5)1
TuskerShabana
0Goals conceded (last 5)0
TuskerShabana

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal50%
TuskerShabana
100%2 goals0%
TuskerShabana
0%3 goals0%
TuskerShabana
0%4 goals0%
TuskerShabana

How often they concede at least...

0%1 goal0%
TuskerShabana
0%2 goals0%
TuskerShabana
0%3 goals0%
TuskerShabana
0%4 goals0%
TuskerShabana

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time0%
TuskerShabana
0%BTTS in both halves0%
TuskerShabana
0%Scored in both halves0%
TuskerShabana

BTTS and goal count

0%Min. 3 goals and BTTS0%
TuskerShabana
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
TuskerShabana
0%BTTS - last 50%
TuskerShabana

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

0%Min. 1 goal before half-time0%
TuskerShabana
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
TuskerShabana
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
TuskerShabana

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time50%
TuskerShabana
100%Min. 2 goals after half-time0%
TuskerShabana
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
TuskerShabana

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Tusker - half-time state
0% leading100% draw0% trailing
Shabana - half-time state
0% leading100% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)1
TuskerShabana
0Goals scored (1st half)0
TuskerShabana
0Goals conceded (1st half)0
TuskerShabana
0Average goals (1st half)0
TuskerShabana
100%Clean sheet before half-time100%
TuskerShabana
100%No goal before half-time100%
TuskerShabana

After half-time (2nd half)

3Points per match (2nd half)2
TuskerShabana
2Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
TuskerShabana
0Goals conceded (2nd half)0
TuskerShabana
2Average goals (2nd half)0.5
TuskerShabana
100%Clean sheet after half-time100%
TuskerShabana
0%No goal after half-time50%
TuskerShabana

Tusker - second-half results

100% W0% D0% L
1
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
3
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Shabana - second-half results

50% W50% D0% L
2
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Tusker - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.003.00
Goals scored / match0.02.0
Goals conceded / match0.00.0
Average goals in match0.02.0
1 goal0%100%
2 goals0%100%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%100%
No goal100%0%
Goal difference0+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 100% won - 0% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Shabana - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.002.00
Goals scored / match0.00.5
Goals conceded / match0.00.0
Average goals in match0.00.5
1 goal0%50%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%100%
No goal100%50%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 50% won - 50% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Tusker
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
2
0
61-75
0
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Shabana
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
1
0
61-75
0
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (1 goal). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.25
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 0.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
56%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
0%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+20%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
50%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Tusker

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.35
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.65
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
0.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.53
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+1.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
169%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
0%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+2.0
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Shabana

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.12
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.62
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.87
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+1.49
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
47%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
0%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).

Teams vs league

TuskerLigaShabana
Average goals in match▼ 2.002.24▼ 0.50
Both teams scored▼ 0%53%▼ 0%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 0%35%▼ 0%
Clean sheets▲ 100%32%▲ 100%
Goal before half-time▼ 0%47%▼ 0%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%76%▼ 50%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.24
Average goals per match
53%
Both teams scored
35%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.18
Home goals / match
1.06
Away goals / match
+11%
Home attack advantage
+10%
Home defence advantage
+-5%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
47%
1 goal
18%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
29%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (4): Tusker 0 - 2 - 2 Shabana. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Shabana
1 : 0
Tusker
Shabana
1 : 0
Tusker
Tusker
1 : 1
Shabana
Tusker
1 : 1
Shabana

FAQ

When do Tusker and Shabana play?

Tusker face Shabana on 23 October 2026 in Kenyan Premier League at Ruaraka Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Tusker and Shabana?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Tusker won 0, Shabana won 2 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Tusker vs Shabana?

Tusker score 2.00 goals per game on average and Shabana 0.50. The Kenyan Premier League average is 2.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 0% of Tusker's matches and 0% of Shabana's.

What form are Tusker and Shabana in?

Over the last 5 games Tusker have a 1-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Shabana 1-1-0 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tusker vs Shabana?

The statistical background for Tusker vs Shabana — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.