Tusker vs Sofapaka: match statistics
Tusker vs Sofapaka: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tusker play Sofapaka in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The match date is 11 April 2026 at 12:00. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Tusker: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Sofapaka: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tusker scores 0.83 and concedes 0.93 goals per match. Sofapaka scores 0.54 and concedes 1.29. League average: 2.01 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tusker 34%, Sofapaka 25%. Over 2.5: Tusker 28%, Sofapaka 25%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots and style
Tusker has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.35. Tusker: 10.9 shots per match, Sofapaka: 9.4.
Match halves
Tusker: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.21. Sofapaka: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.18.
Goals by minute
Tusker: 0-15 (14 goals). Sofapaka: 0-15 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kenyan Premier League: 2.01 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Prediction: home win ('1'), because Tusker averages 0.83 goals per home match with xG 1.70 and 4.17 shots on target, while Sofapaka away averages only 0.54 goals with xG 1.17 and 2.62 shots on target. Sofapaka have failed to score in the last 5 matches (0 goals in last 5) and register 69% of away matches without scoring, which drastically reduces their offensive prospects. Defensively Tusker concede 1.17 goals at home and keep 33% clean sheets, whereas Sofapaka concede 1.38 goals away and have only 15% clean sheets, so the visitors are more susceptible to conceding. In form Tusker collect 1.2 points per match over the last 5, and Sofapaka only 0.4, and the hosts have 33% home wins versus 15% away wins for the visitors, amplifying the home advantage. As a result I assess probabilities as: home 62%, draw 23%, away 15%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tusker | Sofapaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.16 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tusker is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Tusker · 0.6 pts / match - Sofapaka
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tusker is 54% better for: goals scored per match.
0.83 goals / match - Tusker · 0.54 goals / match - Sofapaka
Tusker is 39% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.93 goals / match - Tusker · 1.29 goals / match - Sofapaka
Tusker scores in 66% of matches (19 of 29 matches), while Sofapaka keeps a clean sheet in 25% (7 of 28 matches).
Sofapaka scores in 32% of matches (9 of 28 matches), while Tusker keeps a clean sheet in 38% (11 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Tusker
Over / Under — Sofapaka
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tusker - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Sofapaka - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 11%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (14 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (20). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (28). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tusker
Sofapaka
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Tusker | Liga | Sofapaka | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.76 | 2.01 | ▼ 1.82 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 34% | 43% | ▼ 25% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 28% | 33% | ▼ 25% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 36% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 31% | 21% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal after half-time | • 21% | 22% | • 21% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Tusker 1 - 0 - 0 Sofapaka. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tusker vs Sofapaka?
The Kenyan Premier League match finished Tusker 0:0 Sofapaka. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Tusker vs Sofapaka?
Tusker score 0.83 goals per game on average and Sofapaka 0.54. The Kenyan Premier League average is 2.01 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 34% of Tusker's matches and 25% of Sofapaka's.
What form are Tusker and Sofapaka in?
Over the last 5 games Tusker have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Sofapaka 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tusker vs Sofapaka?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Tusker vs Sofapaka: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.