UCV Moquegua vs Cienciano: match statistics
UCV Moquegua vs Cienciano: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
UCV Moquegua played Cienciano in Primera División (Peru). The match was played on 8 October 2026. Venue: Estadio 25 de Noviembre. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
UCV Moquegua: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Cienciano: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
UCV Moquegua scores 0.89 and concedes 1.52 goals per match. Cienciano scores 1.70 and concedes 1.48. League average: 2.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: UCV Moquegua 44%, Cienciano 67%. Over 2.5: UCV Moquegua 56%, Cienciano 63%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Cienciano has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.08. UCV Moquegua: 10.4 shots per match, Cienciano: 15.9.
Match halves
UCV Moquegua: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.48. Cienciano: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
UCV Moquegua: 46-60 (8 goals). Cienciano: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.78 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Cienciano hold the edge in season-long performance: they have won 12 of 27 matches and scored 46 goals, while UCV Moquegua have recorded 6 wins and 24 goals. The last five matches also favour the visitors, who have collected 9 goals and 7 points, compared with the hosts’ 4 goals and 3 points. Away from home, Cienciano create slightly more chances, averaging 1.39 xG compared with UCV’s 1.21 at home, and register 4.92 shots on target per match versus 3.77 for the hosts. However, backing an away win calls for caution: Cienciano concede an average of 1.92 goals on the road and have lost 54% of their away matches, giving UCV a genuine opportunity to make home advantage count. Despite this defensive weakness, Cienciano’s stronger scoring record over the season and a clearly better recent run tip the prediction slightly in their favour.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS has occurred in 64% of UCV Moquegua matches and 69% of Cienciano matches, both above the league average of 59%. The hosts score an average of 1.93 goals and generate an xG of 1.92, while Cienciano concede 1.92 goals per match and have yet to keep a clean sheet. The visitors also have grounds to find the net: they average 1.46 goals per match and scored an average of 1.8 goals across their last five games, while UCV conceded 2.4 over the same period. However, caution is warranted, as the hosts have scored just 4 goals in their last five matches, and Cienciano have failed to score in 31% of their games. Even so, the combination of both teams conceding regularly and their seasonal BTTS frequency supports a BTTS - Yes pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been cleared in 79% of UCV Moquegua matches and 85% of Cienciano matches. The hosts average 1.93 goals scored, while the visitors concede 1.92, giving UCV a solid basis to make a significant contribution to the total. Cienciano can also find the net: they have averaged 1.8 goals scored across their last five matches, while UCV have conceded 2.4. I estimate the total at 3.10 goals, but Over 2.5 goals has landed slightly less often—in 57% of the hosts’ matches and 69% of the visitors’—so Over 1.5 goals is the safer pick.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal for the half-time result comes from the last five matches: Cienciano were leading at the break three times, while UCV Moquegua were trailing three times. Over the same period, the visitors scored an average of 1.8 goals per match, while the hosts conceded 2.4 goals per match and suffered four defeats. Cienciano have a realistic chance of maintaining their lead after the break, as UCV scored just 0.2 goals on average in the second half across their last five matches. Season-long figures, however, favour the hosts: they win 57% of their matches compared with 31% for the visitors, so a home win remains a significant alternative scenario. Despite this, the clear gap in the teams’ recent form currently points most strongly to Cienciano leading at the break and winning at full time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| UCV Moquegua | Cienciano | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cienciano is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - UCV Moquegua · 0.8 pts / match - Cienciano
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cienciano is 91% better for: goals scored per match.
0.89 goals / match - UCV Moquegua · 1.7 goals / match - Cienciano
UCV Moquegua scores in 56% of matches (15 of 27 matches), while Cienciano keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 27 matches).
Cienciano scores in 78% of matches (21 of 27 matches), while UCV Moquegua keeps a clean sheet in 26% (7 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - UCV Moquegua
Over / Under - Cienciano
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
UCV Moquegua - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 22%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Cienciano - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
UCV Moquegua
Cienciano
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| UCV Moquegua | Liga | Cienciano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.41 | 2.78 | ▲ 3.19 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 59% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 54% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 26% | 24% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | • 70% | 69% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | • 78% | 79% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: UCV Moquegua 0 - 0 - 1 Cienciano. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of UCV Moquegua vs Cienciano?
The Primera División match finished UCV Moquegua 0:2 Cienciano. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before UCV Moquegua vs Cienciano?
UCV Moquegua score 0.89 goals per game on average and Cienciano 1.70. The Primera División average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 44% of UCV Moquegua's matches and 67% of Cienciano's.
What form are UCV Moquegua and Cienciano in?
Over the last 5 games UCV Moquegua have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Cienciano 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for UCV Moquegua vs Cienciano?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for UCV Moquegua vs Cienciano: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.