Venezuela - Primera DivisiónEstadio Olímpico de la UCVData current as of 18 September 2026

UCV vs Carabobo: match statistics

Reasoning:

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UCV vs Carabobo: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

UCV play Carabobo in Primera División (Venezuela). The match date is 20 September 2026. Venue: Estadio Olímpico de la UCV.

Current form

UCV: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Carabobo: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

UCV scores 1.48 and concedes 1.31 goals per match. Carabobo scores 1.53 and concedes 0.90. League average: 2.52 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: UCV 59%, Carabobo 47%. Over 2.5: UCV 52%, Carabobo 30%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 44%.

xG, shots and style

Carabobo has higher xG: 1.75 vs 1.36. UCV: 12.7 shots per match, Carabobo: 16.2.

Match halves

UCV: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.83. Carabobo: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 1.03.

Goals by minute

UCV: 31-45+ (9 goals). Carabobo: 46-60 (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Primera División: 2.52 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 44%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 1-2-2. Average goals 3.40, BTTS 80%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.48Goals scored / match1.53
UCVCarabobo
1.31Goals conceded / match0.9
UCVCarabobo
51%Average possession55%
UCVCarabobo
4.28Shots on target / match5.27
UCVCarabobo

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.66Shots per match16.17
UCVCarabobo
4.28Shots on target5.27
UCVCarabobo
11.7%Shot conversion9.5%
UCVCarabobo
51%Possession55%
UCVCarabobo
1.36xG for1.75
UCVCarabobo
1.32xG against1.2
UCVCarabobo

Shooting quality

UCV: BalancedCarabobo: Dominant
UCVCarabobo
Accuracy (shots on target)34%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

UCV is 10% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / match - UCV · 2 pts / match - Carabobo

UCV
WDDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
41% W24% D34% L
Season (W-D-L)
12-7-10
1.48 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-4-3
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WLWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.36Opponent xG: 1.22BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Carabobo
DLWWW
Season result split
43% W37% D20% L
Season (W-D-L)
13-11-6
1.67 pts / match · goal difference +19
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-5-6
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LLDLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.47Opponent xG: 1.63BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Carabobo is 46% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.31 goals / match - UCV · 0.9 goals / match - Carabobo

UCV scoring profile: strong

UCV scores in 72% of matches (21 of 29 matches), while Carabobo keeps a clean sheet in 47% (14 of 30 matches).

Carabobo scoring profile: very strong

Carabobo scores in 77% of matches (23 of 30 matches), while UCV keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 29 matches).

43Goals scored (season)46
UCVCarabobo
38Goals conceded (season)27
UCVCarabobo
2.79Average goals in match2.43
UCVCarabobo
8Goals scored (last 5)7
UCVCarabobo
2Goals conceded (last 5)4
UCVCarabobo

How often they score at least...

72%1 goal77%
UCVCarabobo
45%2 goals33%
UCVCarabobo
21%3 goals17%
UCVCarabobo
7%4 goals13%
UCVCarabobo

How often they concede at least...

79%1 goal53%
UCVCarabobo
34%2 goals20%
UCVCarabobo
14%3 goals13%
UCVCarabobo
3%4 goals3%
UCVCarabobo

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

31%BTTS at half-time20%
UCVCarabobo
7%BTTS in both halves10%
UCVCarabobo
28%Scored in both halves23%
UCVCarabobo

BTTS and goal count

41%Min. 3 goals and BTTS27%
UCVCarabobo
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS3%
UCVCarabobo
40%BTTS - last 520%
UCVCarabobo

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

79%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
UCVCarabobo
48%Min. 2 goals before half-time30%
UCVCarabobo
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
UCVCarabobo

2nd half

72%Min. 1 goal after half-time70%
UCVCarabobo
41%Min. 2 goals after half-time40%
UCVCarabobo
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
UCVCarabobo

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Carabobo is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.07 pts / match - UCV · 1.23 pts / match - Carabobo

UCV - half-time state
21% leading45% draw34% trailing
Carabobo - half-time state
20% leading63% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.07Points per match (1st half)1.23
UCVCarabobo
0.66Goals scored (1st half)0.5
UCVCarabobo
0.79Goals conceded (1st half)0.47
UCVCarabobo
1.45Average goals (1st half)0.97
UCVCarabobo
34%Clean sheet before half-time67%
UCVCarabobo
55%No goal before half-time63%
UCVCarabobo

After half-time (2nd half)

1.62Points per match (2nd half)1.77
UCVCarabobo
0.83Goals scored (2nd half)1.03
UCVCarabobo
0.52Goals conceded (2nd half)0.43
UCVCarabobo
1.34Average goals (2nd half)1.47
UCVCarabobo
59%Clean sheet after half-time67%
UCVCarabobo
45%No goal after half-time37%
UCVCarabobo

UCV - second-half results

41% W38% D21% L
31
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
47
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.07
PPG before half-time
Lead holding195%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Carabobo - second-half results

43% W47% D10% L
37
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
53
Second-half points
+18
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.23
PPG before half-time
Lead holding215%

Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

UCV - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.202.20
Goals scored / match0.41.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.0
Average goals in match0.81.2
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%100%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference0+6
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Carabobo - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.80
Goals scored / match0.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match0.81.4
1 goal40%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference0+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

UCV
ScoredConceded
4
3
0-15
6
10
16-30
9
10
31-45
7
2
46-60
9
6
61-75
8
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Carabobo
ScoredConceded
1
5
0-15
9
5
16-30
5
4
31-45
15
4
46-60
8
1
61-75
8
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (15 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.61
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
104%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
53%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+30%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
55%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

UCV

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
106%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
118%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.72
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

Carabobo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.55
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-16.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.30
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
138%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
64%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.33
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 2% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

UCVLigaCarabobo
Average goals in match 2.792.52 2.43
Both teams scored 59%52% 47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 52%44% 30%
Clean sheets 21%28% 47%
Goal before half-time 79%67% 50%
Goal after half-time 72%76% 70%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.52
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.40
Home goals / match
1.11
Away goals / match
+26%
Home attack advantage
+21%
Home defence advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (5): UCV 1 - 2 - 2 Carabobo. Average goals 3.40, both teams scored in 80% matches.

Carabobo
4 : 2
UCV
Carabobo FC
0 : 2
Universidad Central de Venezuela FC
Universidad Central de Venezuela FC
1 : 1
Carabobo FC
Carabobo FC
4 : 1
Universidad Central de Venezuela FC
Universidad Central de Venezuela FC
1 : 1
Carabobo FC

FAQ

When do UCV and Carabobo play?

UCV face Carabobo on 20 September 2026 in Primera División at Estadio Olímpico de la UCV. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between UCV and Carabobo?

In the last 5 head-to-head matches UCV won 1, Carabobo won 2 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 3.40 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before UCV vs Carabobo?

UCV score 1.48 goals per game on average and Carabobo 1.53. The Primera División average is 2.52 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 59% of UCV's matches and 47% of Carabobo's.

What form are UCV and Carabobo in?

Over the last 5 games UCV have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Carabobo 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for UCV vs Carabobo?

The statistical background for UCV vs Carabobo — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.