UCV vs Carabobo: match statistics
UCV vs Carabobo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
UCV played Carabobo in Primera División (Venezuela). The match was played on 20 September 2026. Venue: Estadio Olímpico de la UCV. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
UCV: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Carabobo: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
UCV scores 1.48 and concedes 1.31 goals per match. Carabobo scores 1.53 and concedes 0.90. League average: 2.51 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: UCV 59%, Carabobo 47%. Over 2.5: UCV 52%, Carabobo 30%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Carabobo has higher xG: 1.75 vs 1.36. UCV: 12.7 shots per match, Carabobo: 16.2.
Match halves
UCV: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.83. Carabobo: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 1.03.
Goals by minute
UCV: 31-45+ (9 goals). Carabobo: 46-60 (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.51 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 1-2-2. Average goals 3.40, BTTS 80%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
UCV have the home advantage, averaging 1.62 goals scored and 1.08 conceded at home, while Carabobo record just 21% wins and 43% defeats away from home. The hosts generate an average xG of 1.48, but their conversion rate stands at 12%, clearly higher than the visitors’ 9%, which could prove decisive with a similar number of chances. Carabobo are league leaders and produce a high away xG of 1.81, along with 5.07 shots on target per match, so they remain a genuine threat despite their weaker away results. Both teams have identical records in their last five matches: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, while UCV have conceded just 4 goals in that period compared with Carabobo’s 5. A closely contested match is expected, but UCV’s stronger home defence and the league leaders’ away struggles marginally favour the hosts.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The stronger signal is BTTS - No, as UCV keeps a clean sheet in 67% of matches, well above the league average of 56%, while the two teams record BTTS in only 33% and 64% of their games, respectively. The hosts concede just 0.53 goals per match on average, whereas Carabobo, despite scoring an average of 1.43 goals, could face a very resilient defense. In their last five matches, both teams recorded BTTS in 40% of games, while UCV conceded only 4 goals, or 0.8 per match. Carabobo does create a solid 1.81 xG per match and registers 5.07 shots on target, but the overall picture more often points to a scenario in which at least one side fails to score. Additionally, only 27% of UCV matches went over 2.5 goals, supporting a more cautious game and a bet against both teams scoring.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The profile of both teams clearly points towards a limited number of goals: under 3.5 goals was recorded in 80% of UCV matches and 71% of Carabobo matches. In their last five appearances, each team recorded only 20% of matches with at least three goals, while their average scorelines were 1.4:0.8 and 1.4:1.0, respectively. UCV is particularly solid defensively, conceding just 0.53 goals per match over the season and keeping a clean sheet in 67% of its matches. Carabobo does create an average of 1.81 xG, but against the hosts’ defence, its projected goal tally drops to around 0.82. Therefore, the strongest selection is Under 3.5 goals, as losing this bet would require a far more open game than current form and UCV’s defensive profile suggest.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a UCV win at full-time: the hosts were level at the break in 67% of their matches, compared with 57% for Carabobo. UCV concede just 0.20 goals per match before half-time and kept a clean sheet in the first half in 87% of their appearances, making it difficult for the visitors to establish an early lead. After the break, the hosts score an average of 1.00 goals while conceding only 0.33, whereas Carabobo lose 43% of their away matches and concede an average of 1.36 goals over the course of the match. UCV’s advantage is also evident in their season record: 2.20 points per match, a 60% win rate and no defeats, compared with Carabobo’s 1.00 point per match and 21% win rate.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| UCV | Carabobo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
UCV is 10% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - UCV · 2 pts / match - Carabobo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Carabobo is 46% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.31 goals / match - UCV · 0.9 goals / match - Carabobo
UCV scores in 72% of matches (21 of 29 matches), while Carabobo keeps a clean sheet in 47% (14 of 30 matches).
Carabobo scores in 77% of matches (23 of 30 matches), while UCV keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - UCV
Over / Under - Carabobo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Carabobo is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.07 pts / match - UCV · 1.23 pts / match - Carabobo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
UCV - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Carabobo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (15 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
UCV
Carabobo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| UCV | Liga | Carabobo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.79 | 2.51 | • 2.43 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 52% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 43% | ▼ 30% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 28% | ▲ 47% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 67% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 76% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): UCV 1 - 2 - 2 Carabobo. Average goals 3.40, both teams scored in 80% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of UCV vs Carabobo?
The Primera División match finished UCV 1:1 Carabobo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between UCV and Carabobo?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches UCV won 1, Carabobo won 2 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 3.40 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before UCV vs Carabobo?
UCV score 1.48 goals per game on average and Carabobo 1.53. The Primera División average is 2.51 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 59% of UCV's matches and 47% of Carabobo's.
What form are UCV and Carabobo in?
Over the last 5 games UCV have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Carabobo 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for UCV vs Carabobo?
The statistical background for UCV vs Carabobo — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.