UD Oliveirense vs FC Penafiel: match statistics
The match between UD Oliveirense and FC Penafiel shapes up to be an even clash between two bottom-table teams. The hosts show stable home form with a balanced record of 33% wins, draws, and losses, averaging 1.56 goals per match at home. FC Penafiel has weaker away disposition (22% wins, 56% losses), but in the last five overall matches, they earned more points (1.2 PPG) than the hosts (0.8 PPG). xG statistics indicate a slight advantage for Oliveirense (1.39 vs 1.26), however, the visitors' high FTS% (44%) suggests finishing problems. Considering the even capabilities of both teams, low scoring efficiency, and the hosts' history of draws, the most probable result is a split of points. Both teams' form in recent matches is unstable, which further argues for a draw.
UD Oliveirense vs FC Penafiel: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
UD Oliveirense played FC Penafiel in LigaPro (Portugal). The match was played on 25 January 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
UD Oliveirense: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. FC Penafiel: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
UD Oliveirense scores 1.00 and concedes 1.22 goals per match. FC Penafiel scores 0.89 and concedes 1.11. League average: 2.46 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: UD Oliveirense 39%, FC Penafiel 39%. Over 2.5: UD Oliveirense 28%, FC Penafiel 33%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
UD Oliveirense has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.36. UD Oliveirense: 11.5 shots per match, FC Penafiel: 11.4.
Match halves
UD Oliveirense: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.50. FC Penafiel: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 0.61.
Goals by minute
UD Oliveirense: 31-45+ (5 goals). FC Penafiel: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
LigaPro: 2.46 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match between UD Oliveirense and FC Penafiel shapes up to be an even clash between two bottom-table teams. The hosts show stable home form with a balanced record of 33% wins, draws, and losses, averaging 1.56 goals per match at home. FC Penafiel has weaker away disposition (22% wins, 56% losses), but in the last five overall matches, they earned more points (1.2 PPG) than the hosts (0.8 PPG). xG statistics indicate a slight advantage for Oliveirense (1.39 vs 1.26), however, the visitors' high FTS% (44%) suggests finishing problems. Considering the even capabilities of both teams, low scoring efficiency, and the hosts' history of draws, the most probable result is a split of points. Both teams' form in recent matches is unstable, which further argues for a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| UD Oliveirense | FC Penafiel | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
FC Penafiel is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - UD Oliveirense · 1.2 pts / match - FC Penafiel
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
UD Oliveirense is 12% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - UD Oliveirense · 0.89 goals / match - FC Penafiel
FC Penafiel is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.22 goals / match - UD Oliveirense · 1.11 goals / match - FC Penafiel
UD Oliveirense scores in 61% of matches (11 of 18 matches), while FC Penafiel keeps a clean sheet in 39% (7 of 18 matches).
FC Penafiel scores in 61% of matches (11 of 18 matches), while UD Oliveirense keeps a clean sheet in 39% (7 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - UD Oliveirense
Over / Under - FC Penafiel
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
UD Oliveirense is 94% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.61 pts / match - UD Oliveirense · 0.83 pts / match - FC Penafiel
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
UD Oliveirense - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 22%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
FC Penafiel - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
UD Oliveirense
FC Penafiel
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (LigaPro).
Teams vs league
| UD Oliveirense | Liga | FC Penafiel | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.22 | 2.46 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 39% | 49% | ▼ 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 28% | 43% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 30% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 66% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 78% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: UD Oliveirense 0 - 1 - 0 FC Penafiel. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of UD Oliveirense vs FC Penafiel?
The LigaPro match finished UD Oliveirense 2:1 FC Penafiel. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before UD Oliveirense vs FC Penafiel?
UD Oliveirense score 1.00 goals per game on average and FC Penafiel 0.89. The LigaPro average is 2.46 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 39% of UD Oliveirense's matches and 39% of FC Penafiel's.
What form are UD Oliveirense and FC Penafiel in?
Over the last 5 games UD Oliveirense have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and FC Penafiel 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for UD Oliveirense vs FC Penafiel?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.