UD Oliveirense vs Felgueiras 1932: match statistics
UD Oliveirense vs Felgueiras 1932: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
UD Oliveirense played Felgueiras 1932 in LigaPro (Portugal). The match was played on 17 May 2026. Final score: 1:5.
Current form
UD Oliveirense: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Felgueiras 1932: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
UD Oliveirense scores 1.00 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Felgueiras 1932 scores 0.88 and concedes 1.12. League average: 2.43 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: UD Oliveirense 39%, Felgueiras 1932 39%. Over 2.5: UD Oliveirense 42%, Felgueiras 1932 30%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Felgueiras 1932 has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.32. UD Oliveirense: 11.3 shots per match, Felgueiras 1932: 12.0.
Match halves
UD Oliveirense: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.58. Felgueiras 1932: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.52.
Goals by minute
UD Oliveirense: 76-90+ (10 goals). Felgueiras 1932: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
LigaPro: 2.43 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win. UD Oliveirense averages 1.56 goals per home match versus just 0.81 goals for Felgueiras on the road, and the home side fail to score in only 19% of home games compared to 44% of the visitors’ away matches. The hosts also show higher offensive efficiency: on average 4.31 shots on target and a 13% conversion rate at home versus 3.88 SOT and 7% conversion for the guests, with an identical average xG of 1.39 for both teams — indicating Oliveirense are better at turning chances into goals. Defensively the hosts concede 1.5 goals per home game while Felgueiras concede 1.31 on the road, so goals are possible at both ends; this is supported by a higher average total goals in home matches (3.06) versus away matches for the visitors (2.13). The last 5 games show similar form (hosts 2-1-2, 1.4 points per game; visitors 2-2-1, 1.6 ppg), but Oliveirense’s positive home goal difference (+1) and Felgueiras’ poor away efficiency (44% of away games without scoring and away goal difference -8) favor a home victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I predict a higher probability for the 'No' scenario (BTTS - No). Seasonal BTTS rates are 35% for UD Oliveirense and 44% for Felgueiras, averaging ~40%, which is below the league level of 46%. In the last 5 matches BTTS occurred in 40% of games, but Oliveirense averages 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, while Felgueiras only 0.8 scored and 0.6 conceded—guests score less frequently. Although xG indicates chance creation (xG 1.45 vs 1.39) with similar shot totals (12.12 vs 11.81) and identical shots on target (3.88 each), low conversion rates (8% and 7%) mean chances do not translate into goals (seasonal goals 33 and 29, conceded 44 and 37). Additionally, clean sheets at 35% and 31%, low share of matches over 2.5 goals (29% and 31%), and a low percentage of games with >2.5 goals combined with both teams scoring (24% and 25%) all confirm a tendency to low-scoring outcomes. Therefore I select 'No' as the strongest signal from the data.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams score few goals this season - Oliveirense 0.94 goals, Felgueiras 0.81 goals (1.75 combined), and matches over 2.5 occur only 29% and 31% respectively, which favors the 'Under'. On the other hand average xG are higher: (1.45 + 1.21)/2 = 1.33 for the home side and (1.39 + 1.35)/2 = 1.37 for the visitors, totaling 2.70 xG, but low finishing efficiency (conversion 8% and 7% on 12.12 and 11.81 shots) translates into expected goals from conversion of ~0.97 and ~0.83 (1.80 combined). In the last 5 games Oliveirense scored on average 1.2 goals and Felgueiras 0.8 (2.0 combined), so between xG potential and actual efficiency I choose a compromise. I forecast 1.10 goals for the home team and 0.95 for the away team (total 2.05), which is below the 2.5 line and gives an 'Under' edge (~65%). Therefore I recommend backing the under 2.5 as the strongest signal; over 1.5 remains more likely (~70%), and over 3.5 is unlikely (~15%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
At half-time a draw is the most likely outcome: the home side were level at the break in 59% of matches and the visitors in 38%, with halftime goal averages of 0.47 for Oliveirense and 0.25 for Felgueiras, indicating a slow first-half tempo. In the second half the advantage should swing to the home team — Oliveirense have 41% wins versus 19% for the visitors, a higher average points per game (1.47 vs 1.00) and higher xG (1.45 vs 1.39), suggesting better quality chances. Additionally, the hosts have scored 5 goals in minutes 76–90 compared to 4 for the visitors, so Oliveirense tend to decide matches late. For these reasons the safest scenario appears to be a draw at half-time and a home win (X/1); scenarios with an away win are the least likely, as the visitors concede on average 1.31 goals per match and have lower metrics than the hosts.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| UD Oliveirense | Felgueiras 1932 | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Felgueiras 1932 is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - UD Oliveirense · 1.6 pts / match - Felgueiras 1932
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
UD Oliveirense is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - UD Oliveirense · 0.88 goals / match - Felgueiras 1932
Felgueiras 1932 is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - UD Oliveirense · 1.12 goals / match - Felgueiras 1932
UD Oliveirense scores in 58% of matches (19 of 33 matches), while Felgueiras 1932 keeps a clean sheet in 33% (11 of 33 matches).
Felgueiras 1932 scores in 58% of matches (19 of 33 matches), while UD Oliveirense keeps a clean sheet in 36% (12 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - UD Oliveirense
Over / Under - Felgueiras 1932
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
UD Oliveirense is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.36 pts / match - UD Oliveirense · 1.12 pts / match - Felgueiras 1932
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
UD Oliveirense - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 24%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Felgueiras 1932 - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
UD Oliveirense
Felgueiras 1932
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (LigaPro).
Teams vs league
| UD Oliveirense | Liga | Felgueiras 1932 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.33 | 2.43 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 39% | 46% | ▼ 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 45% | ▼ 30% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 32% | • 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 64% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 75% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: UD Oliveirense 0 - 0 - 1 Felgueiras 1932. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of UD Oliveirense vs Felgueiras 1932?
The LigaPro match finished UD Oliveirense 1:5 Felgueiras 1932. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before UD Oliveirense vs Felgueiras 1932?
UD Oliveirense score 1.00 goals per game on average and Felgueiras 1932 0.88. The LigaPro average is 2.43 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 39% of UD Oliveirense's matches and 39% of Felgueiras 1932's.
What form are UD Oliveirense and Felgueiras 1932 in?
Over the last 5 games UD Oliveirense have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Felgueiras 1932 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for UD Oliveirense vs Felgueiras 1932?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.