Portugal - LigaProData current as of 13 September 2026

UD Oliveirense vs União de Leiria: match statistics

145%(2.80)
X30%(3.20)
225%(2.20)

UD Oliveirense displays solid home form with a 45% win rate and a positive goal difference (+4) at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.73 goals per match at home, with just 9% of matches without a goal scored, which demonstrates their offensive efficiency in front of their own fans. União de Leiria in away matches has only a 27% win rate and a negative goal difference (-2), as well as a high rate of 36% of matches without scoring a goal away from home. The recent form of both teams (1.4 vs 1.0 points per match) speaks in favor of the hosts. Considering UD Oliveirense's advantage in home matches and the visitors' weaker disposition on the road, we expect a home win, although União de Leiria may put up resistance thanks to good possession (52%).

UD Oliveirense vs União de Leiria: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

UD Oliveirense played União de Leiria in LigaPro (Portugal). The match was played on 21 February 2026. Final score: 2:4.

Current form

UD Oliveirense: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. União de Leiria: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

UD Oliveirense scores 1.09 and concedes 1.32 goals per match. União de Leiria scores 1.38 and concedes 1.38. League average: 2.49 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: UD Oliveirense 41%, União de Leiria 67%. Over 2.5: UD Oliveirense 36%, União de Leiria 57%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 45%.

xG, shots and style

União de Leiria has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.32. UD Oliveirense: 11.0 shots per match, União de Leiria: 12.3.

Match halves

UD Oliveirense: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.50. União de Leiria: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.76.

Goals by minute

UD Oliveirense: 31-45+ (7 goals). União de Leiria: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

LigaPro: 2.49 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 45%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

UD Oliveirense displays solid home form with a 45% win rate and a positive goal difference (+4) at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.73 goals per match at home, with just 9% of matches without a goal scored, which demonstrates their offensive efficiency in front of their own fans. União de Leiria in away matches has only a 27% win rate and a negative goal difference (-2), as well as a high rate of 36% of matches without scoring a goal away from home. The recent form of both teams (1.4 vs 1.0 points per match) speaks in favor of the hosts. Considering UD Oliveirense's advantage in home matches and the visitors' weaker disposition on the road, we expect a home win, although União de Leiria may put up resistance thanks to good possession (52%).

View the statistical overview

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
2 : 3
2nd half

Match statistics

61Possession (%)39
UD OliveirenseUnião de Leiria
10Shots15
UD OliveirenseUnião de Leiria
3Shots on target6
UD OliveirenseUnião de Leiria
1.14xG1.61
UD OliveirenseUnião de Leiria
4Corners3
UD OliveirenseUnião de Leiria
42Dangerous attacks35
UD OliveirenseUnião de Leiria
5Fouls14
UD OliveirenseUnião de Leiria
0Cards2
UD OliveirenseUnião de Leiria

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

UD OliveirenseUnião de Leiria
1.09Goals scored / match1.38
UD OliveirenseUnião de Leiria
1.32Goals conceded / match1.38
UD OliveirenseUnião de Leiria
47%Average possession52%
UD OliveirenseUnião de Leiria
3.91Shots on target / match4.43
UD OliveirenseUnião de Leiria

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11Shots per match12.33
UD OliveirenseUnião de Leiria
3.91Shots on target4.43
UD OliveirenseUnião de Leiria
9.9%Shot conversion11.2%
UD OliveirenseUnião de Leiria
47%Possession52%
UD OliveirenseUnião de Leiria
1.32xG for1.47
UD OliveirenseUnião de Leiria
1.81xG against1.48
UD OliveirenseUnião de Leiria

Shooting quality

UD Oliveirense: BalancedUnião de Leiria: Balanced
UD OliveirenseUnião de Leiria
Accuracy (shots on target)36%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

UD Oliveirense is 40% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - UD Oliveirense · 1 pts / match - União de Leiria

UD Oliveirense
DWLWL
Season result split
27% W32% D41% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-7-9
1.14 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-3-3
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
WLLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.08Opponent xG: 1.72BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
União de Leiria
LDWLD
Season result split
33% W38% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-8-6
1.38 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-4-4
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LWDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.27Opponent xG: 1.45BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

União de Leiria is 27% better for: goals scored per match.

1.09 goals / match - UD Oliveirense · 1.38 goals / match - União de Leiria

UD Oliveirense is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.32 goals / match - UD Oliveirense · 1.38 goals / match - União de Leiria

UD Oliveirense scoring profile: very strong

UD Oliveirense scores in 64% of matches (14 of 22 matches), while União de Leiria keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 matches).

União de Leiria scoring profile: strong

União de Leiria scores in 76% of matches (16 of 21 matches), while UD Oliveirense keeps a clean sheet in 36% (8 of 22 matches).

24Goals scored (season)29
UD OliveirenseUnião de Leiria
29Goals conceded (season)29
UD OliveirenseUnião de Leiria
2.41Average goals in match2.76
UD OliveirenseUnião de Leiria
6Goals scored (last 5)8
UD OliveirenseUnião de Leiria
7Goals conceded (last 5)10
UD OliveirenseUnião de Leiria

How often they score at least...

64%1 goal76%
UD OliveirenseUnião de Leiria
36%2 goals48%
UD OliveirenseUnião de Leiria
9%3 goals14%
UD OliveirenseUnião de Leiria
0%4 goals0%
UD OliveirenseUnião de Leiria

How often they concede at least...

64%1 goal81%
UD OliveirenseUnião de Leiria
41%2 goals43%
UD OliveirenseUnião de Leiria
18%3 goals14%
UD OliveirenseUnião de Leiria
9%4 goals0%
UD OliveirenseUnião de Leiria

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

67%
União de Leiria - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.14 of 21 matches
50%
League average

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time38%
UD OliveirenseUnião de Leiria
9%BTTS in both halves14%
UD OliveirenseUnião de Leiria
32%Scored in both halves33%
UD OliveirenseUnião de Leiria

BTTS and goal count

32%Min. 3 goals and BTTS57%
UD OliveirenseUnião de Leiria
5%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
UD OliveirenseUnião de Leiria
40%BTTS - last 580%
UD OliveirenseUnião de Leiria

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

68%Min. 1 goal before half-time76%
UD OliveirenseUnião de Leiria
18%Min. 2 goals before half-time38%
UD OliveirenseUnião de Leiria
5%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
UD OliveirenseUnião de Leiria

2nd half

73%Min. 1 goal after half-time76%
UD OliveirenseUnião de Leiria
41%Min. 2 goals after half-time52%
UD OliveirenseUnião de Leiria
27%Min. 3 goals after half-time24%
UD OliveirenseUnião de Leiria

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

UD Oliveirense is 32% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.64 pts / match - UD Oliveirense · 1.24 pts / match - União de Leiria

UD Oliveirense - half-time state
41% leading41% draw18% trailing
União de Leiria - half-time state
24% leading52% draw24% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.64Points per match (1st half)1.24
UD OliveirenseUnião de Leiria
0.59Goals scored (1st half)0.62
UD OliveirenseUnião de Leiria
0.32Goals conceded (1st half)0.62
UD OliveirenseUnião de Leiria
0.91Average goals (1st half)1.24
UD OliveirenseUnião de Leiria
68%Clean sheet before half-time38%
UD OliveirenseUnião de Leiria
50%No goal before half-time48%
UD OliveirenseUnião de Leiria

After half-time (2nd half)

0.77Points per match (2nd half)1.33
UD OliveirenseUnião de Leiria
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)0.76
UD OliveirenseUnião de Leiria
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.76
UD OliveirenseUnião de Leiria
1.5Average goals (2nd half)1.52
UD OliveirenseUnião de Leiria
41%Clean sheet after half-time52%
UD OliveirenseUnião de Leiria
55%No goal after half-time43%
UD OliveirenseUnião de Leiria

UD Oliveirense - second-half results

14% W36% D50% L
36
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
-11
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.64
PPG before half-time
Lead holding66%

Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 27%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.7

Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

União de Leiria - second-half results

33% W33% D33% L
26
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
28
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.24
PPG before half-time
Lead holding138%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

UD Oliveirense - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.00
Goals scored / match0.80.4
Goals conceded / match0.41.0
Average goals in match1.21.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+2-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
União de Leiria - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.200.60
Goals scored / match1.00.6
Goals conceded / match0.41.6
Average goals in match1.42.2
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+3-5
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

UD Oliveirense
ScoredConceded
4
1
0-15
2
2
16-30
7
4
31-45
2
6
46-60
4
6
61-75
5
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

União de Leiria
ScoredConceded
5
5
0-15
2
3
16-30
6
5
31-45
3
6
46-60
6
4
61-75
7
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.58
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
104%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
54%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
49%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
9%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 11 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

UD Oliveirense

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.49
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.26
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.23
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.49
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
84%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
110%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.26
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

União de Leiria

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.10
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
115%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
107%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.38
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (LigaPro).

Teams vs league

UD OliveirenseLigaUnião de Leiria
Average goals in match 2.412.49 2.76
Both teams scored 41%50% 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 36%45% 57%
Clean sheets 36%30% 19%
Goal before half-time 68%66% 76%
Goal after half-time 73%78% 76%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.49
Average goals per match
50%
Both teams scored
45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.29
Home goals / match
1.20
Away goals / match
+8%
Home attack advantage
+7%
Home defence advantage
+4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. União de LeiriaYellow cardMiguel Cristóvão Pires
  2. UD OliveirenseSubstitutionOn: Pedro Alves CorreiaOff: Vasco de Cunha Santos
  3. União de LeiriaYellow cardDiogo Jorge Sousa Martins
  4. UD OliveirenseGoalPedro Alves CorreiaAssist: Tiago Brito
  5. União de LeiriaGoalJuan Muñoz Muñoz
  6. União de LeiriaGoalJuan Muñoz MuñozAssist: Pablo Fernández Blanco

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Miguel Bertolo NogueiraMatches officiated: 8
4.63Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 238%Home wins13%Draws50%Away wins

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: UD Oliveirense 0 - 1 - 0 União de Leiria. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

UD Leiria
0 : 0
UD Oliveirense

FAQ

What was the result of UD Oliveirense vs União de Leiria?

The LigaPro match finished UD Oliveirense 2:4 União de Leiria. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before UD Oliveirense vs União de Leiria?

UD Oliveirense score 1.09 goals per game on average and União de Leiria 1.38. The LigaPro average is 2.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 41% of UD Oliveirense's matches and 67% of União de Leiria's.

What form are UD Oliveirense and União de Leiria in?

Over the last 5 games UD Oliveirense have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and União de Leiria 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for UD Oliveirense vs União de Leiria?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.