Ulm vs Rot-Weiss Essen: match statistics
Ulm vs Rot-Weiss Essen: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ulm play Rot-Weiss Essen in 3. Liga (Germany). The match date is 16 May 2026 at 13:30. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Ulm: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Rot-Weiss Essen: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ulm scores 1.29 and concedes 2.05 goals per match. Rot-Weiss Essen scores 2.05 and concedes 1.74. League average: 3.21 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ulm 74%, Rot-Weiss Essen 82%. Over 2.5: Ulm 66%, Rot-Weiss Essen 68%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
Rot-Weiss Essen has higher xG: 1.84 vs 1.43. Ulm: 11.8 shots per match, Rot-Weiss Essen: 16.1.
Match halves
Ulm: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.79. Rot-Weiss Essen: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 1.16.
Goals by minute
Ulm: 76-90+ (14 goals). Rot-Weiss Essen: 76-90+ (22 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3. Liga: 3.21 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Rot-Weiss Essen is the favorite for this match: they sit 4th with 19 wins this season versus Ulm’s 9 wins and 18th position. Offensively the visitors are clearly stronger — averaging 2.00 goals away and xG 1.75 versus the hosts’ 1.22 goals and xG 1.44, with 15.06 shots and 5.39 on target per game compared to Ulm’s 11.39 and 4.22. Rot-Weiss’s shot conversion is 13% versus Ulm’s 11%, and the hosts suffer 61% losses in home matches compared to only 28% away losses for the visitors, increasing the risk of defeat for Ulm. Both teams are, however, defensively vulnerable — Ulm concedes 1.89 goals at home and has shipped 12 goals in the last 5 matches, while Essen concedes 2.33 away and 14 goals in the last 5, which points to a high likelihood of goals. Combined with recent form over the last 5 matches (Ulm 0.8 points and 1 win, Essen 1.2 points and 2 wins) I predict an away victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ulm | Rot-Weiss Essen | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Rot-Weiss Essen is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Ulm · 1.2 pts / match - Rot-Weiss Essen
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rot-Weiss Essen is 59% better for: goals scored per match.
1.29 goals / match - Ulm · 2.05 goals / match - Rot-Weiss Essen
Rot-Weiss Essen is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.05 goals / match - Ulm · 1.74 goals / match - Rot-Weiss Essen
Ulm scores in 87% of matches (33 of 38 matches), while Rot-Weiss Essen keeps a clean sheet in 16% (6 of 38 matches).
Rot-Weiss Essen scores in 95% of matches (36 of 38 matches), while Ulm keeps a clean sheet in 13% (5 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Ulm
Over / Under — Rot-Weiss Essen
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rot-Weiss Essen is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.92 pts / match - Ulm · 1.47 pts / match - Rot-Weiss Essen
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ulm - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Rot-Weiss Essen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (21). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (22 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ulm
Rot-Weiss Essen
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Ulm | Liga | Rot-Weiss Essen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.34 | 3.21 | ▲ 3.79 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 74% | 64% | ▲ 82% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 66% | 64% | ▲ 68% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 21% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 74% | 77% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 79% | 83% | • 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ulm 0 - 0 - 1 Rot-Weiss Essen. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ulm vs Rot-Weiss Essen?
The 3. Liga match finished Ulm 2:3 Rot-Weiss Essen. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ulm vs Rot-Weiss Essen?
Ulm score 1.29 goals per game on average and Rot-Weiss Essen 2.05. The 3. Liga average is 3.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 74% of Ulm's matches and 82% of Rot-Weiss Essen's.
What form are Ulm and Rot-Weiss Essen in?
Over the last 5 games Ulm have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Rot-Weiss Essen 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ulm vs Rot-Weiss Essen?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.