South Korea - K League 1Ulsan Munsu Football StadiumData current as of 08 September 2026

Ulsan vs Incheon United: match statistics

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Ulsan vs Incheon United: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Ulsan play Incheon United in K League 1 (South Korea). The match date is 12 September 2026. Venue: Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium.

Current form

Ulsan: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Incheon United: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Ulsan scores 1.52 and concedes 1.37 goals per match. Incheon United scores 1.23 and concedes 1.12. League average: 2.44 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Ulsan 67%, Incheon United 54%. Over 2.5: Ulsan 59%, Incheon United 46%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 44%.

xG, shots and style

Ulsan has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.41. Ulsan: 13.9 shots per match, Incheon United: 10.8.

Match halves

Ulsan: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.93. Incheon United: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.58.

Goals by minute

Ulsan: 61-75 (11 goals). Incheon United: 31-45+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

K League 1: 2.44 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 44%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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(-)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

UlsanIncheon United
1.52Goals scored / match1.23
UlsanIncheon United
1.37Goals conceded / match1.12
UlsanIncheon United
46%Average possession52%
UlsanIncheon United
4.93Shots on target / match3.69
UlsanIncheon United

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.89Shots per match10.81
UlsanIncheon United
4.93Shots on target3.69
UlsanIncheon United
10.9%Shot conversion11.4%
UlsanIncheon United
46%Possession52%
UlsanIncheon United
1.67xG for1.41
UlsanIncheon United
1.65xG against1.3
UlsanIncheon United

Shooting quality

Ulsan: BalancedIncheon United: Balanced
UlsanIncheon United
Accuracy (shots on target)35%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Incheon United is 25% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Ulsan · 1 pts / match - Incheon United

Ulsan
LLLWD
Season result split
44% W19% R37% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-5-10
1.52 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-1-6
Last 5 at home
2-0-3
LLWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.38Opponent xG: 1.89BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Incheon United
DWLDL
Season result split
35% W27% R38% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-7-10
1.31 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-4-4
Last 5 away
2-1-2
WDWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.02Opponent xG: 1.39BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Ulsan is 24% better for: goals scored per match.

1.52 goals / match - Ulsan · 1.23 goals / match - Incheon United

Incheon United is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.37 goals / match - Ulsan · 1.12 goals / match - Incheon United

Ulsan scoring profile: very strong

Ulsan scores in 78% of matches (21 of 27 matches), while Incheon United keeps a clean sheet in 27% (7 of 26 matches).

Incheon United scoring profile: very strong

Incheon United scores in 77% of matches (20 of 26 matches), while Ulsan keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 27 matches).

41Goals scored (season)32
UlsanIncheon United
37Goals conceded (season)29
UlsanIncheon United
2.89Average goals in match2.35
UlsanIncheon United
6Goals scored (last 5)4
UlsanIncheon United
7Goals conceded (last 5)5
UlsanIncheon United

How often they score at least...

78%1 goal77%
UlsanIncheon United
48%2 goals31%
UlsanIncheon United
19%3 goals12%
UlsanIncheon United
4%4 goals4%
UlsanIncheon United

How often they concede at least...

81%1 goal73%
UlsanIncheon United
33%2 goals27%
UlsanIncheon United
15%3 goals12%
UlsanIncheon United
7%4 goals0%
UlsanIncheon United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

51%
League average

Goal patterns

22%BTTS at half-time23%
UlsanIncheon United
4%BTTS in both halves8%
UlsanIncheon United
33%Scored in both halves23%
UlsanIncheon United

BTTS and goal count

59%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
UlsanIncheon United
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
UlsanIncheon United
60%BTTS - last 560%
UlsanIncheon United

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time65%
UlsanIncheon United
44%Min. 2 goals before half-time38%
UlsanIncheon United
19%Min. 3 goals before half-time4%
UlsanIncheon United

2nd half

85%Min. 1 goal after half-time81%
UlsanIncheon United
56%Min. 2 goals after half-time35%
UlsanIncheon United
15%Min. 3 goals after half-time8%
UlsanIncheon United

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Ulsan - half-time state
26% leading44% draw30% trailing
Incheon United - half-time state
23% leading58% draw19% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.22Points per match (1st half)1.27
UlsanIncheon United
0.59Goals scored (1st half)0.65
UlsanIncheon United
0.7Goals conceded (1st half)0.46
UlsanIncheon United
1.3Average goals (1st half)1.12
UlsanIncheon United
56%Clean sheet before half-time58%
UlsanIncheon United
56%No goal before half-time54%
UlsanIncheon United

After half-time (2nd half)

1.33Points per match (2nd half)1.27
UlsanIncheon United
0.93Goals scored (2nd half)0.58
UlsanIncheon United
0.67Goals conceded (2nd half)0.65
UlsanIncheon United
1.59Average goals (2nd half)1.23
UlsanIncheon United
41%Clean sheet after half-time50%
UlsanIncheon United
33%No goal after half-time46%
UlsanIncheon United

Ulsan - second-half results

30% W44% R26% P
33
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
36
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.22
PPG before half-time
Lead holding169%

Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Incheon United - second-half results

31% W35% R35% P
33
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
33
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.27
PPG before half-time
Lead holding152%

Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Ulsan - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.00
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match1.01.6
1 goal40%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2
Incheon United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.00
Goals scored / match0.20.6
Goals conceded / match0.20.8
Average goals in match0.41.4
1 goal20%100%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Ulsan
ScoredConceded
3
7
0-15
6
6
16-30
7
6
31-45
5
5
46-60
11
4
61-75
9
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Incheon United
ScoredConceded
2
4
0-15
4
1
16-30
11
7
31-45
3
5
46-60
6
4
61-75
6
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.62
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
107%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
61%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+15%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
60%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Ulsan

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.15
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
132%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
106%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.72
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

Incheon United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.11
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
0.00
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.18
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
95%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
97%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (K League 1).

Teams vs league

UlsanLigaIncheon United
Average goals in match 2.892.44 2.35
Both teams scored 67%51% 54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 59%44% 46%
Clean sheets 19%30% 27%
Goal before half-time 67%61% 65%
Goal after half-time 85%76% 81%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.44
Average goals per match
51%
Both teams scored
44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.15
Home goals / match
1.29
Away goals / match
+-11%
Home attack advantage
+-12%
Home defence advantage
+-8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Ulsan 1 - 0 - 1 Incheon United. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do Ulsan and Incheon United play?

Ulsan face Incheon United on 12 September 2026 in K League 1 at Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Ulsan and Incheon United?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Ulsan won 1, Incheon United won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Ulsan vs Incheon United?

Ulsan score 1.52 goals per game on average and Incheon United 1.23. The K League 1 average is 2.44 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Ulsan's matches and 54% of Incheon United's.

What form are Ulsan and Incheon United in?

Over the last 5 games Ulsan have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Incheon United 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ulsan vs Incheon United?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ulsan vs Incheon United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.