União Santarém vs CD Mafra: match statistics
CD Mafra displays clearly better form this season with 10 victories compared to just 7 wins for União Santarém. The visitors hold an advantage in offensive efficiency, scoring an average of 1.27 goals per away match with 30 goals in the season, while the hosts score only 0.8 goals per match at home. Mafra also dominates in possession (52% vs 48%) and registers more shots on target (4.0 vs 3.2), which translates to greater game control. União Santarém has just 30% wins at home and their last five home matches ended inconclusively (wdllddwdwl), whereas Mafra has earned 1.6 points per match in their last five overall. Goal difference and expected goals (xG) also speak in favor of the visitors, who, despite 45% draws away, have a real chance of taking three points in this clash.
União Santarém vs CD Mafra: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
União Santarém played CD Mafra in Liga 3 (Portugal). The match was played on 4 March 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
União Santarém: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. CD Mafra: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
União Santarém scores 0.86 and concedes 0.90 goals per match. CD Mafra scores 1.43 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.21 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: União Santarém 43%, CD Mafra 62%. Over 2.5: União Santarém 29%, CD Mafra 38%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots and style
CD Mafra has higher xG: 1.39 vs 1.05. União Santarém: 6.7 shots per match, CD Mafra: 9.9.
Match halves
União Santarém: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.52. CD Mafra: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.90.
Goals by minute
União Santarém: 46-60 (6 goals). CD Mafra: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 3: 2.21 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
CD Mafra displays clearly better form this season with 10 victories compared to just 7 wins for União Santarém. The visitors hold an advantage in offensive efficiency, scoring an average of 1.27 goals per away match with 30 goals in the season, while the hosts score only 0.8 goals per match at home. Mafra also dominates in possession (52% vs 48%) and registers more shots on target (4.0 vs 3.2), which translates to greater game control. União Santarém has just 30% wins at home and their last five home matches ended inconclusively (wdllddwdwl), whereas Mafra has earned 1.6 points per match in their last five overall. Goal difference and expected goals (xG) also speak in favor of the visitors, who, despite 45% draws away, have a real chance of taking three points in this clash.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| União Santarém | CD Mafra | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 49% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
CD Mafra is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - União Santarém · 1.6 pts / match - CD Mafra
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
CD Mafra is 66% better for: goals scored per match.
0.86 goals / match - União Santarém · 1.43 goals / match - CD Mafra
União Santarém is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.9 goals / match - União Santarém · 1 goals / match - CD Mafra
União Santarém scores in 62% of matches (13 of 21 matches), while CD Mafra keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 matches).
CD Mafra scores in 86% of matches (18 of 21 matches), while União Santarém keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - União Santarém
Over / Under - CD Mafra
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
União Santarém - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
CD Mafra - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
União Santarém
CD Mafra
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).
Teams vs league
| União Santarém | Liga | CD Mafra | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.76 | 2.21 | ▲ 2.43 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 47% | ▲ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 38% | • 38% |
| Clean sheets | • 33% | 32% | • 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 48% | 65% | ▼ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 76% | 74% | ▲ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- CD MafraSubstitutionOn: José Pedro Jesus Santa Precatado MarquesOff: Francisco Xavier Oliveira Ferreira
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): União Santarém 0 - 1 - 1 CD Mafra. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of União Santarém vs CD Mafra?
The Liga 3 match finished União Santarém 3:1 CD Mafra. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between União Santarém and CD Mafra?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches União Santarém won 0, CD Mafra won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before União Santarém vs CD Mafra?
União Santarém score 0.86 goals per game on average and CD Mafra 1.43. The Liga 3 average is 2.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 43% of União Santarém's matches and 62% of CD Mafra's.
What form are União Santarém and CD Mafra in?
Over the last 5 games União Santarém have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and CD Mafra 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for União Santarém vs CD Mafra?
The statistical background for União Santarém vs CD Mafra — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.