Union Omaha vs NY Cosmos: match statistics

Union Omaha are the league leaders at home, having won 73% of their home matches without suffering a single defeat, while NY Cosmos have lost as many as 82% of their away games. The hosts average 2.27 goals at home with an xG of 2.24, recording 18.73 shots and 7.18 shots on target per match; away from home, the visitors score just 1.09 goals. Cosmos’ defence concedes an average of 2.64 goals away from home, with an xG conceded of 1.78, which clearly favours Union Omaha’s attacking efficiency. Current form also points to the hosts: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 13 goals and conceding just 4, while Cosmos have scored 7 goals over the same period. The advantage in possession, averaging 61% compared with 51%, along with the home goal difference of +14 versus Cosmos’ away figure of -17, points to a convincing Union Omaha victory.

BTTS - Yes is slightly more likely, as NY Cosmos have recorded it in 64% of their matches, while Union Omaha have seen it in as many as 80% of their last five games. The hosts are in very good attacking form: they have scored 13 goals in their last five appearances, with an average xG of 2.27, while Cosmos have conceded as many as 2.64 goals per game throughout the season and have kept a clean sheet in just 9% of matches. However, the visitors should have a realistic chance of finding a response, as they create an average of 1.50 xG per game, while Union Omaha allow opponents 1.48 xG. The hosts' defence increases the risk for this pick, having conceded only 4 goals in their last five matches and kept a clean sheet in 40% of games this season; therefore, the advantage of the both-teams-to-score scenario is not significant.

Union Omaha are in excellent attacking form: they have scored 13 goals in their last 5 matches, averaging 2.6 per game, with an xG of 2.27. NY Cosmos concede as many as 2.64 goals per match this season and keep a clean sheet in only 9% of games, which significantly strengthens the prospect of the hosts scoring at least twice. The visitors’ matches have gone Over 1.5 goals in 100% of cases and Over 2.5 goals in 82%, while Union Omaha’s figures stand at 70% and 60%, respectively. The visitors also create chances with an average xG of 1.50, making their goal a realistic addition to the projected 3.05 goals. The strongest signal remains Over 1.5 goals, as the data from both teams clearly limits the likelihood of a tight match with no more than one goal.

The strongest scenario is Union Omaha leading at the break and securing the win at the final whistle, as the hosts have been ahead at half-time in 75% of their recent matches, scoring an average of 1.5 goals in the first half. NY Cosmos have clear difficulties getting into matches: across the season, they have been behind at half-time in 73% of their appearances and conceded an average of 1.45 goals before the break. Union Omaha’s advantage is also evident in their full-match form: the team has collected 13 points from its last five matches, won 80% of them, and conceded just 0.8 goals per game. The visitors have lost as many as 82% of their matches this season and allow opponents an average of 2.64 goals, so even with their xG at 1.5, the most likely outcome remains the hosts maintaining their lead until the end.