Union Omaha vs Sarasota Paradise: match statistics
Union Omaha vs Sarasota Paradise: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Union Omaha played Sarasota Paradise in USL League One (United States). The match was played on 22 August 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Union Omaha: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Sarasota Paradise: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Union Omaha scores 1.86 and concedes 1.10 goals per match. Sarasota Paradise scores 1.05 and concedes 1.67. League average: 2.91 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Union Omaha 62%, Sarasota Paradise 57%. Over 2.5: Union Omaha 62%, Sarasota Paradise 57%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
Union Omaha has higher xG: 1.93 vs 1.50. Union Omaha: 16.3 shots per match, Sarasota Paradise: 12.9.
Match halves
Union Omaha: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 1.14. Sarasota Paradise: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Union Omaha: 76-90+ (14 goals). Sarasota Paradise: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL League One: 2.91 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Union Omaha lead the home table and win 80% of their matches on home soil, remaining unbeaten, while Sarasota Paradise have lost 73% of their away games and have won just once in 11 such appearances. The hosts average 2.4 goals at home with an xG of 2.21, registering 18.7 shots and 7.2 on target per match; away from home, the visitors score just 0.64 goals. The disparity is further reflected in current form: Union Omaha have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 14 goals and conceding 5, while Sarasota have failed to win any of theirs, managing just 2 goals and conceding 10. The visitors’ defence allows an average of 1.91 goals away from home, while their 45% rate of matches without scoring further limits their chances of an upset. The hosts’ superiority in chance creation, finishing and consistency of results clearly points to a Union Omaha victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Union Omaha has a high seasonal BTTS rate of 67%, with both teams scoring in 80% of their last five matches. However, the key issue for the BTTS - Yes scenario is Sarasota Paradise’s attack: the team averages just 0.64 goals per match and has scored only 2 goals in its last five appearances, or 0.4 per game. The visitors have failed to score in 45% of their matches this season, while Union Omaha has conceded just 1.0 goal per game over its last five fixtures, with an against xG of 1.02. The hosts should create plenty of chances, given their recent xG of 2.24, while Sarasota concedes an average of 2.0 goals across its last five matches. Nevertheless, a home win with a clean sheet appears more likely than both teams scoring.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Union Omaha are in excellent attacking form: they have scored 14 goals in their last five matches, averaging 2.8 per game, with an xG of 2.24. Over the same period, Sarasota Paradise have conceded 10 goals, an average of 2.0 per match, while their average xG conceded stands at 1.56, supporting the expectation of at least two goals from the hosts. The visitors have scored a modest 0.64 goals per game this season and just 0.4 across their last five outings, but their xG is 1.41, meaning a single goal remains a realistic possibility. The Over 1.5 goals line has landed in 78% of Union Omaha matches and 73% of Sarasota’s games, making Over 1.5 the strongest data-backed selection.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Union Omaha are significantly stronger in terms of current form: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 2.8 goals, while Sarasota have failed to win any of their last five games and have scored just 0.4 goals per match. The hosts were leading at the break in 75% of their recent matches, whereas the visitors have never taken the lead before half-time and have not scored a single goal during that period. Omaha’s advantage is also evident in their attacking quality, as they create an average of 1.57 xG and register 5.0 shots on target per match, compared with Sarasota’s shooting efficiency of just 5%. After the break, the hosts should continue to control the match, having scored an average of 1.25 goals across their last five games, while Sarasota have lost 73% of their matches this season. The most likely scenario is therefore that Union Omaha will establish a lead before half-time and hold on to it until the final whistle.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Union Omaha | Sarasota Paradise | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Union Omaha is 160% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Union Omaha · 1 pts / match - Sarasota Paradise
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Union Omaha is 77% better for: goals scored per match.
1.86 goals / match - Union Omaha · 1.05 goals / match - Sarasota Paradise
Union Omaha is 52% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.1 goals / match - Union Omaha · 1.67 goals / match - Sarasota Paradise
Union Omaha scores in 81% of matches (17 of 21 matches), while Sarasota Paradise keeps a clean sheet in 24% (5 of 21 matches).
Sarasota Paradise scores in 71% of matches (15 of 21 matches), while Union Omaha keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Union Omaha
Over / Under - Sarasota Paradise
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Union Omaha is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.29 pts / match - Union Omaha · 1 pts / match - Sarasota Paradise
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Union Omaha - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Sarasota Paradise - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Union Omaha
Sarasota Paradise
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).
Teams vs league
| Union Omaha | Liga | Sarasota Paradise | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.95 | 2.91 | ▼ 2.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 57% | • 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 60% | ▼ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 25% | • 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 62% | 70% | ▼ 48% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 79% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Union Omaha 0 - 0 - 1 Sarasota Paradise. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Union Omaha vs Sarasota Paradise?
The USL League One match finished Union Omaha 1:1 Sarasota Paradise. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Union Omaha vs Sarasota Paradise?
Union Omaha score 1.86 goals per game on average and Sarasota Paradise 1.05. The USL League One average is 2.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Union Omaha's matches and 57% of Sarasota Paradise's.
What form are Union Omaha and Sarasota Paradise in?
Over the last 5 games Union Omaha have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Sarasota Paradise 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Union Omaha vs Sarasota Paradise?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Union Omaha vs Sarasota Paradise: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.