Universidad Católica vs Unión La Calera: match statistics
Universidad Católica vs Unión La Calera: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Universidad Católica played Unión La Calera in Primera División (Chile). The match was played on 21 April 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Universidad Católica: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Unión La Calera: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Universidad Católica scores 2.56 and concedes 1.56 goals per match. Unión La Calera scores 1.22 and concedes 1.44. League average: 2.65 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Universidad Católica 78%, Unión La Calera 22%. Over 2.5: Universidad Católica 78%, Unión La Calera 56%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Universidad Católica has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.16. Universidad Católica: 13.9 shots per match, Unión La Calera: 11.0.
Match halves
Universidad Católica: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 1.44. Unión La Calera: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Universidad Católica: 31-45+ (8 goals). Unión La Calera: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Universidad Católica are clear favorites at home: they have a 75% win rate at home and average 3.25 goals per home match, while Unión La Calera averages just 0.25 goals away. The hosts average 14 shots and 5.5 on target with a 23% conversion rate, compared to the visitors’ 8.75 shots and 1.75 on target with a 3% conversion, indicating a significant advantage in quality of chances. Defensively the hosts concede 1.00 goal at home and allow 0.99 xG, whereas Unión La Calera concedes 2.00 goals on the road and has 1.56 xG against, which further favors the home side. Additionally the hosts have not had a goalless home game (FTS 0%), while the visitors failed to score in 75% of their away matches; in the last 5 meetings the hosts scored 15 goals and the visitors 7, confirming superior scoring efficiency. Considering the higher xG (1.41 vs 0.92), significantly more shots on target (5.5 vs 1.75) and a 75% home win rate, I predict a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The dominant signal against BTTS is Unión La Calera’s poor scoring: seasonally only 0.25 goals per match and no goals in 75% of games, with a season BTTS rate of 0%. Universidad Católica shows clearly superior attacking numbers — 2.0 goals per match seasonally, xG_for 1.36, 4.4 SOT and a 16% conversion — so the hosts more often convert chances. Nevertheless, in the last 5 matches the hosts had 100% BTTS and averaged 3.0 goals per match (15 goals in 5), while the visitors in their last 5 recorded xG_for 1.41 and averaged 1.4 goals, giving them some chance to score. The seasonal xG comparison (0.92 xG_for for the visitors versus 1.11 xG_against for the hosts) and the disparity in shots and conversion (1.75 SOT and 3% for the visitors vs 4.4 SOT and 16% for the hosts) however reduce the realistic probability of a visitor goal. Considering Unión La Calera’s 75% of matches without a goal and mixed form signals, I assess BTTS at 30% (yes) and 70% (no); therefore the best pick is "No Goal".
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Average xG is 1.36 for Universidad Católica and 0.92 for Unión La Calera; taking into account xG against (1.11 for the home side and 1.56 for the away side) yields expected 1.46 goals for Católica and 1.02 for La Calera, total 2.48. Season stats confirm the home side's offensive edge: Católica scores on average 2.0 goals per match (23 goals in the season) with 14 conceded, while La Calera scores only 0.25 goals per match and concedes on average 2.0 goals. Form over the last 5 matches further increases the likelihood of a high-scoring game — Católica has averaged 3.0 goals in the last 5 and has 100% of matches over 2.5 goals, while La Calera has 1.4 goals in the last 5 and 80% of matches over 2.5 goals. The hosts register more shots (12.8 vs 8.75), more shots on target (4.4 vs 1.75) and have higher shooting accuracy 16% versus 3% for the visitors, which raises the chance of at least two goals. After weighting the Poisson model (around 71% for Over 1.5 and 45% for Over 2.5) and recent form, I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest signal — final assessment: Over 1.5 at 77% (Over 2.5: 61%, Over 3.5: 34%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Universidad Católica holds a clear offensive advantage: they average 2.0 goals per match versus 0.25 for Unión La Calera, have an xG of 1.36 compared to 0.92, and a shot conversion rate of 16% vs 3%, indicating greater efficiency with chances. At half-time the home side leads in 40% of matches, while the visitors lead only in 25%, and the average goals by half-time are 0.8 for Católica versus 0.25 for La Calera, so a lead at the break for the hosts is the most likely outcome. After the break Católica performs significantly better — they win the second half in 60% of cases and earn an average of 2.0 points in second halves, whereas the visitors have 0% second-half wins and only 0.25 points — this increases the probability of maintaining the lead. Based on these figures the most probable HT/FT scenario is 1/1 (home team leading at half-time and winning) estimated at 34%, the second strongest signal is X/1 at 22%, and the combined chances of a visitor turnaround after half-time are 14%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Universidad Católica | Unión La Calera | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.48 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Universidad Católica is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Universidad Católica · 1.4 pts / match - Unión La Calera
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Universidad Católica is 110% better for: goals scored per match.
2.56 goals / match - Universidad Católica · 1.22 goals / match - Unión La Calera
Unión La Calera is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.56 goals / match - Universidad Católica · 1.44 goals / match - Unión La Calera
Universidad Católica scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while Unión La Calera keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 matches).
Unión La Calera scores in 56% of matches (5 of 9 matches), while Universidad Católica keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Universidad Católica
Over / Under - Unión La Calera
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Unión La Calera is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Universidad Católica · 1.33 pts / match - Unión La Calera
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Universidad Católica - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Unión La Calera - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Universidad Católica
Unión La Calera
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Universidad Católica | Liga | Unión La Calera | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.11 | 2.65 | • 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 78% | 44% | ▼ 22% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 78% | 49% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 31% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 89% | 69% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 78% | • 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Universidad Católica 1 - 1 - 0 Unión La Calera. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Universidad Católica vs Unión La Calera?
The Primera División match finished Universidad Católica 1:2 Unión La Calera. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Universidad Católica and Unión La Calera?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Universidad Católica won 1, Unión La Calera won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Universidad Católica vs Unión La Calera?
Universidad Católica score 2.56 goals per game on average and Unión La Calera 1.22. The Primera División average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 78% of Universidad Católica's matches and 22% of Unión La Calera's.
What form are Universidad Católica and Unión La Calera in?
Over the last 5 games Universidad Católica have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Unión La Calera 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Universidad Católica vs Unión La Calera?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Universidad Católica vs Unión La Calera: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.