Bolivia - LFPBData current as of 30 August 2026

Universitario de Vinto vs Nacional Potosí: match statistics

Universitario de Vinto vs Nacional Potosí: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Universitario de Vinto played Nacional Potosí in LFPB (Bolivia). The match was played on 25 August 2026. Final score: 2:0.

Current form

Universitario de Vinto: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Nacional Potosí: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Universitario de Vinto scores 1.25 and concedes 2.19 goals per match. Nacional Potosí scores 1.56 and concedes 1.31. League average: 3.06 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Universitario de Vinto 63%, Nacional Potosí 63%. Over 2.5: Universitario de Vinto 63%, Nacional Potosí 56%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 62%.

xG, shots and style

Universitario de Vinto has higher xG: 1.82 vs 1.36. Universitario de Vinto: 16.9 shots per match, Nacional Potosí: 12.4.

Match halves

Universitario de Vinto: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.44. Nacional Potosí: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.94.

Goals by minute

Universitario de Vinto: 31-45+ (7 goals). Nacional Potosí: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

LFPB: 3.06 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 62%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-2. Average goals 3.67, BTTS 67%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Universitario de Vinto are coming off a very poor overall run: they have scored just 2 goals, earned 1 point and lost 4 of their last 5 matches. Despite this, they create significantly more chances at home than Nacional Potosí, averaging 20.38 shots and an xG of 2.18, compared with 11.38 shots and an xG of 1.17 for the visitors away from home. Nacional Potosí have been more effective recently, scoring 9 goals in five matches and recording 2 wins, but they lose as many as 63% of their away games and win only 13%. The hosts also remain vulnerable defensively, conceding an average of 1.63 goals at home and keeping no clean sheets, making a goal for the visitors a realistic scenario. However, Universitario’s advantage in the quality of chances created, combined with home-field advantage, slightly favors a home win.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

Nacional Potosí should have good conditions to score, as they have averaged 1.8 goals in their last 5 matches, while Universitario de Vinto conceded as many as 2.2 goals per game during this period. However, the biggest argument against BTTS - Yes is the hosts’ poor finishing: they scored only 2 goals in their last five appearances, averaging 0.4 per match, and BTTS occurred in just 40% of those games. Universitario did create chances worth 1.74 xG in their last five matches, but Nacional Potosí kept a clean sheet in 13% of their season matches and have recently allowed opponents an average of 1.35 xG. The season BTTS figures stand at 57% for the hosts and 75% for the visitors, but Universitario’s current goal-scoring struggles reduce the chances of both sides finding the net in this match. The more likely scenario is therefore BTTS - No, meaning that at least one team—most notably the hosts—will fail to score.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

The strongest signal is Over 1.5 goals, as at least two goals were scored in 86% of Universitario de Vinto’s matches and 88% of Nacional Potosí’s games. The hosts create chances worth an average of 1.50 xG at home, while Nacional Potosí allows opponents as much as 1.94 xG away from home, which clearly supports a goal for the home side despite their weaker recent finishing. The visitors average 1.13 goals scored away from home, but they have netted 9 times in total across their last five matches, while Universitario has conceded 11 goals during the same period. The projected total of 2.70 goals is close to the league average of 3.01, but slightly more conservative due to the hosts scoring just 2 goals in their last five appearances. The 2.5 line remains finely balanced, whereas Over 1.5 goals has significantly stronger support in the data and the best probability edge.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

Nacional Potosí are in clearly better current form: they have averaged 1.8 goals and won 2 of their last 5 matches, while Universitario have scored just 0.4 goals on average, recorded no wins and lost 4 times. The visitors led at the break in 3 of their last 5 outings, whereas the hosts did so on none of those occasions; additionally, Nacional averaged 1.2 first-half goals compared with Universitario’s 0.4. After the break, the hosts have failed to score in their last five matches, conceding an average of 1.2 goals, which further supports the scenario of the visitors holding onto their lead. Seasonal data are more favourable to Universitario at home, with a 57% win rate and an average of 1.86 goals, but current form and Nacional’s first-half advantage primarily point towards the 2/2 HT/FT outcome.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

42Possession (%)58
Universitario de VintoNacional Potosí
19Shots14
Universitario de VintoNacional Potosí
7Shots on target6
Universitario de VintoNacional Potosí
2.17xG1.53
Universitario de VintoNacional Potosí
8Corners6
Universitario de VintoNacional Potosí
68Dangerous attacks32
Universitario de VintoNacional Potosí
9Fouls7
Universitario de VintoNacional Potosí
1Cards4
Universitario de VintoNacional Potosí

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Universitario de VintoNacional Potosí
1.25Goals scored / match1.56
Universitario de VintoNacional Potosí
2.19Goals conceded / match1.31
Universitario de VintoNacional Potosí
Universitario de VintoNacional Potosí
55%Average possession53%
Universitario de VintoNacional Potosí
5.88Shots on target / match4.06
Universitario de VintoNacional Potosí
Universitario de VintoNacional Potosí

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

16.88Shots per match12.38
Universitario de VintoNacional Potosí
5.88Shots on target4.06
Universitario de VintoNacional Potosí
7.4%Shot conversion12.6%
Universitario de VintoNacional Potosí
55%Possession53%
Universitario de VintoNacional Potosí
1.82xG for1.36
Universitario de VintoNacional Potosí
1.36xG against1.58
Universitario de VintoNacional Potosí

Shooting quality

Universitario de Vinto: DominantNacional Potosí: Balanced
Universitario de VintoNacional Potosí
Accuracy (shots on target)35%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.210.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Nacional Potosí is 500% better for: last-5 form.

0.2 pts / match - Universitario de Vinto · 1.2 pts / match - Nacional Potosí

Universitario de Vinto
DLLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
19% W13% R69% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-2-11
0.69 pts / match · goal difference -15
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-2-4
Last 5 at home
1-1-3
WLDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 2.6xG: 1.80Opponent xG: 1.27BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Nacional Potosí
LLLWW
Season result split
38% W19% R44% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-3-7
1.31 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-2-5
Last 5 away
0-2-3
DLDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.39Opponent xG: 1.53BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Nacional Potosí is 25% better for: goals scored per match.

1.25 goals / match - Universitario de Vinto · 1.56 goals / match - Nacional Potosí

Nacional Potosí is 67% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.19 goals / match - Universitario de Vinto · 1.31 goals / match - Nacional Potosí

Universitario de Vinto scoring profile: strong

Universitario de Vinto scores in 69% of matches (11 of 16 matches), while Nacional Potosí keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 matches).

Nacional Potosí scoring profile: very strong

Nacional Potosí scores in 94% of matches (15 of 16 matches), while Universitario de Vinto keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 16 matches).

20Goals scored (season)25
Universitario de VintoNacional Potosí
35Goals conceded (season)21
Universitario de VintoNacional Potosí
3.44Average goals in match2.88
Universitario de VintoNacional Potosí
4Goals scored (last 5)8
Universitario de VintoNacional Potosí
13Goals conceded (last 5)6
Universitario de VintoNacional Potosí

How often they score at least...

69%1 goal94%
Universitario de VintoNacional Potosí
25%2 goals38%
Universitario de VintoNacional Potosí
19%3 goals19%
Universitario de VintoNacional Potosí
6%4 goals6%
Universitario de VintoNacional Potosí

How often they concede at least...

94%1 goal69%
Universitario de VintoNacional Potosí
69%2 goals38%
Universitario de VintoNacional Potosí
25%3 goals19%
Universitario de VintoNacional Potosí
25%4 goals6%
Universitario de VintoNacional Potosí

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

63%
Universitario de Vinto - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.10 of 16 matches
63%
Nacional Potosí - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.10 of 16 matches
64%
League average

Goal patterns

38%BTTS at half-time13%
Universitario de VintoNacional Potosí
13%BTTS in both halves0%
Universitario de VintoNacional Potosí
25%Scored in both halves19%
Universitario de VintoNacional Potosí

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS44%
Universitario de VintoNacional Potosí
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
Universitario de VintoNacional Potosí
40%BTTS - last 540%
Universitario de VintoNacional Potosí

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

Universitario de VintoNacional Potosí
Universitario de VintoNacional Potosí

1st half

81%Min. 1 goal before half-time63%
Universitario de VintoNacional Potosí
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%
Universitario de VintoNacional Potosí
19%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
Universitario de VintoNacional Potosí

2nd half

94%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Universitario de VintoNacional Potosí
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time56%
Universitario de VintoNacional Potosí
31%Min. 3 goals after half-time19%
Universitario de VintoNacional Potosí

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Nacional Potosí is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.25 pts / match - Universitario de Vinto · 1.69 pts / match - Nacional Potosí

Universitario de Vinto - half-time state
25% leading50% draw25% trailing
Nacional Potosí - half-time state
44% leading38% draw19% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.25Points per match (1st half)1.69
Universitario de VintoNacional Potosí
0.81Goals scored (1st half)0.63
Universitario de VintoNacional Potosí
0.75Goals conceded (1st half)0.44
Universitario de VintoNacional Potosí
1.56Average goals (1st half)1.06
Universitario de VintoNacional Potosí
38%Clean sheet before half-time69%
Universitario de VintoNacional Potosí
44%No goal before half-time56%
Universitario de VintoNacional Potosí

After half-time (2nd half)

0.63Points per match (2nd half)1.44
Universitario de VintoNacional Potosí
0.44Goals scored (2nd half)0.94
Universitario de VintoNacional Potosí
1.44Goals conceded (2nd half)0.88
Universitario de VintoNacional Potosí
1.88Average goals (2nd half)1.81
Universitario de VintoNacional Potosí
19%Clean sheet after half-time44%
Universitario de VintoNacional Potosí
63%No goal after half-time31%
Universitario de VintoNacional Potosí

Universitario de Vinto - second-half results

13% W25% R63% P
20
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
-16
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.25
PPG before half-time
Lead holding76%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 19%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.7

Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Nacional Potosí - second-half results

44% W13% R44% P
27
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
23
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.69
PPG before half-time
Lead holding86%

Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 38%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Universitario de Vinto - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.600.20
Goals scored / match0.60.2
Goals conceded / match1.21.4
Average goals in match1.81.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-3-6
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Nacional Potosí - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.40
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match1.21.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+20
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Universitario de Vinto
ScoredConceded
0
5
0-15
6
4
16-30
7
3
31-45
2
9
46-60
4
7
61-75
1
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.

Nacional Potosí
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
3
2
16-30
4
4
31-45
5
5
46-60
5
1
61-75
5
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.16
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
103%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
63%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+16%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
65%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Universitario de Vinto

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.46
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.40
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.57
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.83
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
67%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
183%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.49
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.4
Late goals
5% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
5%

Nacional Potosí

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.22
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.47
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.27
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
130%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
70%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.11
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (LFPB).

Teams vs league

Universitario de VintoLigaNacional Potosí
Average goals in match 3.443.06 2.88
Both teams scored 63%64% 63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 63%62% 56%
Clean sheets 6%22% 31%
Goal before half-time 81%74% 63%
Goal after half-time 94%86% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.06
Average goals per match
64%
Both teams scored
62%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.86
Home goals / match
1.20
Away goals / match
+55%
Home attack advantage
+35%
Home defence advantage
+25%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
86%
1 goal
56%
2 goals
26%
3 goals
9%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Universitario de VintoGoalEsdras Mendoza
  2. Nacional PotosíYellow cardTommy Tobar Reyes
  3. Universitario de VintoYellow cardJosé Antonio Pinto Quiroz
  4. Nacional PotosíYellow cardMaximiliano Ezequiel Núñez
  5. Nacional PotosíRed cardSchneider Peña Vaca
  6. Nacional PotosíSubstitutionOn: Oscar Junior Baldomar RocaOff: Maximiliano Ezequiel Núñez
  7. Universitario de VintoSubstitutionOn: Daniel Alejandro Camacho AlmanzaOff: Marco Diaz
  8. Universitario de VintoGoalOswaldo Enrique Blanco MancillaAssist: Diego Rocha
  9. Universitario de VintoSubstitutionOn: Diego RochaOff: Felipe Pasadore
  10. Universitario de VintoSubstitutionOn: Brayan CalderónOff: Joel Calicho Laime

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Universitario de Vinto 0 - 1 - 2 Nacional Potosí. Average goals 3.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Universitario de Vinto vs Nacional Potosí?

The LFPB match finished Universitario de Vinto 2:0 Nacional Potosí. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Universitario de Vinto and Nacional Potosí?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Universitario de Vinto won 0, Nacional Potosí won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Universitario de Vinto vs Nacional Potosí?

Universitario de Vinto score 1.25 goals per game on average and Nacional Potosí 1.56. The LFPB average is 3.06 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Universitario de Vinto's matches and 63% of Nacional Potosí's.

What form are Universitario de Vinto and Nacional Potosí in?

Over the last 5 games Universitario de Vinto have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Nacional Potosí 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Universitario de Vinto vs Nacional Potosí?

The statistical background for Universitario de Vinto vs Nacional Potosí — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.