UTS Rabat vs Ittihad Tanger: match statistics
UTS Rabat vs Ittihad Tanger: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
UTS Rabat played Ittihad Tanger in Botola Pro (Morocco). The match was played on 2 July 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
UTS Rabat: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Ittihad Tanger: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
UTS Rabat scores 1.04 and concedes 1.39 goals per match. Ittihad Tanger scores 0.89 and concedes 1.04. League average: 2.17 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: UTS Rabat 64%, Ittihad Tanger 54%. Over 2.5: UTS Rabat 32%, Ittihad Tanger 25%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots and style
Ittihad Tanger has higher xG: 1.32 vs 1.23. UTS Rabat: 8.9 shots per match, Ittihad Tanger: 10.5.
Match halves
UTS Rabat: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.54. Ittihad Tanger: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.61.
Goals by minute
UTS Rabat: 76-90+ (7 goals). Ittihad Tanger: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Botola Pro: 2.17 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a win for Ittihad Tanger (2). The visitors sit 7th versus the hosts’ 15th and have won 3 of their last 5 matches, while UTS Rabat has won only 1 of five (points per match in last 5: visitors 2.0 vs hosts 1.0). Ittihad creates more chances and has higher away xG — averaging 10.36 shots and xG 1.35 per match, versus 8.43 shots and xG 1.18 for the hosts. Defensively the visitors also fare better: UTS conceded 39 goals this season and 1.43 goals per home match, while Ittihad conceded 29 goals this season and 1.14 away; the hosts do have better home conversion (12% vs 8%) but rarely win at home (7% wins and 50% draws). Considering form, higher xG (1.35 vs 1.18) and lower average goals conceded (1.14 vs 1.43), I give the edge to the visitors, with a moderate risk of a draw due to UTS’s tendency to draw at home.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Looking at seasonal BTTS indicators, UTS Rabat has 64% and Ittihad Tanger 43%, yielding a simple average of about 54% which is close to the league average of 52%; in the last 5 matches it's 60% vs 40% in favor of UTS. Both teams generate real chances: xG_for is 1.28 for UTS and 1.35 for Ittihad, while xG_against is 1.38 and 1.50 respectively, meaning both defenses concede over 1.3 xG per match, which favors goals. Shot metrics are similar (10.64 vs 10.36 average shots and 3.21 vs 3.21 shots on target) and conversion 9% vs 8%, confirming a sufficient number of goal-scoring opportunities. Counterpoints are Ittihad’s better defense in the last 5 matches (0.8 average goals conceded vs 1.2 for UTS) and Ittihad’s lower seasonal BTTS (43%), but seasonal clean sheets 29% (UTS) and 14% (Ittihad) indicate a full shutout of one side is not the dominant scenario. Therefore my strongest signal is BTTS - Yes with a probability of 60% versus 40% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams have a high season percentage of matches over 1.5 goals: 71% for the home side and 71% for the away side, which is a strong signal for Over 1.5. From an xG perspective UTS has xG_for 1.28 vs the opponent’s xG_against 1.50 (≈1.39 for the home team), and Ittihad has xG_for 1.35 vs the home side’s xG_against 1.38 (≈1.36 for the away team) — combined xG ≈2.75. However, actual goals scored this season are 0.93 + 0.86 = 1.79, while in the last 5 matches both teams average 1.2 goals each (combined 2.4), so historical finishing is below xG. Considering xG (≈2.75), the last 5 matches (≈2.4) and season figures, I forecast 1.25 goals for the home team and 1.10 for the away team, total ≈2.35 goals. Consequently the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (pick: Over 1.5); Over 2.5 is less certain (estimate ~36% chance), and Over 3.5 has negligible probability (~8%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and an away win at full-time (X/2): the home side were level at the break in 79% of their matches this season (11 of 14), and in the last 5 matches they had a 80% rate of HT draws (4 of 5). Both teams average 0.29 goals each by half-time, which confirms low scoring in the first 45 minutes and favors a goalless or drawn HT. The advantage shifts to the visitors in the second half — in the last 5 matches they won 60% of games (3 of 5) and won the second half in 80% of those matches (4 of 5), and the visitors’ xG is 1.35 versus the hosts’ 1.28, giving them a slight offensive edge. Therefore I assigned X/2 the highest probability (33%) and X/X the second highest (23%), because although an HT draw is a strong signal, form and second-half results favor a turnaround by Ittihad Tanger. Additionally, the hosts kept a clean sheet at half-time in 64% of HTs, while the visitors scored 14 goals by half-time compared to the hosts’ 9, which increases the chance of a breakthrough after the break.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| UTS Rabat | Ittihad Tanger | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 44% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ittihad Tanger is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - UTS Rabat · 2 pts / match - Ittihad Tanger
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
UTS Rabat is 17% better for: goals scored per match.
1.04 goals / match - UTS Rabat · 0.89 goals / match - Ittihad Tanger
Ittihad Tanger is 34% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.39 goals / match - UTS Rabat · 1.04 goals / match - Ittihad Tanger
UTS Rabat scores in 71% of matches (20 of 28 matches), while Ittihad Tanger keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 28 matches).
Ittihad Tanger scores in 68% of matches (19 of 28 matches), while UTS Rabat keeps a clean sheet in 11% (3 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - UTS Rabat
Over / Under - Ittihad Tanger
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
UTS Rabat is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.11 pts / match - UTS Rabat · 1 pts / match - Ittihad Tanger
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
UTS Rabat - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 14%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Ittihad Tanger - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
UTS Rabat
Ittihad Tanger
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Botola Pro).
Teams vs league
| UTS Rabat | Liga | Ittihad Tanger | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.43 | 2.17 | ▼ 1.93 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 52% | ▲ 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 32% | 38% | ▼ 25% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 30% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 54% | 63% | • 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 73% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: UTS Rabat 0 - 1 - 0 Ittihad Tanger. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of UTS Rabat vs Ittihad Tanger?
The Botola Pro match finished UTS Rabat 1:0 Ittihad Tanger. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before UTS Rabat vs Ittihad Tanger?
UTS Rabat score 1.04 goals per game on average and Ittihad Tanger 0.89. The Botola Pro average is 2.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 64% of UTS Rabat's matches and 54% of Ittihad Tanger's.
What form are UTS Rabat and Ittihad Tanger in?
Over the last 5 games UTS Rabat have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Ittihad Tanger 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for UTS Rabat vs Ittihad Tanger?
The statistical background for UTS Rabat vs Ittihad Tanger — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.