Latvia - 1. LigaVidzemes Olimpiskais centrsData current as of 15 October 2026

Valmiera / BSS vs Tukums II: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Valmiera / BSS vs Tukums II: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Valmiera / BSS play Tukums II in 1. Liga (Latvia). The match date is 18 October 2026. Venue: Vidzemes Olimpiskais centrs.

Current form

Valmiera / BSS: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Tukums II: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Valmiera / BSS scores 2.77 and concedes 1.09 goals per match. Tukums II scores 1.32 and concedes 2.86. League average: 3.72 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Valmiera / BSS 77%, Tukums II 68%. Over 2.5: Valmiera / BSS 82%, Tukums II 73%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 70%.

xG, shots and style

Valmiera / BSS has higher xG: 1.80 vs 1.54. Valmiera / BSS: 11.8 shots per match, Tukums II: 8.7.

Match halves

Valmiera / BSS: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.82. Tukums II: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.73.

Goals by minute

Valmiera / BSS: 76-90+ (16 goals). Tukums II: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

1. Liga: 3.72 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 70%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Valmiera / BSSTukums II
2.77Goals scored / match1.32
Valmiera / BSSTukums II
1.09Goals conceded / match2.86
Valmiera / BSSTukums II
49%Average possession35%
Valmiera / BSSTukums II
6.45Shots on target / match3.55
Valmiera / BSSTukums II

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.77Shots per match8.68
Valmiera / BSSTukums II
6.45Shots on target3.55
Valmiera / BSSTukums II
23.6%Shot conversion15.2%
Valmiera / BSSTukums II
49%Possession35%
Valmiera / BSSTukums II
1.8xG for1.54
Valmiera / BSSTukums II
1.49xG against1.91
Valmiera / BSSTukums II

Shooting quality

Valmiera / BSS: Efficient finishingTukums II: Counter-attacking
Valmiera / BSSTukums II
Accuracy (shots on target)55%41%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.150.18
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.430.37

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Valmiera / BSS is 33% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Valmiera / BSS · 1.2 pts / match - Tukums II

Valmiera / BSS
WDWLD
Season result split
73% W18% D9% L
Season (W-D-L)
16-4-2
2.36 pts / match · goal difference +37
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-3-1
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
WWDLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.40Opponent xG: 1.62BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%
Tukums II
LLWWL
Season result split
23% W14% D64% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-3-14
0.82 pts / match · goal difference -34
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-9
Last 5 away
0-0-5
LLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.56Opponent xG: 1.69BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Valmiera / BSS is 110% better for: goals scored per match.

2.77 goals / match - Valmiera / BSS · 1.32 goals / match - Tukums II

Valmiera / BSS is 162% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.09 goals / match - Valmiera / BSS · 2.86 goals / match - Tukums II

Valmiera / BSS scoring profile: very strong

Valmiera / BSS scores in 95% of matches (21 of 22 matches), while Tukums II keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 22 matches).

Tukums II scoring profile: very strong

Tukums II scores in 82% of matches (18 of 22 matches), while Valmiera / BSS keeps a clean sheet in 23% (5 of 22 matches).

61Goals scored (season)29
Valmiera / BSSTukums II
24Goals conceded (season)63
Valmiera / BSSTukums II
3.86Average goals in match4.18
Valmiera / BSSTukums II
13Goals scored (last 5)6
Valmiera / BSSTukums II
9Goals conceded (last 5)12
Valmiera / BSSTukums II

How often they score at least...

95%1 goal82%
Valmiera / BSSTukums II
82%2 goals36%
Valmiera / BSSTukums II
55%3 goals9%
Valmiera / BSSTukums II
32%4 goals5%
Valmiera / BSSTukums II

How often they concede at least...

77%1 goal86%
Valmiera / BSSTukums II
18%2 goals68%
Valmiera / BSSTukums II
9%3 goals55%
Valmiera / BSSTukums II
5%4 goals32%
Valmiera / BSSTukums II

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

63%
League average

Goal patterns

23%BTTS at half-time32%
Valmiera / BSSTukums II
0%BTTS in both halves9%
Valmiera / BSSTukums II
50%Scored in both halves23%
Valmiera / BSSTukums II

BTTS and goal count

68%Min. 3 goals and BTTS59%
Valmiera / BSSTukums II
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
Valmiera / BSSTukums II
100%BTTS - last 540%
Valmiera / BSSTukums II

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

68%Min. 1 goal before half-time86%
Valmiera / BSSTukums II
36%Min. 2 goals before half-time64%
Valmiera / BSSTukums II
18%Min. 3 goals before half-time36%
Valmiera / BSSTukums II

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal after half-time91%
Valmiera / BSSTukums II
82%Min. 2 goals after half-time59%
Valmiera / BSSTukums II
55%Min. 3 goals after half-time27%
Valmiera / BSSTukums II

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Valmiera / BSS is 162% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.91 pts / match - Valmiera / BSS · 0.73 pts / match - Tukums II

Valmiera / BSS - half-time state
50% leading41% draw9% trailing
Tukums II - half-time state
18% leading18% draw64% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.91Points per match (1st half)0.73
Valmiera / BSSTukums II
0.91Goals scored (1st half)0.59
Valmiera / BSSTukums II
0.32Goals conceded (1st half)1.68
Valmiera / BSSTukums II
1.23Average goals (1st half)2.27
Valmiera / BSSTukums II
73%Clean sheet before half-time27%
Valmiera / BSSTukums II
36%No goal before half-time55%
Valmiera / BSSTukums II

After half-time (2nd half)

2.18Points per match (2nd half)0.95
Valmiera / BSSTukums II
1.82Goals scored (2nd half)0.73
Valmiera / BSSTukums II
0.73Goals conceded (2nd half)1.18
Valmiera / BSSTukums II
2.55Average goals (2nd half)1.91
Valmiera / BSSTukums II
50%Clean sheet after half-time32%
Valmiera / BSSTukums II
23%No goal after half-time41%
Valmiera / BSSTukums II

Valmiera / BSS - second-half results

64% W27% D9% L
42
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
+13
Goal difference (1st half)
48
Second-half points
+24
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.91
PPG before half-time
Lead holding146%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 73%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Tukums II - second-half results

23% W27% D50% L
16
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
-24
Goal difference (1st half)
21
Second-half points
-10
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.73
PPG before half-time
Lead holding128%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.5

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Valmiera / BSS - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.202.00
Goals scored / match0.81.6
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match1.62.4
1 goal60%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals40%60%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference0+4
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 4
Tukums II - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.80
Goals scored / match0.80.4
Goals conceded / match1.80.6
Average goals in match2.61.0
1 goal100%60%
2 goals80%40%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference-5-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 0% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Valmiera / BSS
ScoredConceded
8
3
0-15
6
1
16-30
7
4
31-45
14
3
46-60
10
6
61-75
16
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.

Tukums II
ScoredConceded
3
7
0-15
4
12
16-30
6
18
31-45
4
9
46-60
3
8
61-75
9
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

4.02
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.8 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
108%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
73%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+24%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
78%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
4+
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Valmiera / BSS

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.31
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.37
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.97
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.40
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
134%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
66%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.76
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.9
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

Tukums II

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.37
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+6.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.95
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
80%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
139%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.38
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
31% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
31%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).

Teams vs league

Valmiera / BSSLigaTukums II
Average goals in match▲ 3.863.72▲ 4.18
Both teams scored▲ 77%63%▲ 68%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 82%70%▲ 73%
Clean sheets▲ 23%20%▼ 14%
Goal before half-time▼ 68%76%▲ 86%
Goal after half-time▲ 86%83%▲ 91%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.72
Average goals per match
63%
Both teams scored
70%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
20%
Clean sheets
2.06
Home goals / match
1.66
Away goals / match
+24%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defence advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
60%
2 goals
34%
3 goals
13%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Valmiera / BSS 1 - 0 - 0 Tukums II. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do Valmiera / BSS and Tukums II play?

Valmiera / BSS face Tukums II on 18 October 2026 in 1. Liga at Vidzemes Olimpiskais centrs. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Valmiera / BSS vs Tukums II?

Valmiera / BSS score 2.77 goals per game on average and Tukums II 1.32. The 1. Liga average is 3.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 70% of games. Both teams score in 77% of Valmiera / BSS's matches and 68% of Tukums II's.

What form are Valmiera / BSS and Tukums II in?

Over the last 5 games Valmiera / BSS have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Tukums II 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Valmiera / BSS vs Tukums II?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.