Iceland - ÚrvalsdeildData current as of 13 August 2026

Valur vs KA: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Valur vs KA: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Valur play KA in Úrvalsdeild (Iceland). The match date is 17 August 2026.

Current form

Valur: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. KA: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Valur scores 1.72 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. KA scores 1.33 and concedes 2.00. League average: 3.87 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Valur 72%, KA 61%. Over 2.5: Valur 72%, KA 61%. League level: BTTS 70%, Over 2.5 69%.

xG, shots and style

Valur has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.65. Valur: 14.6 shots per match, KA: 14.7.

Match halves

Valur: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.78. KA: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.89.

Goals by minute

Valur: 76-90+ (9 goals). KA: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Úrvalsdeild: 3.87 goals per match, BTTS 70%, Over 2.5 69%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 3-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 67%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.02)
(3.90)
(3.11)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.72Goals scored / match1.33
ValurKA
2Goals conceded / match2
ValurKA
50%Average possession47%
ValurKA
5.22Shots on target / match4.83
ValurKA

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.56Shots per match14.72
ValurKA
5.22Shots on target4.83
ValurKA
11.8%Shot conversion9.1%
ValurKA
50%Possession47%
ValurKA
1.7xG for1.65
ValurKA
2.23xG against1.92
ValurKA

Shooting quality

Valur: AttackingKA: Attacking
ValurKA
Accuracy (shots on target)36%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

KA is 67% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Valur · 1 pts / match - KA

Valur
LLLLW
Season result split
39% W6% R56% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-1-10
1.22 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-1-5
Last 5 at home
1-1-3
WLDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.81Opponent xG: 2.35BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
KA
WDDLL
Season result split
22% W17% R61% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-3-11
0.83 pts / match · goal difference -12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-2-5
Last 5 away
0-1-4
LLLDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.68Opponent xG: 1.72BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Valur is 29% better for: goals scored per match.

1.72 goals / match - Valur · 1.33 goals / match - KA

Valur scoring profile: very strong

Valur scores in 83% of matches (15 of 18 matches), while KA keeps a clean sheet in 17% (3 of 18 matches).

KA scoring profile: very strong

KA scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while Valur keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 18 matches).

31Goals scored (season)24
ValurKA
36Goals conceded (season)36
ValurKA
3.72Average goals in match3.33
ValurKA
7Goals scored (last 5)5
ValurKA
10Goals conceded (last 5)8
ValurKA

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal72%
ValurKA
50%2 goals44%
ValurKA
28%3 goals17%
ValurKA
11%4 goals0%
ValurKA

How often they concede at least...

89%1 goal83%
ValurKA
61%2 goals61%
ValurKA
33%3 goals39%
ValurKA
11%4 goals11%
ValurKA

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time22%
ValurKA
6%BTTS in both halves11%
ValurKA
39%Scored in both halves22%
ValurKA

BTTS and goal count

67%Min. 3 goals and BTTS56%
ValurKA
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
ValurKA
60%BTTS - last 540%
ValurKA

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

89%Min. 1 goal before half-time72%
ValurKA
61%Min. 2 goals before half-time39%
ValurKA
28%Min. 3 goals before half-time28%
ValurKA

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
ValurKA
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time56%
ValurKA
33%Min. 3 goals after half-time22%
ValurKA

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Valur is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.39 pts / match - Valur · 0.83 pts / match - KA

Valur - half-time state
33% leading39% draw28% trailing
KA - half-time state
17% leading33% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.39Points per match (1st half)0.83
ValurKA
0.94Goals scored (1st half)0.44
ValurKA
1Goals conceded (1st half)1.06
ValurKA
1.94Average goals (1st half)1.5
ValurKA
44%Clean sheet before half-time39%
ValurKA
33%No goal before half-time67%
ValurKA

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per match (2nd half)1.33
ValurKA
0.78Goals scored (2nd half)0.89
ValurKA
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.94
ValurKA
1.78Average goals (2nd half)1.83
ValurKA
33%Clean sheet after half-time39%
ValurKA
44%No goal after half-time39%
ValurKA

Valur - second-half results

22% W33% R44% P
25
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.39
PPG before half-time
Lead holding118%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

KA - second-half results

33% W33% R33% P
15
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-11
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.83
PPG before half-time
Lead holding129%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Valur - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.20
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.81.2
Average goals in match1.42.0
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference-1-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
KA - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.00
Goals scored / match0.20.8
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match1.01.6
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-30
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Valur
ScoredConceded
6
5
0-15
7
6
16-30
4
7
31-45
4
4
46-60
1
5
61-75
9
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

KA
ScoredConceded
2
5
0-15
3
4
16-30
3
10
31-45
3
4
46-60
6
5
61-75
7
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.52
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.9 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
91%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
67%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+13%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
60%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Valur

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.53
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.25
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.23
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
81%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
115%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.62
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

KA

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.27
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.40
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.32
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
76%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
94%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Úrvalsdeild).

Teams vs league

ValurLigaKA
Average goals in match 3.723.87 3.33
Both teams scored 72%70% 61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 72%69% 61%
Clean sheets 11%17% 17%
Goal before half-time 89%81% 72%
Goal after half-time 83%86% 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.87
Average goals per match
70%
Both teams scored
69%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
17%
Clean sheets
2.13
Home goals / match
1.74
Away goals / match
+22%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
52%
2 goals
24%
3 goals
13%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
86%
1 goal
61%
2 goals
41%
3 goals
19%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Valur 3 - 0 - 0 KA. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.

KA
0 : 1
Valur
KA Akureyri
2 : 5
Valur Reykjavík
Valur Reykjavík
3 : 1
KA Akureyri

FAQ

When do Valur and KA play?

Valur face KA on 17 August 2026 in Úrvalsdeild. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Valur and KA?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Valur won 3, KA won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Valur vs KA?

Valur score 1.72 goals per game on average and KA 1.33. The Úrvalsdeild average is 3.87 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 69% of games. Both teams score in 72% of Valur's matches and 61% of KA's.

What form are Valur and KA in?

Over the last 5 games Valur have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and KA 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Valur vs KA?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.