Vaprus vs Harju Jalgpallikool: match statistics
Vaprus vs Harju Jalgpallikool: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Vaprus played Harju Jalgpallikool in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match was played on 9 September 2026. Venue: Pärnu Rannastaadion. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Vaprus: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Harju Jalgpallikool: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Vaprus scores 1.36 and concedes 1.84 goals per match. Harju Jalgpallikool scores 1.38 and concedes 1.65. League average: 3.11 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Vaprus 68%, Harju Jalgpallikool 50%. Over 2.5: Vaprus 64%, Harju Jalgpallikool 65%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
Harju Jalgpallikool has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.17. Vaprus: 8.8 shots per match, Harju Jalgpallikool: 12.1.
Match halves
Vaprus: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.68. Harju Jalgpallikool: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.65.
Goals by minute
Vaprus: 16-30 (8 goals). Harju Jalgpallikool: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Meistriliiga: 3.11 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 6 previous H2H matches were available: 3-2-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Vaprus have the home advantage: they win 42% of their home matches and score an average of 1.67 goals, while Harju score just 1.08 goals per away game and lose 67% of their away fixtures. However, the hosts are in weaker recent form, having won only once in their last five matches and conceded 10 goals, whereas Harju have recorded 3 wins and allowed 7 goals. The visitors create more chances away from home, averaging 12.08 shots and an xG of 1.49 compared with Vaprus’ 1.17, but their conversion rate is just 9%, compared with 19% for the hosts. Both defences are vulnerable to mistakes, as shown by Vaprus conceding an average of 1.67 goals at home and Harju 1.83 away. Vaprus have a slight edge due to their finishing efficiency in front of their own goal and Harju’s poor away run, although the visitors’ form makes this an evenly matched contest.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The case for both teams to score is strengthened by their current form: in their last 5 matches, both Vaprus and Harju recorded BTTS in 80% of games, compared with 54% and 50%, respectively, across the full season. During this period, Vaprus averaged 2.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded, while Harju averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. The hosts have failed to score in only 8% of their matches, while the visitors have kept a clean sheet in just 8% of their appearances, which particularly supports a Vaprus goal. Harju have more often drawn a blank, doing so in 42% of matches; however, the visitors’ xG stands at 1.49 for the season and 1.67 across their last five matches, while Vaprus allow opponents an xG of 2.03. With the league average for BTTS at 59% and both teams posting high figures in their recent matches, a Goal/Goal scenario is more likely.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Vaprus score an average of 1.77 goals per match, while Harju concede 1.83, clearly supporting the hosts’ goal-scoring potential. On the other hand, Vaprus allow opponents an xG of 2.03, while Harju create an average of 1.49 xG, meaning the visitors should also have chances to score. In their last five matches, both teams averaged 4.2 total goals per game: Vaprus scored 2.2 and conceded 2.0, while Harju scored 1.8 and conceded 1.4. The Over 1.5 goals line has the strongest statistical support, having landed in 85% of Vaprus matches and 75% of Harju matches. In addition, both teams scored in 100% of their matches this season.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely HT/FT outcome is a draw at half-time and a Vaprus win at the final whistle, as the hosts were level at the break in 54% of their matches, compared with just 33% for Harju. Vaprus average 1.08 goals scored and only 0.46 conceded before half-time, while the visitors score just 0.42 goals in this phase and allow opponents 1.00. Over the full match, the case for the hosts is supported by an average of 1.77 goals scored versus Harju’s 1.08, as well as significantly better shot conversion rates of 15% compared with 9%. However, the visitors are in better current form, having won 3 of their last 5 matches and held a lead at the break in 40% of them, which is why outcomes featuring their success at full-time also account for a significant share of the distribution. The X/1 scenario is further supported by the fact that Vaprus averaged 1.2 goals in the second halves of their last five matches and did not lose any of those periods.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Vaprus | Harju Jalgpallikool | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Harju Jalgpallikool is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Vaprus · 1.2 pts / match - Harju Jalgpallikool
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Harju Jalgpallikool is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.84 goals / match - Vaprus · 1.65 goals / match - Harju Jalgpallikool
Vaprus scores in 84% of matches (21 of 25 matches), while Harju Jalgpallikool keeps a clean sheet in 23% (6 of 26 matches).
Harju Jalgpallikool scores in 73% of matches (19 of 26 matches), while Vaprus keeps a clean sheet in 24% (6 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Vaprus
Over / Under - Harju Jalgpallikool
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Vaprus - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Harju Jalgpallikool - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Vaprus
Harju Jalgpallikool
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Vaprus | Liga | Harju Jalgpallikool | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.20 | 3.11 | • 3.04 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 59% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 64% | 65% | • 65% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 24% | 22% | • 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 72% | 75% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | • 88% | 88% | ▼ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): Vaprus 3 - 2 - 1 Harju Jalgpallikool. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Vaprus vs Harju Jalgpallikool?
The Meistriliiga match finished Vaprus 3:2 Harju Jalgpallikool. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Vaprus and Harju Jalgpallikool?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Vaprus won 3, Harju Jalgpallikool won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Vaprus vs Harju Jalgpallikool?
Vaprus score 1.36 goals per game on average and Harju Jalgpallikool 1.38. The Meistriliiga average is 3.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Vaprus's matches and 50% of Harju Jalgpallikool's.
What form are Vaprus and Harju Jalgpallikool in?
Over the last 5 games Vaprus have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Harju Jalgpallikool 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vaprus vs Harju Jalgpallikool?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.