Estonia - MeistriliigaPärnu RannastaadionData current as of 06 September 2026

Vaprus vs Harju Jalgpallikool: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Vaprus vs Harju Jalgpallikool: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Vaprus play Harju Jalgpallikool in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match date is 9 September 2026. Venue: Pärnu Rannastaadion.

Current form

Vaprus: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Harju Jalgpallikool: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Vaprus scores 1.36 and concedes 1.84 goals per match. Harju Jalgpallikool scores 1.44 and concedes 1.64. League average: 3.12 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Vaprus 68%, Harju Jalgpallikool 52%. Over 2.5: Vaprus 64%, Harju Jalgpallikool 68%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 66%.

xG, shots and style

Harju Jalgpallikool has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.18. Vaprus: 8.8 shots per match, Harju Jalgpallikool: 12.0.

Match halves

Vaprus: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.68. Harju Jalgpallikool: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.68.

Goals by minute

Vaprus: 16-30 (8 goals). Harju Jalgpallikool: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Meistriliiga: 3.12 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 66%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 6 previous H2H matches were available: 3-2-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 67%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

VaprusHarju Jalgpallikool
1.36Goals scored / match1.44
VaprusHarju Jalgpallikool
1.84Goals conceded / match1.64
VaprusHarju Jalgpallikool
46%Average possession48%
VaprusHarju Jalgpallikool
3.68Shots on target / match4
VaprusHarju Jalgpallikool

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.8Shots per match11.96
VaprusHarju Jalgpallikool
3.68Shots on target4
VaprusHarju Jalgpallikool
15.5%Shot conversion12%
VaprusHarju Jalgpallikool
46%Possession48%
VaprusHarju Jalgpallikool
1.18xG for1.51
VaprusHarju Jalgpallikool
1.98xG against1.91
VaprusHarju Jalgpallikool

Shooting quality

Vaprus: Counter-attackingHarju Jalgpallikool: Balanced
VaprusHarju Jalgpallikool
Accuracy (shots on target)42%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Harju Jalgpallikool is 20% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Vaprus · 1.2 pts / match - Harju Jalgpallikool

Vaprus
DLLDW
Season result split
36% W16% R48% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-4-12
1.24 pts / match · goal difference -12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-2-5
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WWDLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.30Opponent xG: 2.50BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Harju Jalgpallikool
LLLWW
Season result split
40% W4% R56% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-1-14
1.24 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-0-8
Last 5 away
1-0-4
LLLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.44Opponent xG: 2.03BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Harju Jalgpallikool is 6% better for: goals scored per match.

1.36 goals / match - Vaprus · 1.44 goals / match - Harju Jalgpallikool

Harju Jalgpallikool is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.84 goals / match - Vaprus · 1.64 goals / match - Harju Jalgpallikool

Vaprus scoring profile: very strong

Vaprus scores in 84% of matches (21 of 25 matches), while Harju Jalgpallikool keeps a clean sheet in 24% (6 of 25 matches).

Harju Jalgpallikool scoring profile: very strong

Harju Jalgpallikool scores in 76% of matches (19 of 25 matches), while Vaprus keeps a clean sheet in 24% (6 of 25 matches).

34Goals scored (season)36
VaprusHarju Jalgpallikool
46Goals conceded (season)41
VaprusHarju Jalgpallikool
3.2Average goals in match3.08
VaprusHarju Jalgpallikool
6Goals scored (last 5)6
VaprusHarju Jalgpallikool
8Goals conceded (last 5)7
VaprusHarju Jalgpallikool

How often they score at least...

84%1 goal76%
VaprusHarju Jalgpallikool
32%2 goals48%
VaprusHarju Jalgpallikool
12%3 goals12%
VaprusHarju Jalgpallikool
4%4 goals4%
VaprusHarju Jalgpallikool

How often they concede at least...

76%1 goal76%
VaprusHarju Jalgpallikool
56%2 goals52%
VaprusHarju Jalgpallikool
24%3 goals28%
VaprusHarju Jalgpallikool
8%4 goals4%
VaprusHarju Jalgpallikool

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

52%
Harju Jalgpallikool - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.13 of 25 matches
60%
League average

Goal patterns

36%BTTS at half-time28%
VaprusHarju Jalgpallikool
8%BTTS in both halves4%
VaprusHarju Jalgpallikool
24%Scored in both halves20%
VaprusHarju Jalgpallikool

BTTS and goal count

64%Min. 3 goals and BTTS52%
VaprusHarju Jalgpallikool
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS16%
VaprusHarju Jalgpallikool
80%BTTS - last 560%
VaprusHarju Jalgpallikool

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

72%Min. 1 goal before half-time76%
VaprusHarju Jalgpallikool
52%Min. 2 goals before half-time44%
VaprusHarju Jalgpallikool
16%Min. 3 goals before half-time12%
VaprusHarju Jalgpallikool

2nd half

88%Min. 1 goal after half-time88%
VaprusHarju Jalgpallikool
48%Min. 2 goals after half-time40%
VaprusHarju Jalgpallikool
16%Min. 3 goals after half-time16%
VaprusHarju Jalgpallikool

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Harju Jalgpallikool is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.2 pts / match - Vaprus · 1.28 pts / match - Harju Jalgpallikool

Vaprus - half-time state
24% leading48% draw28% trailing
Harju Jalgpallikool - half-time state
28% leading44% draw28% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.2Points per match (1st half)1.28
VaprusHarju Jalgpallikool
0.68Goals scored (1st half)0.76
VaprusHarju Jalgpallikool
0.84Goals conceded (1st half)0.72
VaprusHarju Jalgpallikool
1.52Average goals (1st half)1.48
VaprusHarju Jalgpallikool
48%Clean sheet before half-time48%
VaprusHarju Jalgpallikool
44%No goal before half-time48%
VaprusHarju Jalgpallikool

After half-time (2nd half)

1.24Points per match (2nd half)1
VaprusHarju Jalgpallikool
0.68Goals scored (2nd half)0.68
VaprusHarju Jalgpallikool
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.92
VaprusHarju Jalgpallikool
1.68Average goals (2nd half)1.6
VaprusHarju Jalgpallikool
36%Clean sheet after half-time36%
VaprusHarju Jalgpallikool
48%No goal after half-time56%
VaprusHarju Jalgpallikool

Vaprus - second-half results

32% W28% R40% P
30
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
31
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.20
PPG before half-time
Lead holding150%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Harju Jalgpallikool - second-half results

24% W28% R48% P
32
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.28
PPG before half-time
Lead holding143%

Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Vaprus - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.60
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match1.00.6
Average goals in match1.41.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-3+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Harju Jalgpallikool - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.00
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.41.0
Average goals in match0.81.8
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Vaprus
ScoredConceded
4
8
0-15
8
5
16-30
5
8
31-45
7
11
46-60
4
9
61-75
6
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Harju Jalgpallikool
ScoredConceded
6
3
0-15
5
6
16-30
8
9
31-45
4
6
46-60
5
9
61-75
8
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.14
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
101%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-20%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
64%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Vaprus

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.80
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.32
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.18
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
76%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
138%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.24
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

Harju Jalgpallikool

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.40
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.27
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
108%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
92%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.04
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).

Teams vs league

VaprusLigaHarju Jalgpallikool
Average goals in match 3.203.12 3.08
Both teams scored 68%60% 52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 64%66% 68%
Clean sheets 24%22% 24%
Goal before half-time 72%75% 76%
Goal after half-time 88%89% 88%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.12
Average goals per match
60%
Both teams scored
66%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.79
Home goals / match
1.33
Away goals / match
+35%
Home attack advantage
+26%
Home defence advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
8%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
89%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (6): Vaprus 3 - 2 - 1 Harju Jalgpallikool. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 67% matches.

Harju Jalgpallikool
1 : 2
Vaprus
Vaprus
0 : 2
Harju Jalgpallikool
Harju Jalgpallikool
1 : 2
Pärnu JK Vaprus
Pärnu JK Vaprus
2 : 2
Harju Jalgpallikool
Harju Jalgpallikool
0 : 1
Pärnu JK Vaprus
Pärnu JK Vaprus
1 : 1
Harju Jalgpallikool

FAQ

When do Vaprus and Harju Jalgpallikool play?

Vaprus face Harju Jalgpallikool on 9 September 2026 in Meistriliiga at Pärnu Rannastaadion. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Vaprus and Harju Jalgpallikool?

In the last 6 head-to-head matches Vaprus won 3, Harju Jalgpallikool won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Vaprus vs Harju Jalgpallikool?

Vaprus score 1.36 goals per game on average and Harju Jalgpallikool 1.44. The Meistriliiga average is 3.12 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Vaprus's matches and 52% of Harju Jalgpallikool's.

What form are Vaprus and Harju Jalgpallikool in?

Over the last 5 games Vaprus have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Harju Jalgpallikool 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vaprus vs Harju Jalgpallikool?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.