Vaprus vs Kuressaare: match statistics
Vaprus vs Kuressaare: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Vaprus play Kuressaare in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match date is 26 June 2026 at 19:00. Venue: Pärnu Rannastaadion. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Vaprus: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Kuressaare: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Vaprus scores 1.40 and concedes 1.90 goals per match. Kuressaare scores 0.95 and concedes 1.65. League average: 3.11 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Vaprus 65%, Kuressaare 50%. Over 2.5: Vaprus 65%, Kuressaare 55%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Kuressaare has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.14. Vaprus: 8.4 shots per match, Kuressaare: 11.4.
Match halves
Vaprus: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.65. Kuressaare: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.60.
Goals by minute
Vaprus: 16-30 (6 goals). Kuressaare: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Meistriliiga: 3.11 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
5 H2H matches: 2-0-3. Average goals 1.80, BTTS 40%.
Match description
Vaprus holds an advantage in finishing efficiency: the home conversion rate is 16% versus 8% for Kuressaare, translating into an average of 1.5 goals per game for Vaprus versus 1.0 for the visitors. Kuressaare attempts more shots (12.13 per game vs 9.38), but records fewer shots on target (3.38 vs 3.88) and underperforms their xG — visitors have an average xG of 1.45 but score only 1.0, while Vaprus posts xG 1.26 and converts 1.5. Defensively Kuressaare is weaker in expected goals conceded: xG against for the visitors is 2.21 versus 1.72 for Vaprus, and on the road they have not kept a single clean sheet (0% vs 25% for the hosts). Over the last 5 matches form is comparable — Vaprus 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses (1.4 points per game), Kuressaare 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss (1.6 points per game) — however Vaprus’s superior efficiency and lower share of scoreless games (25% vs 38%) give the hosts the edge. Considering also league position (Vaprus 6th vs Kuressaare 9th), I tip the home win and assess probabilities at 55% for Vaprus, 25% for a draw and 20% for Kuressaare.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Vaprus | Kuressaare | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Vaprus is 200% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Vaprus · 0.4 pts / match - Kuressaare
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Vaprus is 47% better for: goals scored per match.
1.4 goals / match - Vaprus · 0.95 goals / match - Kuressaare
Kuressaare is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.9 goals / match - Vaprus · 1.65 goals / match - Kuressaare
Vaprus scores in 80% of matches (16 of 20 matches), while Kuressaare keeps a clean sheet in 10% (2 of 20 matches).
Kuressaare scores in 50% of matches (10 of 20 matches), while Vaprus keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Vaprus
Over / Under — Kuressaare
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Vaprus is 32% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / match - Vaprus · 0.95 pts / match - Kuressaare
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Vaprus - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Kuressaare - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Vaprus
Kuressaare
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Vaprus | Liga | Kuressaare | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.30 | 3.11 | ▼ 2.60 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 58% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 65% | 66% | ▼ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 25% | 23% | ▼ 10% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 74% | ▼ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 85% | 88% | ▼ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Vaprus 2 - 0 - 3 Kuressaare. Average goals 1.80, both teams scored in 40% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Vaprus vs Kuressaare?
The Meistriliiga match finished Vaprus 1:0 Kuressaare. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Vaprus and Kuressaare?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Vaprus won 2, Kuressaare won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.80 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Vaprus vs Kuressaare?
Vaprus score 1.40 goals per game on average and Kuressaare 0.95. The Meistriliiga average is 3.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Vaprus's matches and 50% of Kuressaare's.
What form are Vaprus and Kuressaare in?
Over the last 5 games Vaprus have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Kuressaare 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vaprus vs Kuressaare?
The statistical background for Vaprus vs Kuressaare — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.