Varaždin vs Istra 1961: match statistics
Varaždin vs Istra 1961: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Varaždin played Istra 1961 in Prva HNL (Croatia). The match was played on 19 December 2025. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Varaždin: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Istra 1961: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Varaždin scores 1.24 and concedes 1.29 goals per match. Istra 1961 scores 1.25 and concedes 1.25. League average: 2.75 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Varaždin 59%, Istra 1961 63%. Over 2.5: Varaždin 47%, Istra 1961 56%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Varaždin has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.31. Varaždin: 11.8 shots per match, Istra 1961: 10.1.
Match halves
Varaždin: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.59. Istra 1961: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.69.
Goals by minute
Varaždin: 0-15 (4 goals). Istra 1961: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prva HNL: 2.75 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Varaždin | Istra 1961 | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Istra 1961 is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Varaždin · 1.6 pts / match - Istra 1961
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Varaždin scores in 71% of matches (12 of 17 matches), while Istra 1961 keeps a clean sheet in 19% (3 of 16 matches).
Istra 1961 scores in 75% of matches (12 of 16 matches), while Varaždin keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Varaždin
Over / Under - Istra 1961
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Varaždin is 59% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.29 pts / match - Varaždin · 0.81 pts / match - Istra 1961
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Varaždin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Istra 1961 - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Varaždin
Istra 1961
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).
Teams vs league
| Varaždin | Liga | Istra 1961 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.53 | 2.75 | ▼ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 59% | 63% | • 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 47% | 52% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 24% | 21% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 79% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 83% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Varaždin 0 - 0 - 1 Istra 1961. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Varaždin vs Istra 1961?
The Prva HNL match finished Varaždin 1:3 Istra 1961. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Varaždin vs Istra 1961?
Varaždin score 1.24 goals per game on average and Istra 1961 1.25. The Prva HNL average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Varaždin's matches and 63% of Istra 1961's.
What form are Varaždin and Istra 1961 in?
Over the last 5 games Varaždin have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Istra 1961 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Varaždin vs Istra 1961?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.