Varaždin vs Lokomotiva Zagreb: match statistics
Varaždin vs Lokomotiva Zagreb: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Varaždin played Lokomotiva Zagreb in Prva HNL (Croatia). The match was played on 7 December 2025. Final score: 4:2.
Current form
Varaždin: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Lokomotiva Zagreb: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Varaždin scores 1.13 and concedes 1.20 goals per match. Lokomotiva Zagreb scores 1.13 and concedes 1.40. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Varaždin 60%, Lokomotiva Zagreb 80%. Over 2.5: Varaždin 47%, Lokomotiva Zagreb 40%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Lokomotiva Zagreb has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.37. Varaždin: 12.1 shots per match, Lokomotiva Zagreb: 12.3.
Match halves
Varaždin: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.40. Lokomotiva Zagreb: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.60.
Goals by minute
Varaždin: 0-15 (4 goals). Lokomotiva Zagreb: 0-15 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prva HNL: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Varaždin | Lokomotiva Zagreb | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Varaždin is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Varaždin · 0.6 pts / match - Lokomotiva Zagreb
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Varaždin is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.2 goals / match - Varaždin · 1.4 goals / match - Lokomotiva Zagreb
Varaždin scores in 73% of matches (11 of 15 matches), while Lokomotiva Zagreb keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 15 matches).
Lokomotiva Zagreb scores in 93% of matches (14 of 15 matches), while Varaždin keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Varaždin
Over / Under - Lokomotiva Zagreb
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Varaždin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Lokomotiva Zagreb - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 27%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Varaždin
Lokomotiva Zagreb
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).
Teams vs league
| Varaždin | Liga | Lokomotiva Zagreb | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.33 | 2.62 | • 2.53 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 60% | 62% | ▲ 80% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 47% | 51% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 27% | 22% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 73% | 78% | ▲ 87% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 82% | ▲ 93% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Varaždin 0 - 0 - 1 Lokomotiva Zagreb. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Varaždin vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?
The Prva HNL match finished Varaždin 4:2 Lokomotiva Zagreb. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Varaždin vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Varaždin score 1.13 goals per game on average and Lokomotiva Zagreb 1.13. The Prva HNL average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Varaždin's matches and 80% of Lokomotiva Zagreb's.
What form are Varaždin and Lokomotiva Zagreb in?
Over the last 5 games Varaždin have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Lokomotiva Zagreb 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Varaždin vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.