Varaždin vs Osijek: match statistics
Varaždin displays significantly better home form with 44% wins and only 22% losses at their own stadium, while Osijek shows poor away results with only 11% wins and as many as 56% losses. The hosts have scored 9 goals in their last five matches and won three games, while the visitors have netted only 3 goals and secured just one victory. Varaždin's goal difference in home matches is +2, while Osijek has -6 in away games. Additionally, the hosts have a higher average xG (1.66 vs 1.44) and better shooting accuracy (11% vs 8%), suggesting greater offensive efficiency. Considering all statistics, Varaždin has a clear advantage, although both teams' recent form and Osijek's tendency to draw (33% away draws) do not rule out a points split.
Varaždin vs Osijek: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Varaždin played Osijek in Prva HNL (Croatia). The match was played on 8 February 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Varaždin: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Osijek: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Varaždin scores 1.30 and concedes 1.30 goals per match. Osijek scores 0.85 and concedes 1.45. League average: 2.72 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Varaždin 60%, Osijek 45%. Over 2.5: Varaždin 50%, Osijek 40%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Osijek has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.40. Varaždin: 12.1 shots per match, Osijek: 12.6.
Match halves
Varaždin: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.55. Osijek: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.45.
Goals by minute
Varaždin: 31-45+ (6 goals). Osijek: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prva HNL: 2.72 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Varaždin displays significantly better home form with 44% wins and only 22% losses at their own stadium, while Osijek shows poor away results with only 11% wins and as many as 56% losses. The hosts have scored 9 goals in their last five matches and won three games, while the visitors have netted only 3 goals and secured just one victory. Varaždin's goal difference in home matches is +2, while Osijek has -6 in away games. Additionally, the hosts have a higher average xG (1.66 vs 1.44) and better shooting accuracy (11% vs 8%), suggesting greater offensive efficiency. Considering all statistics, Varaždin has a clear advantage, although both teams' recent form and Osijek's tendency to draw (33% away draws) do not rule out a points split.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Varaždin | Osijek | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Varaždin is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Varaždin · 1 pts / match - Osijek
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Varaždin is 53% better for: goals scored per match.
1.3 goals / match - Varaždin · 0.85 goals / match - Osijek
Varaždin is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.3 goals / match - Varaždin · 1.45 goals / match - Osijek
Varaždin scores in 75% of matches (15 of 20 matches), while Osijek keeps a clean sheet in 35% (7 of 20 matches).
Osijek scores in 60% of matches (12 of 20 matches), while Varaždin keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Varaždin
Over / Under - Osijek
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Varaždin is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / match - Varaždin · 1.15 pts / match - Osijek
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Varaždin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Osijek - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 15%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Varaždin
Osijek
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).
Teams vs league
| Varaždin | Liga | Osijek | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.60 | 2.72 | ▼ 2.30 |
| Both teams scored | • 60% | 61% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 53% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 25% | 22% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 75% | 81% | ▼ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 81% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Varaždin 0 - 2 - 0 Osijek. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Varaždin vs Osijek?
The Prva HNL match finished Varaždin 2:1 Osijek. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Varaždin and Osijek?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Varaždin won 0, Osijek won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Varaždin vs Osijek?
Varaždin score 1.30 goals per game on average and Osijek 0.85. The Prva HNL average is 2.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Varaždin's matches and 45% of Osijek's.
What form are Varaždin and Osijek in?
Over the last 5 games Varaždin have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Osijek 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Varaždin vs Osijek?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.