Varaždin vs Rijeka: match statistics
Varaždin vs Rijeka: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Varaždin play Rijeka in Prva HNL (Croatia). The match date is 22 April 2026 at 17:45. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Varaždin: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Rijeka: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Varaždin scores 1.31 and concedes 1.28 goals per match. Rijeka scores 1.36 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.66 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Varaždin 61%, Rijeka 39%. Over 2.5: Varaždin 47%, Rijeka 42%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Rijeka has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.37. Varaždin: 11.5 shots per match, Rijeka: 14.5.
Match halves
Varaždin: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.53. Rijeka: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
Varaždin: 0-15 (10 goals). Rijeka: 46-60 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prva HNL: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 2-0-1. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 67%.
Match description
Varaždin sit 3rd in the table versus Rijeka’s 4th and have 12 wins this season compared to Rijeka’s 11. In the last 5 matches the hosts have a 3-1-1 record (2.0 points per game) while Rijeka are 2-1-2 (1.4 PPG). Offensively Varaždin scored 8 goals in their last 5 games (1.6 per game) versus Rijeka’s 6 (1.2 per game); at home they average 1.47 goals, 4.27 shots on target and an 11% conversion, while Rijeka away average 1.13 goals, 3.27 shots on target and a 9% conversion. Defensively the hosts conceded 4 goals in the last 5 (0.8 per game) and 1.33 goals per game at home, whereas Rijeka conceded 8 in their last 5 (1.6 per game) and also 1.33 away, but have a worse away GD (-3 vs the hosts’ +2). Quality metrics show xG 1.57 for Varaždin at home versus xG 1.48 for Rijeka away, but key differences are a lower share of goalless matches for the hosts (13% vs 33%) and a higher home win rate (47% vs 27% away wins). Based on this I tip a home win (1) and estimate probabilities at ~60% for Varaždin, 25% for a draw and 15% for Rijeka.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Varaždin | Rijeka | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Rijeka is 57% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Varaždin · 2.2 pts / match - Rijeka
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rijeka is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.28 goals / match - Varaždin · 1 goals / match - Rijeka
Varaždin scores in 83% of matches (30 of 36 matches), while Rijeka keeps a clean sheet in 39% (14 of 36 matches).
Rijeka scores in 64% of matches (23 of 36 matches), while Varaždin keeps a clean sheet in 28% (10 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Varaždin
Over / Under — Rijeka
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Varaždin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Rijeka - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (10 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Varaždin
Rijeka
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).
Teams vs league
| Varaždin | Liga | Rijeka | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.58 | 2.66 | ▼ 2.36 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 61% | 52% | ▼ 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 47% | 49% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | • 28% | 28% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | • 78% | 77% | ▼ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 77% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Varaždin 2 - 0 - 1 Rijeka. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Varaždin vs Rijeka?
The Prva HNL match finished Varaždin 1:0 Rijeka. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Varaždin and Rijeka?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Varaždin won 2, Rijeka won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Varaždin vs Rijeka?
Varaždin score 1.31 goals per game on average and Rijeka 1.36. The Prva HNL average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Varaždin's matches and 39% of Rijeka's.
What form are Varaždin and Rijeka in?
Over the last 5 games Varaždin have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Rijeka 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Varaždin vs Rijeka?
The statistical background for Varaždin vs Rijeka — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.