Hungary - NB IVárkert SportpályaData current as of 15 October 2026

Várda SE vs Ferencváros: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Várda SE vs Ferencváros: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Várda SE play Ferencváros in NB I (Hungary). The match date is 18 October 2026. Venue: Várkert Sportpálya.

Current form

Várda SE: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Ferencváros: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Várda SE scores 1.11 and concedes 1.22 goals per match. Ferencváros scores 1.50 and concedes 1.13. League average: 3.19 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Várda SE 67%, Ferencváros 63%. Over 2.5: Várda SE 33%, Ferencváros 50%. League level: BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 60%.

xG, shots and style

Ferencváros has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.28. Várda SE: 10.6 shots per match, Ferencváros: 12.0.

Match halves

Várda SE: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.78. Ferencváros: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.75.

Goals by minute

Várda SE: 76-90+ (3 goals). Ferencváros: 61-75 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

NB I: 3.19 goals per match, BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 60%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-2. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 33%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(5.68)
(4.25)
(1.44)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Várda SEFerencváros
1.11Goals scored / match1.5
Várda SEFerencváros
1.22Goals conceded / match1.13
Várda SEFerencváros
43%Average possession57%
Várda SEFerencváros
3.33Shots on target / match4.88
Várda SEFerencváros

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.56Shots per match12
Várda SEFerencváros
3.33Shots on target4.88
Várda SEFerencváros
10.5%Shot conversion12.5%
Várda SEFerencváros
43%Possession57%
Várda SEFerencváros
1.28xG for1.6
Várda SEFerencváros
1.76xG against1.27
Várda SEFerencváros

Shooting quality

Várda SE: BalancedFerencváros: Balanced
Várda SEFerencváros
Accuracy (shots on target)32%41%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Ferencváros is 50% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Várda SE · 1.8 pts / match - Ferencváros

Várda SE
DDWLD
Season result split
22% W44% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-4-3
1.11 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-3-2
Last 5 at home
0-3-2
DLDDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.33Opponent xG: 1.63BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 20%
Ferencváros
WWDDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
38% W50% D13% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-4-1
1.63 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-1-1
Last 5 away
3-1-1
LWWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.75Opponent xG: 1.19BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Ferencváros is 35% better for: goals scored per match.

1.11 goals / match - Várda SE · 1.5 goals / match - Ferencváros

Ferencváros is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.22 goals / match - Várda SE · 1.13 goals / match - Ferencváros

Várda SE scoring profile: strong

Várda SE scores in 78% of matches (7 of 9 matches), while Ferencváros keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 matches).

Ferencváros scoring profile: very strong

Ferencváros scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Várda SE keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 matches).

10Goals scored (season)12
Várda SEFerencváros
11Goals conceded (season)9
Várda SEFerencváros
2.33Average goals in match2.63
Várda SEFerencváros
4Goals scored (last 5)9
Várda SEFerencváros
4Goals conceded (last 5)5
Várda SEFerencváros

How often they score at least...

78%1 goal88%
Várda SEFerencváros
33%2 goals50%
Várda SEFerencváros
0%3 goals13%
Várda SEFerencváros
0%4 goals0%
Várda SEFerencváros

How often they concede at least...

78%1 goal63%
Várda SEFerencváros
22%2 goals25%
Várda SEFerencváros
11%3 goals13%
Várda SEFerencváros
11%4 goals13%
Várda SEFerencváros

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

66%
League average

Goal patterns

22%BTTS at half-time25%
Várda SEFerencváros
11%BTTS in both halves0%
Várda SEFerencváros
22%Scored in both halves13%
Várda SEFerencváros

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
Várda SEFerencváros
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
Várda SEFerencváros
60%BTTS - last 580%
Várda SEFerencváros

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

44%Min. 1 goal before half-time63%
Várda SEFerencváros
22%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%
Várda SEFerencváros
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time25%
Várda SEFerencváros

2nd half

78%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
Várda SEFerencváros
56%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Várda SEFerencváros
22%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
Várda SEFerencváros

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Ferencváros is 63% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Várda SE · 1.63 pts / match - Ferencváros

Várda SE - half-time state
11% leading67% draw22% trailing
Ferencváros - half-time state
38% leading50% draw13% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)1.63
Várda SEFerencváros
0.33Goals scored (1st half)0.75
Várda SEFerencváros
0.44Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
Várda SEFerencváros
0.78Average goals (1st half)1.25
Várda SEFerencváros
67%Clean sheet before half-time63%
Várda SEFerencváros
67%No goal before half-time50%
Várda SEFerencváros

After half-time (2nd half)

1.22Points per match (2nd half)1.5
Várda SEFerencváros
0.78Goals scored (2nd half)0.75
Várda SEFerencváros
0.78Goals conceded (2nd half)0.63
Várda SEFerencváros
1.56Average goals (2nd half)1.38
Várda SEFerencváros
33%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Várda SEFerencváros
33%No goal after half-time50%
Várda SEFerencváros

Várda SE - second-half results

22% W56% D22% L
9
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Ferencváros - second-half results

38% W38% D25% L
13
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.63
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Várda SE - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.20
Goals scored / match0.20.6
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match0.41.2
1 goal20%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Ferencváros - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.602.00
Goals scored / match0.61.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match1.01.8
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+1+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Várda SE
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
1
1
16-30
1
2
31-45
2
0
46-60
2
2
61-75
3
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Ferencváros
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
3
1
16-30
3
2
31-45
2
4
46-60
4
0
61-75
0
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.48
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
78%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
65%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-19%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
69%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Várda SE

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.48
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.37
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.54
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
61%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
88%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.09
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

Ferencváros

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.33
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.04
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
109%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
62%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NB I).

Teams vs league

Várda SELigaFerencváros
Average goals in match▼ 2.333.19▼ 2.63
Both teams scored• 67%66%▼ 63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 33%60%▼ 50%
Clean sheets▲ 22%19%▲ 38%
Goal before half-time▼ 44%68%▼ 63%
Goal after half-time▼ 78%81%▼ 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.19
Average goals per match
66%
Both teams scored
60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
19%
Clean sheets
1.81
Home goals / match
1.38
Away goals / match
+31%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+14%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
62%
2 goals
28%
3 goals
9%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Várda SE 0 - 1 - 2 Ferencváros. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 33% matches.

FAQ

When do Várda SE and Ferencváros play?

Várda SE face Ferencváros on 18 October 2026 in NB I at Várkert Sportpálya. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Várda SE and Ferencváros?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Várda SE won 0, Ferencváros won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Várda SE vs Ferencváros?

Várda SE score 1.11 goals per game on average and Ferencváros 1.50. The NB I average is 3.19 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Várda SE's matches and 63% of Ferencváros's.

What form are Várda SE and Ferencváros in?

Over the last 5 games Várda SE have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Ferencváros 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Várda SE vs Ferencváros?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Várda SE vs Ferencváros: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.