Várda SE vs Győri ETO: match statistics
Várda SE vs Győri ETO: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Várda SE played Győri ETO in NB I (Hungary). The match was played on 16 May 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Várda SE: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Győri ETO: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Várda SE scores 1.13 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Győri ETO scores 2.00 and concedes 0.94. League average: 3.01 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Várda SE 50%, Győri ETO 56%. Over 2.5: Várda SE 50%, Győri ETO 50%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
Győri ETO has higher xG: 1.98 vs 1.24. Várda SE: 10.5 shots per match, Győri ETO: 16.5.
Match halves
Várda SE: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.59. Győri ETO: half-time lead 53%, second-half goals 1.06.
Goals by minute
Várda SE: 16-30 (9 goals). Győri ETO: 61-75 (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NB I: 3.01 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The favorites are the visitors Győri ETO: they sit 1st with 19 wins and 64 goals scored this season versus Várda’s 11 wins and 36 goals, indicating a clear offensive superiority. Quality-of-chance metrics confirm this — the visitors average 16 shots and 6.31 on-target shots per away match with xG 1.89, while the hosts at home average 11.69 shots, 3.94 on-target and xG 1.33. In form over the last 5 matches Győri has scored 12, conceded 4 and averaged 2.2 points per game, whereas Várda has scored only 3, conceded 8 and averaged 0.2 points per game. The hosts’ defense concedes 1.25 goals per home match on average (xG against 1.34), which is comparable to the 1.31 conceded by the visitors away (xG against 1.46), so Győri’s decisive advantage is a higher volume of chances and superior efficiency rather than a significant defensive gap.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I assess BTTS as more likely — 72% for 'Yes' and 28% for 'No'. Primary argument for 'Yes' is the visitors' form: Győri ETO have a seasonal BTTS rate of 81% and average 2.5 goals scored per match, and in the last 5 fixtures they scored on average 2.4 goals. The visitors average 6.31 shots on target and have a conversion rate of 16%, versus the hosts' 5.88 shots on target and 9% conversion, so they are clearly more efficient in finishing chances. Although hosts Várda have a seasonal 56% clean sheets and only 31% BTTS at home, their last 5 matches show 60% BTTS and they concede 1.6 goals on average, which weakens the clean sheet argument. Additionally xG shows the hosts generate 2.07 xG seasonally but only 0.96 xG in the last 5 matches, while the visitors have 1.89 xG with xG against 1.46, which overall favors a Goal/Goal scenario.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG I expect approximately 3.23 total goals in this match: 1.77 for Várda (attacking xG 2.07 and xG conceded vs visitors 1.46) and 1.46 for Győri (attacking xG 1.89 and xG conceded vs hosts 1.04). Győri is clearly in better form — they score 2.5 goals per game on the season (64 total) and have 12 goals in the last 5 matches (2.4 avg), while Várda has scored only 3 and conceded 8 in the last 5 (1.6 avg), despite a seasonal home record of 56% clean sheets and 0.56 goals conceded. Seasonal percentages confirm an inclination toward overs: Over 1.5 occurs in 56% of hosts’ matches and 94% of visitors’ matches, while Over 2.5 is 38% vs 63%; the league average is 2.99 goals per game. A Poisson model with lambda=3.23 yields ~83% probability of at least 2 goals and ~63% for at least 3, therefore I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
First-half statistics favor Győri: the visitors led at the break in 10 matches (63%) and scored 27 first-half goals, while Várda led in 7 matches (44%) with 13 first-half goals; on average the visitors score 1.25 goals by half-time versus 0.63 for the home side. In the last 5 fixtures Győri have won 60% of matches and led at the break in 60%, whereas Várda have not won any of their last 5 (0%) and did not lead at half-time (0%), reinforcing the signal in favor of the visitors. Although Várda post a higher average home xG (2.07 vs. the visitors’ 1.89), Győri are far more efficient in finishing – the visitors’ shot conversion rate is 16% versus the hosts’ 9%, and the visitors’ season average goals is 2.5 compared to Várda’s 1.5. Additionally, 81% of Győri’s away matches see both teams score, while Várda keep a clean sheet in 56% of their matches; therefore I predict the visitors will open the scoring before the break and maintain the lead until full-time (HT/FT 2/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Várda SE | Győri ETO | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Győri ETO is 1200% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Várda SE · 2.6 pts / match - Győri ETO
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Győri ETO is 77% better for: goals scored per match.
1.13 goals / match - Várda SE · 2 goals / match - Győri ETO
Győri ETO is 60% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Várda SE · 0.94 goals / match - Győri ETO
Várda SE scores in 72% of matches (23 of 32 matches), while Győri ETO keeps a clean sheet in 38% (12 of 32 matches).
Győri ETO scores in 88% of matches (28 of 32 matches), while Várda SE keeps a clean sheet in 28% (9 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Várda SE
Over / Under - Győri ETO
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Győri ETO is 91% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.03 pts / match - Várda SE · 1.97 pts / match - Győri ETO
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Várda SE - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Győri ETO - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 53% of matches and wins 59%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (16 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Várda SE
Győri ETO
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NB I).
Teams vs league
| Várda SE | Liga | Győri ETO | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.63 | 3.01 | • 2.94 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 60% | ▼ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 59% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 28% | 22% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | • 69% | 70% | • 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 87% | ▼ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Várda SE 1 - 0 - 1 Győri ETO. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Várda SE vs Győri ETO?
The NB I match finished Várda SE 0:1 Győri ETO. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Várda SE and Győri ETO?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Várda SE won 1, Győri ETO won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Várda SE vs Győri ETO?
Várda SE score 1.13 goals per game on average and Győri ETO 2.00. The NB I average is 3.01 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Várda SE's matches and 56% of Győri ETO's.
What form are Várda SE and Győri ETO in?
Over the last 5 games Várda SE have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Győri ETO 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Várda SE vs Győri ETO?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.