Várda SE vs Paksi SE: match statistics
Paksi SE seems to be the favorite for this meeting despite a current bad streak of five consecutive losses. The visitors occupy a higher position in the table (4th place vs 7th place) and have a significantly better goal difference in away matches (+6 goal difference). Várda SE has gained just 1 point in the last five matches, winning only once, which indicates poor form for the hosts. Paksi SE presents better offensive statistics on the road (averaging 1.64 goals per match vs 1.45 for the hosts at home) and a higher xG coefficient (1.86 vs 1.43), suggesting greater efficiency in creating goal-scoring opportunities. Although Paksi is going through a crisis, their overall quality and seasonal statistics speak for a victory for the visitors, especially considering a 45% win rate on the road compared to the same indicator for the hosts at home, but with better remaining parameters.
Várda SE vs Paksi SE: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Várda SE played Paksi SE in NB I (Hungary). The match was played on 28 February 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Várda SE: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Paksi SE: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Várda SE scores 1.22 and concedes 1.57 goals per match. Paksi SE scores 1.96 and concedes 1.52. League average: 3.04 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Várda SE 43%, Paksi SE 74%. Over 2.5: Várda SE 48%, Paksi SE 70%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
Paksi SE has higher xG: 2.09 vs 1.30. Várda SE: 11.1 shots per match, Paksi SE: 17.0.
Match halves
Várda SE: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.61. Paksi SE: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 1.22.
Goals by minute
Várda SE: 16-30 (6 goals). Paksi SE: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NB I: 3.04 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 7.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Paksi SE seems to be the favorite for this meeting despite a current bad streak of five consecutive losses. The visitors occupy a higher position in the table (4th place vs 7th place) and have a significantly better goal difference in away matches (+6 goal difference). Várda SE has gained just 1 point in the last five matches, winning only once, which indicates poor form for the hosts. Paksi SE presents better offensive statistics on the road (averaging 1.64 goals per match vs 1.45 for the hosts at home) and a higher xG coefficient (1.86 vs 1.43), suggesting greater efficiency in creating goal-scoring opportunities. Although Paksi is going through a crisis, their overall quality and seasonal statistics speak for a victory for the visitors, especially considering a 45% win rate on the road compared to the same indicator for the hosts at home, but with better remaining parameters.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Várda SE | Paksi SE | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Várda SE is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Várda SE · 0.6 pts / match - Paksi SE
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Paksi SE is 61% better for: goals scored per match.
1.22 goals / match - Várda SE · 1.96 goals / match - Paksi SE
Várda SE scores in 70% of matches (16 of 23 matches), while Paksi SE keeps a clean sheet in 13% (3 of 23 matches).
Paksi SE scores in 83% of matches (19 of 23 matches), while Várda SE keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Várda SE
Over / Under - Paksi SE
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Paksi SE is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / match - Várda SE · 1.3 pts / match - Paksi SE
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Várda SE - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Paksi SE - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Várda SE
Paksi SE
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NB I).
Teams vs league
| Várda SE | Liga | Paksi SE | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.78 | 3.04 | ▲ 3.48 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 61% | ▲ 74% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 48% | 60% | ▲ 70% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 21% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 69% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 88% | ▲ 96% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Várda SE 0 - 0 - 2 Paksi SE. Average goals 7.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Várda SE vs Paksi SE?
The NB I match finished Várda SE 2:1 Paksi SE. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Várda SE and Paksi SE?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Várda SE won 0, Paksi SE won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 7.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Várda SE vs Paksi SE?
Várda SE score 1.22 goals per game on average and Paksi SE 1.96. The NB I average is 3.04 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Várda SE's matches and 74% of Paksi SE's.
What form are Várda SE and Paksi SE in?
Over the last 5 games Várda SE have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Paksi SE 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Várda SE vs Paksi SE?
The statistical background for Várda SE vs Paksi SE — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.