Hungary - NB IVárkert SportpályaData current as of 18 September 2026

Várda SE vs Paksi SE: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Várda SE vs Paksi SE: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Várda SE play Paksi SE in NB I (Hungary). The match date is 19 September 2026. Venue: Várkert Sportpálya.

Current form

Várda SE: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Paksi SE: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Várda SE scores 1.29 and concedes 1.29 goals per match. Paksi SE scores 2.14 and concedes 2.43. League average: 3.27 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Várda SE 71%, Paksi SE 86%. Over 2.5: Várda SE 43%, Paksi SE 71%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 63%.

xG, shots and style

Paksi SE has higher xG: 1.91 vs 1.21. Várda SE: 10.4 shots per match, Paksi SE: 13.7.

Match halves

Várda SE: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.86. Paksi SE: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Várda SE: 46-60 (2 goals). Paksi SE: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

NB I: 3.27 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 63%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-2. Average goals 5.67, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.29Goals scored / match2.14
Várda SEPaksi SE
1.29Goals conceded / match2.43
Várda SEPaksi SE
42%Average possession50%
Várda SEPaksi SE
3.29Shots on target / match6.86
Várda SEPaksi SE

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.43Shots per match13.71
Várda SEPaksi SE
3.29Shots on target6.86
Várda SEPaksi SE
12.3%Shot conversion15.6%
Várda SEPaksi SE
42%Possession50%
Várda SEPaksi SE
1.21xG for1.91
Várda SEPaksi SE
1.66xG against1.52
Várda SEPaksi SE

Shooting quality

Várda SE: Counter-attackingPaksi SE: Efficient finishing
Várda SEPaksi SE
Accuracy (shots on target)32%50%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.390.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Várda SE
LLDDW
Season result split
29% W43% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-2
1.29 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-3-1
Last 5 at home
0-3-1
DLDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.11Opponent xG: 1.73BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Paksi SE
DLWDL
Season result split
29% W29% D43% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-2-3
1.14 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-2
Last 5 away
0-1-2
LLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.99Opponent xG: 1.55BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Paksi SE is 66% better for: goals scored per match.

1.29 goals / match - Várda SE · 2.14 goals / match - Paksi SE

Várda SE is 88% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.29 goals / match - Várda SE · 2.43 goals / match - Paksi SE

Várda SE scoring profile: very strong

Várda SE scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Paksi SE keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).

Paksi SE scoring profile: very strong

Paksi SE scores in 100% of matches (7 of 7 matches), while Várda SE keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).

9Goals scored (season)15
Várda SEPaksi SE
9Goals conceded (season)17
Várda SEPaksi SE
2.57Average goals in match4.57
Várda SEPaksi SE
6Goals scored (last 5)9
Várda SEPaksi SE
8Goals conceded (last 5)10
Várda SEPaksi SE

How often they score at least...

86%1 goal100%
Várda SEPaksi SE
43%2 goals86%
Várda SEPaksi SE
0%3 goals14%
Várda SEPaksi SE
0%4 goals14%
Várda SEPaksi SE

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal86%
Várda SEPaksi SE
29%2 goals71%
Várda SEPaksi SE
14%3 goals43%
Várda SEPaksi SE
14%4 goals29%
Várda SEPaksi SE

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

29%BTTS at half-time57%
Várda SEPaksi SE
14%BTTS in both halves29%
Várda SEPaksi SE
29%Scored in both halves43%
Várda SEPaksi SE

BTTS and goal count

43%Min. 3 goals and BTTS71%
Várda SEPaksi SE
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Várda SEPaksi SE
80%BTTS - last 580%
Várda SEPaksi SE

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

57%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
Várda SEPaksi SE
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time71%
Várda SEPaksi SE
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time57%
Várda SEPaksi SE

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time86%
Várda SEPaksi SE
57%Min. 2 goals after half-time86%
Várda SEPaksi SE
29%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
Várda SEPaksi SE

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Várda SE is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Várda SE · 0.86 pts / match - Paksi SE

Várda SE - half-time state
14% leading57% draw29% trailing
Paksi SE - half-time state
14% leading43% draw43% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)0.86
Várda SEPaksi SE
0.43Goals scored (1st half)1.14
Várda SEPaksi SE
0.57Goals conceded (1st half)1.43
Várda SEPaksi SE
1Average goals (1st half)2.57
Várda SEPaksi SE
57%Clean sheet before half-time43%
Várda SEPaksi SE
57%No goal before half-time29%
Várda SEPaksi SE

After half-time (2nd half)

1.43Points per match (2nd half)1.14
Várda SEPaksi SE
0.86Goals scored (2nd half)1
Várda SEPaksi SE
0.71Goals conceded (2nd half)1
Várda SEPaksi SE
1.57Average goals (2nd half)2
Várda SEPaksi SE
43%Clean sheet after half-time29%
Várda SEPaksi SE
29%No goal after half-time29%
Várda SEPaksi SE

Várda SE - second-half results

29% W57% D14% L
7
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding207%

Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Paksi SE - second-half results

14% W71% D14% L
6
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.86
PPG before half-time
Lead holding207%

Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.4

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Várda SE - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.20
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match1.21.6
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-20
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2
Paksi SE - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.00
Goals scored / match0.81.0
Goals conceded / match1.01.0
Average goals in match1.82.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals60%80%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 100% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Várda SE
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
1
1
16-30
1
2
31-45
2
0
46-60
2
0
61-75
2
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Paksi SE
ScoredConceded
1
3
0-15
4
3
16-30
3
4
31-45
5
0
46-60
0
3
61-75
2
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.58
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.9 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
109%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
79%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+59%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
86%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Várda SE

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.45
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.45
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.37
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
70%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
91%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.29
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

Paksi SE

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.39
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.68
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.23
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.91
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
152%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
131%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.14
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NB I).

Teams vs league

Várda SELigaPaksi SE
Average goals in match 2.573.27 4.57
Both teams scored 71%63% 86%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 43%63% 71%
Clean sheets 29%21% 14%
Goal before half-time 57%71% 71%
Goal after half-time 71%78% 86%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.27
Average goals per match
63%
Both teams scored
63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.85
Home goals / match
1.41
Away goals / match
+31%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
24%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
61%
2 goals
29%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Várda SE 1 - 0 - 2 Paksi SE. Average goals 5.67, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Kisvárda Master Good SE
2 : 1
Paksi SE
Paksi SE
5 : 3
Kisvárda Master Good SE
Kisvárda Master Good SE
1 : 5
Paksi SE

FAQ

When do Várda SE and Paksi SE play?

Várda SE face Paksi SE on 19 September 2026 in NB I at Várkert Sportpálya. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Várda SE and Paksi SE?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Várda SE won 1, Paksi SE won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 5.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Várda SE vs Paksi SE?

Várda SE score 1.29 goals per game on average and Paksi SE 2.14. The NB I average is 3.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Várda SE's matches and 86% of Paksi SE's.

What form are Várda SE and Paksi SE in?

Over the last 5 games Várda SE have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Paksi SE 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Várda SE vs Paksi SE?

The statistical background for Várda SE vs Paksi SE — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.